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Copper firms set to gain monthly profit on the back of soft dollar
The copper price rose on Friday, and was set to gain a month-long increase as the market absorbed a lower dollar and continued supply pressure. Benchmark three-month?copper?on London Metal Exchange?was flat at $13,804.5 per?metric?ton?by 0300 GMT and was on course for a 3.25 % gain for the entire month. The most traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange increased 0.71%, to 105.510 yuan (15,635.74) per ton. This is a 2.75 percent increase since the beginning of the month. Overnight, the?dollar fell making commodities cheaper for buyers who use other currencies. Copper prices have been supported by the falling stocks, concern about supply and a good demand from China this month. Stocks of red metal at LME-registered storage facilities On Thursday, there were 255.400 tons, down by?21.38% from July. Over 60% of remaining stocks are under?cancelled?warrants, which means they're?eligible for removal. Copper has been moving into the U.S., putting pressure on the stock market ahead of possible tariffs. The Chinese demand for copper was also boosted due to a shortage of scrap metal, which forced some scrap buyers to purchase refined metal. The Yangshan Copper Premium The gauge of the physical demand for metals was $112 per ton. This is down from the monthly high but still up by 57.75%. Aluminium slipped 0.03% on the LME, while the SHFE grew 0.21%. The metal was on course to finish the month higher but it remained below its May highs, after a short-lived Middle-East peace detente in June wiped out war risk premium. Stocks of light metals in LME registered warehouses The lowest levels in the last century. Nickel ticked up 0.12% and tin 0.42%. Nickel gained 0.45%, tin 1.72%, and lead fell 1.24%.
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Sources say that India's Adani Energy is planning to sell another tranche of shares by the beginning of next fiscal year.
Two sources familiar with the issue said that India's Adani Energy Solutions could launch a second share sale to institutional investors in early fiscal next year after raising 35?billion rupies (about $367m) this week. In the last eight-month period, companies belonging to Gautam Adani’s ports-to power conglomerate raised $4.75 billion through rights issues and QIPs to fund expansions and reduce debt. Adani 'Enterprises', the group flagship, raised $2.8 billion in a rights issue and $1.58 billion by way of a QIP. Adani Power, another group company, is planning to raise $1.57 billion through a QIP. This is the largest capital raise by the group since 2023, when a short-seller's allegations roiled the shares. Adani Energy Solutions shareholder approval has been granted to raise up to 100 billion rupees in shares through one or more tranches. Sources said that if the market conditions are still favorable, the company could opt to pay the remaining amount in the next tranche. One source said that after such a positive response, the company might tap into the QIP market again towards the end of the current financial year or the beginning of next fiscal year. India's fiscal years runs from April to March. Sources requested anonymity because they are not authorized to speak to the media. Adani Energy Solution did not respond to an email seeking a comment. According to a statement from the company, mutual funds and insurance companies bought the most shares of Adani Energy Solutions in the fund-raising this week. The firm received offers that were three times the target. The shares of this firm, the largest private power transmission company in India?, have increased by more than 60% in the first half of 2026.
