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MORNING BID AMERICA-Oil fears shroud tech splurge

What's important in the U.S. and international markets today by Mike Dolan, Editor at Large,?Finance and Markets

The markets can't ignore the new surge in oil prices due to the Iran war. The global crude oil prices rose to their highest levels since the beginning of the war amid reports that Washington is considering a return to military action in order to break the impasse. The price of the June Brent futures contract hit a four-year high of $126 per barrel on the last day, and the new benchmark for July surged up to $115/bbl, before falling back. The Fed's Wednesday hawkish stance was largely influenced by the fuel price squeeze.

Below, I'll go into more detail. Check out my most recent column about the signs that U.S. Inflation is on the rise. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a week.

OIL FEAR SHROUDS THE TECH SPLURGE On Wednesday, the Fed kept rates the same. However, three regional presidents voted in favor of removing references to "easing bias" from its statement. Jerome Powell, the outgoing chair of the Fed, surprised many when he announced that he would stay on in a board position - at least temporarily - once his chairmanship ended next month.

Powell's tenure on the board will last until the early part of 2028. This means that there won't be a vacancy in the board immediately for President Trump. Futures markets have eliminated all bets that the Fed will ease this year. There is a 1 in 3 chance of a rate increase by April next year. Treasury yields have risen again. The 30-year yield briefly topped 5% for the firs time since September. The dollar briefly jumped, but was knocked back below 160 yen due to Japanese intervention fears.

Today, the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE) will announce their rates. Both are expected to hold policy, but also warn of inflationary pressures related to oil. Meanwhile, after the Wednesday bell, mega-cap earnings swept in. Alphabet's share price soared by more than 6 percent on the back of its impressive cloud business and its beating. Meta, however, fell more than 6 percent as investors worried about its recent capex boost. Share price reactions were subdued to Microsoft and Amazon's results, but there was no major red or green flag in the massive AI buildout. The spending by the "hyperscalers" this year will likely top $700 billion.

The bill may be justified, or it may not. But the demand for AI equipment and chips will continue to rise for the time being while the final outcome of the massive capex is still being assessed. Finaly, Asian shares dropped?on Thursday's renewed oil surge, while European stocks opened lower and Wall Street Futures were mixed.

Chart of the Day South Korean tech giant Samsung Electronics announced record quarterly profits driven by a?jump of 49-fold in chip income. It said it expects supply shortages to worsen next year, as clients invest more on AI. The results come just a day after U.S. megacaps Microsoft Alphabet Amazon and Meta revealed that their 2026 capex plans have now topped $700 billion.

Watch today's events

* U.S. PCE inflation data for March (8:30 am EDT), and weekly jobless claims (8:30 am EDT).

Apple's earnings in the U.S.

Bank of England rate decision (7:15 am EDT) & European Central Bank rate announcement (8:15 am EST). EDT)

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(source: Reuters)