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Copper falls to a one-week low due to weak China data

Prices of copper fell to a one-week low on Monday, as concerns about demand were exacerbated by weak economic data from China, the world's largest consumer and high oil costs. Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange traded 0.6% lower, at $13,470 per metric ton. This was a drop from a previous low of $13,394.5. It has fallen 5% since reaching a three-and-a half month high of $14196.50, last week.

The traders said that the Chinese data triggered an unwinding of positions long - bets made on higher prices by funds and traders. China's industrial output data increased 4.1% from a previous year in April, compared to a 5.7% increase in March. This was below a polled forecast of 5.9% growth, and marked the?slowest rate of growth since July 2023. Brent crude futures jumped more than 1% above $110 per barrel after an attack on a nuclear power plant in the United Arab Emirates and the apparent failure to end the U.S./Israeli war against Iran.

Britannia Global Markets wrote in a report that "that fuelled further speculation" about the need for central banks to continue tightening their monetary policies. This could harm metals, as it would slow global growth and reduce demand from manufacturers.

A disruption in the Middle East's production, which is responsible for 9% global supply, has shifted attention to aluminium.

"Aluminium has a very clear deficit." Analysts at Marex predicted that the market would be'short by about 1.5 million tons prior to the latest Middle East disruption risk.

A Strait of Hormuz supply shock may remove 3 million tons of aluminum supply this year, pushing 2026's shortfall to 3.3 million tonne. The supply concerns led to large backwardations or premiums on contracts for aluminium with shorter maturities compared to contracts nearer the Strait of Hormuz.

Prices of industrial metals were supported by a softer dollar, which made metals cheaper for holders of other currencies.

Aluminium for three-months was unchanged at $3,563 per ton. Zinc rose by 0.1% to $4,537. Lead firmed up 0.2% to $2,982. Tin gained 0.4% to $52,550. Nickel fell 0.2% to 18450.

(source: Reuters)