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Fuel prices rise in Nigeria, causing cost of living to increase ahead of the 2027 elections

Fuel prices in Nigeria have reached'record levels' as tensions in the Middle East drive up global oil prices. This is putting fresh pressure on the government of President Bola Tinubu ahead of elections scheduled in less than 6 months.

This surge occurred even though the Dangote Refinery, Africa's biggest, was operating at full speed of 700,000 barges per day. It highlights the limitations of domestic refinement in protecting consumers from the international oil market shocks.

Checks showed that the price of petrol in Lagos and Abuja rose to 1,400 naira (about $1.05) per litre this month, up from 1,200 naira one month ago. Some stations in northern Nigeria charged as much as 1,500. Diesel prices were higher at over 2,000 naira per litre.

Fuel costs are eating into our earnings. Caleb Ojobo, an Abuja truck driver, said that after buying fuel there was very little left to spend on our families.

Price increases were a result of the decision by Dangote Refinery to increase its wholesale loading bay, or gantry price, to 1,350 Naira per litre. This reflects higher crude costs and continued exposure to global market swings. Nigeria, an OPEC country, is Africa's biggest oil producer.

Fuel prices are a key test for the economic performance of the government ahead of the general elections in 2027, which will be held on 16th January.

The recent rise in petrol prices has reignited the debate about Tinubu's removal the petrol subsidy. This reform was praised by investors, but critics blamed it for worsening the cost-of-living crises that have eroded purchasing power. The president said that subsidies are not going to be reinstated.

Fuel pricing is often used as a proxy to measure the cost of living debate. And sustained increases in fuel prices increase the political pressure on reformers to show that they are delivering benefits.

Fuel prices are high because billionaire Aliko dangote is selling shares of his refinery to raise money for its expansion.

Nigerians pay more for fuel because of the initial public offering. While thousands are eager to get a piece of the refinery through the IPO, they have been paying more at the pumps.

Joe Ajaero, President of the Nigeria Labour Congress, said that the new prices continue to deepen and inflict poverty on the population. He called for additional wage support as well as more crude oil denominated in naira to be sent to the refinery to curb price increases.

Analysts predict that fuel prices will exert pressure on the inflation rate, which fell to 15.39% from 15.43% last month. The food inflation rate also decreased slightly but remained higher at 19.57%.

(source: Reuters)