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Asian petchem makers face naphtha disruption as Iran conflict widens

The Middle East supply chain is buckling under the U.S. - Iran conflict. Tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has been halted and buyers are bracing themselves for delays and increased costs.

Two sources familiar with the situation said that Chandra Asri, an Indonesian company, declared force majeure for all contracts on Tuesday, while Maruzen Petrochemical, a Japanese company, and Mitsui Chemical of Japan cancelled the second half April import tenders.

Both Japanese companies declined comment.

Asia imports Middle East naphtha in the amount of 4 million metric tonnes (36 million barrels). Naphtha, a raw material used to make petrochemicals for consumer products such as paints and plastics, is a source of Middle East naphtha.

"Delays due to rerouting and increased security protocols are impacting voyages within and outside of the immediate conflict zones, complicating trade and further tightening logistical flows. This adds uncertainty to cargo scheduling and delivery deadlines," said Vasudev Baligopal, global director of petrochemicals trading at brokerage Marex.

Some assets in Asia-Pacific are taking a more conservative stance towards future production. If disruptions continue, this precautionary approach may have an impact on operating rates.

NAPHTHA MARGIN IS NOW AT A?4 YEAR HIGH

The benchmark?naphtha refinery margin was impacted by the disruption Brent crude reached a four-year high in Asia of $173 per ton on Wednesday.

The South Korean industry ministry stated on Tuesday that its petrochemical manufacturers are worried about supply disruptions if the Iran crisis continues. It is Asia's largest importer of Middle East Naphtha and 54% of the country's supply comes via the Strait of Hormuz. Lotte Chemicals, GS Caltex and LG Chem are among the buyers.

South Korean industry sources said that these?firms would need to decide within the next two week whether they will source alternative regions, such as the U.S., or South Asia or reduce output.

Another source said that Korean refineries, which supply naphtha for petrochemical companies, maintain crude oil stock to sustain?operations? for at least a month.

Sources declined to name themselves as they weren't authorised to talk to the media.

An executive from a global trading firm said that getting U.S. products will take an extra three weeks for shipping, which is very expensive.

ALTERNATIVE SUPPLIES

An Indian exporter stated that India would need to ensure sufficient crude supply to continue exporting naphtha.

The South Asian nation's thin reserves make it a major oil importer that is most susceptible to crude supply shocks, if the Middle East war leads to a prolonged disruption of shipments.

Two Singapore-based traders have said that some Asian buyers could turn to Russian naphtha if the situation becomes dire.

(source: Reuters)