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Gold on the verge of ending a four-month losing streak
Investors weighed Middle East developments and the impact they have on U.S. interest rate expectations. As of 0253 GMT the spot gold price fell by 0.6%, to $4,076.53 an ounce. However, it was on track for a 0.6% weekly increase. Prices rose by about 1.7% in the last month. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery fell 0.4% to $4 074.20. Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that gold was showing a slight negative bias due to profit-taking, and a moderate rise in the U.S. Dollar. This follows the gains made by the metal yesterday, and the fall of the greenback. The dollar rose by 0.3% after a 2.4% drop on Thursday, its largest single-day decline since January 2023. Dollar-denominated goods become more expensive to overseas buyers when the U.S. dollar is stronger. Gold has had a better month than usual. Waterer stated that the metal has found a sort of cushion around the $4,000 mark, which has drawn buyers during dips. Kevin Warsh, Fed Chair, gave no indication of the next move the central bank will make at its Wednesday policy meeting. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, the markets are pricing in a 63% chance of a September rate hike. Gold is often seen by many as a hedge to inflation. However, higher interest rates can dampen its appeal because they increase the opportunity costs of holding a non-yielding investment. A drone strike in 'the Middle East that ignited fires on two vessels in Egypt’s Mediterranean port of Damietta, has created a new danger for shipping through the Suez Canal. It is one of the few major export 'routes open to Saudi oil amid an expanding U.S. Iran war. Analysts at BCA Research wrote in a report that "over the long term, the Hormuz Crisis will fade, but geopolitical... Spot silver dropped 0.8% to $58,48 an ounce. Palladium dropped 0.8% and platinum fell 1.7%, but both metals are on track for a gain in the month. (Reporting and editing by Mrigank Dahniwala in Bengaluru)
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Oil drops more than $1 despite greater flows
The oil price fell on Friday, but remained on track to a?monthly rise of around a fifth? as more supplies flowed via crucial maritime chokepoints. This was despite the?absence of major breakthroughs? in talks between the?United States? and Iran? Brent futures dropped $1.03 or 1.2% to $88 per barrel at 0215 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), however, fell $1.50 or 1.8% to $82.09 per barrel. Both benchmarks were expected to increase by about 20% on a monthly basis. Analyst at ING, Daniel?Hynes said that signs of increased flow in the Strait of Hormuz are 'offsetting' Middle East tension. Since the U.S. and Israel war against Iran began on February 28, the strait has become a focal point of the?oil market. Saudi Arabia wants to lead a coalition that will boost defence co-operation in the Bab El-Mandeb Strait and Red Sea, as well as the Gulf of Aden. These are all choke points for energy supply. Saudi Arabia's defence ministry announced that 14 countries, including Djibouti and Egypt, Pakistan, Sudan, and Turkey, support the multinational maritime defense coalition. Last week, Houthi militants aligned with Iran in Yemen declared a 'naval blockade' on Saudi Arabia. They threatened the Red Sea route used by Saudi Arabia to export oil, a "alternative" to the Strait of Hormuz. Priyanka Sackdeva, an analyst at Phillip Nova, stated that although tanker traffic continues through the Strait of Hormuz, the increased security risks have boosted insurance rates and freight costs, resulting in a geopolitical premium embedded into oil prices. Sachdeva stated that "while prices have eased off recent highs, the overall trend is still positive." (Reporting and editing by Clarence Fernandez; Sudarshan Varadhan)
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Governor of Volgograd says drone attack causes fire at Volgograd energy plant
The'regional governor, Andrei Bocharov said that a drone attack caused a fire at an energy facility in Volgograd, causing five injuries. He did not give any details about the facility. A Lukoil oil refinery is located in the region. Bocharov said on Telegram that five people were seeking medical attention after the attacks. Regional governor Yuri Slyusar posted on a messaging app that a woman was injured in Gukovo after a drone strike. Ukraine recently intensified its attacks on Russian logistic hubs such as those of the top online retailer Wildberries. It also continues to strike energy facilities, which has triggered a crisis of supply?across much of Russia. Wildberries, which had a few warehouses damaged as recently as Thursday, announced on Telegram that it?had paid? a second tranche of financial assistance to nearly 100,000 sellers who's goods were?damaged. Ukraine says that its attacks on its neighbour, which include cities under constant Russian assault, are "long-range sanctions", designed to reduce Moscow's ability to fight and force the conflict to end. (Reporting and editing by Christian Schmollinger, Clarence Fernandez and Jekaterina Gölubkova)
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South Korean shares, notoriously volatile, soar after renewed semiconductor purchases
South Korean shares rose 16% on Friday morning, fueled by a new surge in investment in global semiconductor stocks. This is the latest swing in a market that has been thrown back and forth by leveraged bets. The benchmark KOSPI rose 919.07 or 16.43% to 6,512.63 at 0115 GMT after three consecutive sessions that saw the index drop to its lowest levels since April 7. Both chipmakers are set to record record gains. Both chipmakers are responsible for more than half the KOSPI market capitalisation. The shocking turnaround was after the Philadelphia Semiconductor?Index soared 8% in U.S.A. on Thursday. Micron Technology rose 18%. Microsoft's stock jumped 15% after it reported stellar earnings, which boosted a new vigor to the AI investment outlook. Other tech-heavy market indicators also rose sharply in broader Asian markets. Japan's Nikkei gained more than 5%, while Taiwanese stocks jumped by 7%. Foreigners bought shares in South Korea worth 4.04 billion won (5.8 trillion won) on Friday. If the current gains hold, the KOSPI would?post the biggest percentage daily rise in its history. The index remains fragile, and is down over 30% from its peak in late June. South Korea announced this week new measures to curb the volatility in the stock markets caused by?leveraged product?. However, analysts say that they may not be enough to stop the skyrocketing volatility as the public's anger and pain grows over the sharp losses of this month. Han Ji-young is an analyst at Kiwoom Securities. She said: "It's a concern there is investor sentiment that they are trying to recover their losses from the recent stock market slump through leveraged bets." The KOSPI is on course for its biggest monthly drop since 1997's Asian Financial Crisis.
