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Waller calms the bond markets after Waller's Fed announcement. Traders are now preparing for US employment data.

The world's shares tipped higher on Friday ahead of U.S. employment data, while the bond market received some much-needed relief after a Federal Reserve official reduced expectations for rate hikes and drove down the dollar.

The dollar's decline had run its course, as the normal pre-payrolls patterns?played themselves out. But it left the Japanese yen poised for a weekly increase of nearly 2,5% -- its highest since late July when Japan and the United States?joined forces. The yen has seen its best weekly rise since late July, when Japan and the?U.S. conducted a rare joint effort to stop a downward spiral in the Japanese currency.

The main European stock exchanges spent their mornings going nowhere. Meanwhile, renewed increases in oil prices and gas prices across the region continued to boost bets on the European Central Bank raising its interest rates next Thursday.

Nasdaq and S&P futures both rose by 0.4%. Traders prepare for the U.S. August payrolls report, which is due at 8:30 am ET/12:30 GMT. The consensus is for a gain of 56,000 positions after a shocking drop of 23,000 in the previous month. The unemployment rate will remain at 4.1%.

The announcement comes after Federal Reserve governor Christopher Waller stated at an?NEXT Newsmaker's event on Thursday, that recent data showed some signs of deflation, and that if future reports confirmed that trend, then he would prefer to hold rates steady at the policy meeting this month.

Money markets immediately reduced the chances of a Fed rate increase this month from 63% to 50%. This is a dramatic drop. These expectations surged as global bond yields reached multi-year highs this week, fueled by fears over persistent inflation, swelling debt, and geopolitical tensions.

John Hardy is the head of global macro-strategy at Saxo Bank. He said that Waller's comments, that they finally see some disinflation, suggest that there was not much coordination within the FOMC, given what Kevin Warsh, (Fed Chair) said last week.

The market has marked down the chances of a September move, but if the jobs data is a surprise, particularly on the downside, then we may see a lot more volatility.

In Asia, MSCI’s broadest index of regional shares closed the day with a 0.8% gain and was little changed for the week.

Japan's Nikkei rose 1.3% but fell 1.9% in the last week. The blue-chips in China gave up their early gains to end the week down by 0.1%, while South Korea's KOSPI, which is a tech-heavy index, rose 1.6%. The Korean won, KRW=KFTC> also hit a new 14-month high.

U.S. JOBS DATA LOOMS Traders are preparing for the U.S. Payrolls report, ahead of the U.S. Inflation data that is expected to be closely watched next week due to the mixed signals from the Fed.

The economic data released on Thursday showed that the U.S. service sector was gaining momentum last month, with prices paid reaching a record high. Fed's "Beige Book", a survey of economic activity, also indicated that it had increased in recent weeks.

Treasuries rose after Waller's dovish remarks, with the short end leading the way, as the yield-curve bull steepened due to fading bets about imminent rate hikes.

Waller said "recent data suggests we are finally experiencing some signs of deinflation" and that, if this continued, he was "willing to hold" rates. He also said that he thought underlying inflation was "doing better than the core figures suggest."

The yield on two-year bonds remained at 4.33%, after dropping 5 basis points overnight. This is a further move away from the 20-month high of 4.41% reached Wednesday.

The 10-year yields remained at 4.75% after dropping 3 basis points overnight, and the 30-year yields remained at 5.23% following a 2-basis point drop. Germany's 10-year Bund Yield climbed 0.5 points to 3.36% in Europe, marking the fourth consecutive weekly increase and largest since mid-July.

WARNED OF INFLATION RISE

Investors who hold longer-dated bonds are still wary of inflation risk despite the lack of progress made by the U.S. to end its war with Iran and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude futures rose 7% to $95.52 per barrel this week, a six-week high.

This week, European natural gas prices also rose 7% ( TFMBMc1>) to a record high of three years. Energy companies are growing increasingly concerned about entering winter with their stores at the lowest levels in more than a decade.

Mark Dowding, Chief Investment Officer at RBC BlueBay Asset Management, said that the ECB would likely'remain on a hike path' if TTF gas futures pushed towards 100 over the coming weeks.

After a 0.6% drop overnight, the dollar was trading at 99 cents against major counterparts. The dollar is expected to drop by 0.7% in the coming week.

This helped the yen build on its gains as investors increased bets that Bank of Japan will raise rates this month. The dollar rose 0.3% last to 156.32yen after losing 1.8% overnight.

Gold held steady at $4,477 per ounce on the commodity markets after a 2% increase overnight. The week was expected to be little changed.

(source: Reuters)