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Oil prices rise on Mideast missiles, while AI bulls drive stocks higher

The dollar was on the verge of breaking above 160 yen on Wednesday as new hostilities flared up in the Gulf following the failure of U.S.Iran peace negotiations.

U.S. crude futures jumped about 2%, to $95.40 per barrel. The?dollar reached 160 yen and then stopped as traders became 'wary' of possible Japanese intervention at that level.

S&P 500 futures fell, but the AI bull ran in Asia continued, with stock indexes reaching record highs in Taiwan, Japan, and other Asian countries. South Korean markets are closed.

U.S. Central Command reported that Iran launched missiles against Kuwait and Bahrain. These were either thwarted, or they failed. This prompted U.S. Forces to strike back at Iran's Qeshm Island, in the Strait of Hormuz.

The Iranian Revolutionary Guards claimed that they had attacked the U.S. Fifth Fleet Headquarters. Iran and the United States announced last week they had reached an agreement to end the war. However, the two sides are yet to sign off on the tentative deal.

Chris Weston is the head of research at Pepperstone Brokerage in Melbourne.

Things are more precarious now. This does indicate that people are returning to the table to negotiate with less flexibility to achieve this and I think we're starting to see some of these bets unwound."

Bitcoin, which has fallen nearly 10% in just three sessions, hit a two-month low on Wednesday of $66,123.

AI led Wall Street indexes to make small gains over night, despite war concerns.

Marvell Technology shares soared by 32.5%, reaching a new record high. This was after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang referred to the chipmaker as the next trillion-dollar company during Computex Week in Taipei.

SpaceX is planning to raise $75 billion next week in a massive initial public offering, selling 555.6 millions shares at $135 a share.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rate was 4.46% on Wednesday morning, despite the bond market rallying through Tuesday.

Overnight data revealed that U.S. jobs openings in April increased the most since 2005, which indicates a robust job market. It also shows little evidence of the need for lower interest rates.

The U.S. ISM services index is expected later on Wednesday. This will be followed by the labour market data for Friday.

Peter Dragicevich of payments firm Corpay said that he believes the U.S. employment report could exceed the downbeat forecasts.

If this is true, it could bolster the view that the U.S. Fed may raise interest rates in the future, and the USD might'strengthen.'

The markets, who had anticipated rate cuts prior to the Iran War, have already priced in 18 basis points for rate increases in the United States this year. The markets have priced in a hike in Europe this week after data showed that inflation accelerated last month. Traders see a 75% probability of a rise in Japan in June.

The foreign exchange market was largely stable, with the euro trading at $1.1627 while the dollar was just shy of 160 Japanese yen (159.86).

Data showed that Australia's economy slowed down in the third quarter of this year. A boom in data centers boosted investment in business but also reduced imports. The currency remained stable at $0.7177. (Reporting and editing by Neil Fullick; Tom Westbrook)

(source: Reuters)