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At least 18 people killed in blast at Pakistan coal mine complex
The Balochistan Government reported that at least 18 coal miners died after an explosion on Thursday buried parts of a mining complex in Pakistan's Balochistan province. The government said that a rescue operation was still in progress to locate and free the 14 remaining trapped miners. Shoaib. Nosherwani is Balochistan’s.Mines and Mineral Development Minister. He told earlier that 36 people were inside the collapsed area of the complex at the time of.explosion. He said that 25 of them were missing by late Thursday night. Muhammad Atif, chief inspector of mines for the province, said that rescue efforts are underway at a depth 1,219 meters (4000 feet). He said that although there is a chance of finding some miners alive, it was not likely. Abdul?Ghani?Baloch is a senior mining official from the region. He said that two mines, which were located?closely together, had been?damaged by a powerful explosion of methane. The explosion took place in a remote region called?Sorange near the provincial capital of?Quetta. (Reporting from Saleem Ahmed, Quetta; editing by Rick Noack and Susan Fenton. Rod Nickel, Stephen Coates, and Stephen Coates.
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US Cyber Defense Agency warns that hackers are increasingly targeting water system
U.S. civilian cyber defense agency warned on Thursday of an increase in hackers who target?technology that is used to maintain, control and monitor water and wastewater systems.?Operators of these systems are advised to remove them as quickly as possible from the internet. The warning comes just two days after Minnesota’s state IT agency reported that more than 30 water systems were the target of a “coordinated cyberattack” on July 26-27. In a late-night statement on Thursday, the FBI stated that at least seven state water and wastewater utilities had reported incidents to them. Some of these activities "degraded" water operations. The New York Times reported that U.S. officials are reviewing the case and believe it is probable that hackers with Iranian links are behind the Minnesota attacks. The Iranian government's representatives did not respond immediately to a comment request. The attacks come amid an intensification in the war between Iran and the U.S., as both sides have been exchanging missile attacks and are threatening to increase destruction. Hacking activity linked to Iran targeting the U.S. Water facilities date back to before the war. However, a number of groups have launched a series prominent cyberattacks against domestic U.S. organisations, including Stryker Medical Services and the Los Angeles County Metropolitan Transportation Authority. The FBI was contacted by the White House to answer questions regarding the Minnesota incidents. The FBI didn't immediately respond to an inquiry about the alleged Iranian involvement in these incidents. Officials from the state and local governments of Minnesota have said that these attacks do not pose a threat to water safety. However, in some cases systems had to be taken offline manually and reset. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure security agency issued an alert on Thursday warning that hackers had, in some instances, changed passwords in order to lockout operators and disconnect specific devices from networks. This resulted in "boil-water notices and sustained manually operations." According to the FBI, unidentified victims reported that the "operational effects of the attacks" included, in some places, loss of pressure and flood. Minnesota IT Services, which is the information technology agency of the executive branch in the state, said that an investigation was ongoing. The majority of confirmed incidents involved the technology used by water systems to remotely monitor equipment and control it, such as programmable logic controls (PLCs) and the computer screens that operators use to manage these. John Israel, Minnesota’s chief information security officer, stated in the statement that Minnesota has “provided relevant data to the federal government which is evaluating these activities in a broader national context, and leading efforts to determine if it can be attributed a specific threat agent.” IRAN SUSPECTED Cynthia Kaiser, a senior FBI cybersecurity official told reporters that it is highly likely that Minnesota hacking campaigns are a continuation of prior Iranian-affiliated attacks on PLCs and critical infrastructure technology, as noted by CISA and the FBI in an April advisory. The advisory was updated by CISA, the FBI, NSA and other federal agencies on July 22, to include more devices that were targeted than initially tracked as well as current techniques and hacking activities. The fact that "a new advisory" was released is indicative of either a broadening or new technical details, or a re-invigoration of the campaign. Chris Day, chief technical officer for cybersecurity firm Tenable in the public sector, said that the Minnesota incidents were "consistent" and "interesting" with previous events. He also noted the information publicly reported about some systems temporarily being taken offline. (Reporting and editing by Stephen Coates, Shri Navaratnam and AJ Vicens from Detroit)
Russell: The impact of the closure on Chinese EVs is not limited to oil, but also extends beyond it.
