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Nigeria's Dangote Oil Refinery has emerged as one of the key suppliers of fuels to Europe, following disruptions in Middle East exports. This highlights its growing influence on global fuel markets. It also generated a record profit before its debut at the stock exchange.

According to the prospectus of the Lagos refinery, by increasing?fuel?exports during this crisis, the company has been able to achieve a profit of 1.82 billion dollars in the first six months of 2026, on revenues of over $13 billion. This is a significant improvement from the $476 million loss it suffered in 2025 due to conflict-related disruptions that increased the demand for the refinery's exports.

Dangote’s refinery, built to end Nigeria’s dependence on imported oil, is influencing global fuel flow at a time when the market is under stress. The trend will continue, as Middle East disruptions persist and refinery capacity is expanded.

Janiv Shah, Rystad Energy, said that "Dangote will likely increase its role in the upcoming years".

The gasoline industry will have the largest structural impact. "Jet fuel and diesel are also growing in importance".

In response to U.S. and Israeli attacks, Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz at the end February. Europe lost a quarter its diesel and jet fuel supply. Fuel inventories at the oil trading hub in Northwest Europe have plummeted to their lowest levels in 12 years as a result of the Middle East's drop in exports.

According to Kpler, Europe imported around 80,000 barrels of jet fuel per day from Dangote in the second quarter. This is equivalent to 13% of the supply shortage and makes the refinery Africa's biggest supplier of fuel. The data shows that only the U.S. accounted for more imports from Europe than Nigeria during this time period.

"Without Dangote Europe would have still sourced fuel, but at a much higher clearing price. Shah of Rystad said that there could have been deeper stock draws.

REFINERY HELPS TO SATISFY TIGHT MARKET

Dangote has also increased exports of gasoil and diesel, which are both?part of a group known as middle distillates of fuels.

Kpler reports that Dangote's exports of diesel and gasoil have increased by 23%, to 488,000 bpd as of 2026.

Sumit Ritolia, Kpler analyst, said that "these barrels have been increasingly supplying West Africa and Europe where they helped ease an otherwise tight middle distillate market".

Dangote's influence on the gasoline flow has been significant since Dangote started operating in 2024.

Kpler reports that Dangote has produced between 270,000 and 300,000 barrels per day of gasoline since 2026. Nigerian imports have fallen from around 400,000 bpd to 83,000 bpd.

Europe has traditionally provided the majority of this volume in a trade worth $17 billion per year.

Dangote wants to double its capacity to 1.4m bpd in 2029. This would make the refinery the second-largest in the world, alongside Reliance’s Jamnagar facility.

When asked about refinery expansion plans, Chief Executive David Bird said that a?diesel hydratreater will allow Dangote a greater range of diesel specifications to be exported.

He said, "We must ensure that we can sell our product anywhere in the globe, any time of the year."

(source: Reuters)