The Indian diet cola consumer and the buyer of an electric vehicle may appear to have little in common. But they both face the risk of being affected by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
The world economy will be affected by the second and third round effects of the closure of the narrow waterway. Already, the price of refined fuels like diesel and gasoline has increased and inflation is a result.
Electric vehicles (EVs), which allow users to reduce their dependence on fossil fuels, are considered by many to be a big winner in the current conflict between Iran and the United States.
EVs, however, are still exposed to the Strait of Hormuz because the manufacturing of their batteries relies on sulphuric acids. This is a component that is used in the extraction of nickel and lithium.
The high-pressure acid-leach method is essential for the extraction of battery-grade Nickel from ore in mines in Indonesia, which is the world's largest producer of metal.
Copper and lithium are also produced in Australia.
Before the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran on February 28, about half of the world's seaborne sulphur passed through the Strait of Hormuz and largely went to Asia.
Sulphur is produced as a byproduct when crude oil or gas is refined into fuels. Middle East countries like the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait are major suppliers of raw materials used to produce sulphuric acids.
Bulk carriers usually transport sulphur, but volumes have fallen since the Iran conflict began. According to Kpler's commodity analysts, only 30,000 tons of metric sulphur made it through in April and 188,000 tons in March.
Kpler reported that this was a decrease from the average of 1.27 millions tons per month during the three months before the beginning of the conflict.
Delivered prices in Asia have risen by 50% since the beginning of the war, to $880 per ton.
Sulphuric Acid costs will rise for nickel, lithium, and copper miners. But the greater concern is that there could be a shortage of sulphuric acids.
The risk is that some miners may have to cut back production if they cannot obtain enough sulphuric acids.
RISE IN CONCERN
The sulphuric-acid supply is becoming increasingly difficult to secure on a long-term basis, according to several mining executives from Indonesian and Australian companies that attended the Asian Battery Raw Materials Conference held in Hanoi last month.
China's EV makers and battery manufacturers are vulnerable to any disruption in the supply of lithium as well as nickel from Australia.
Alternatives to sulphuric acids are available, but are not suitable for producing battery-grade Nickel. For copper and lithium, they require more energy to produce smaller volumes.
The processing of metals may not be a crisis yet, but the closer we get to that point the longer the Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed.
This raises the issue of what Beijing will do if the threat to its EV industry and battery industries is more than just a remote possibility.
The logical next step would be to increase pressure on Iran, its ally, and Donald Trump in the United States to reach an accord that at least reopens all traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
Other impacts are already felt, besides crude oil and LNG.
Before the Iran?war, about 8% of the global aluminium supply passed through the Strait of Hormuz. This has now largely ceased.
Kpler data shows that 20,000 tonnes of lightweight metal left the Strait of Hormuz in April. This is down from a previous average of 1,26 million tons during the three months before the beginning of the war.
Loss of these cargoes have tightened the supply of aluminium in India. This has led to a shortage of Diet Coke which is sold only in aluminum cans.
This is a 'inconvenience' for Diet Coke consumers, but it also shows how shortages can occur in unexpected places, disrupting supply chains and leading to higher prices.
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These are the views of the columnist, an author for.
(source: Reuters)