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Swiss stocks: Factors to be on the lookout for on August 3.
Here are a few of the main factors that could affect Swiss stocks on Monday. BUSINESS STATEMENTS HOLCIM - AG Swiss building materials'supplier HOLCIM said?on a Sunday that it planned to sell its Philippines business in a deal worth at least $807 millions to China Huaxin Building Materials. NOVARTIS FDA approves 'pluvicto' for PSMA+ metastatic prostate cancer with hormone-sensitive metastatic (MHSPC). This could be a?new standard in metastatic disease. Analysts' Views COMET HOLDING AG: Berenberg increases target price from CHF 480 to CHF 490- COMET?HOLDINGAG: JP Morgan increases?target to?CHF565 from?CHF500 BUCHER INDUSTRIESAG: Berenberg reduces target to CHF360 from CHF366 ECONOMY Swiss July CPI is due at 0630 GMT. Swiss July Manufacturing PMI is due at 0730 GMT. SNB sight deposits due at 0800 GMT. (Reporting by ?Zurich newsroom and Gdansk newsroom) |1|For Top ?News in ?a multimedia Web format on Eikon visit: https://bit.ly/2NDFd6g FOR RELATED PRICES, ?NEWS AND OTHER TOPICS, ?DOUBLE-CLICK ON: Daily Swiss stock market report in German All SMI ?constituent stocks DJ STOXX index Top ?10 STOXX sectors Top ?10 EUROSTOXX sectors Swiss mid-cap index Swiss all-share index Swiss market digest Sector overview All Swiss news Swiss research news All equity news SPEED GUIDES: |1|
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The list of things to do for Yen gets longer from here
Ankur Banerjee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets Tokyo's coordinated efforts to?pull the Japanese yen away from its 40-year-lows were probably the thing that was needed to?turn the tide for the frail?yen. But monetary policy?follow-through?will be required to make the move last. Japan and the United States have conducted a coordinated yen buying intervention, Japan’s finance ministry announced on Monday. This is a rare bilateral move, the first since 2011. They also warned that they would not hesitate to take additional action. The joint effort was highlighted in a photograph taken on Friday. U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent revealed a "to-do list" during a Cabinet meeting, indicating he is 'contemplating U.S. purchase of Japanese yen worth $5 billion to 10 billion dollars. The Camp David notepad, which was taken over Bessent’s shoulder during a on-the-record part of the meeting, bears the highlighted words "To Do", followed by "Buy Japanese Yuen (JPY), $5-10 bil." Japan's to-do lists are likely to be longer. After Donald Trump announced that talks would take place with Iran later in the afternoon, the oil-importing nation will be hoping for a deal ending the Middle East war. Oil prices fell following Trump's remarks, but Asian stocks continued to be under pressure due to investors remaining sceptical about a deal. Analysts point out that Japan’s monetary policies?remain the critical part of the overall picture, as interest rate differentials must be narrowed for the yen's strength. This has put pressure on the Bank of Japan to raise rates and soon. The yield on the two-year JGB, which is the most sensitive to near-term policy changes, briefly reached 1.545%. This was the highest level since 1995 as markets priced in an early rate hike. Analysts believe that the sudden spike in the early Asian hours could have been another intervention. The currency was now trading at 156.54 U.S. dollars, which is well away from the July 1986 lows of 163.99. The key developments that may influence the markets on Monday are: Germany retail sales data for June and July, PMI data from France, Germany, UK, and the Euro zone. (By Ankur Banerjee, Singapore; edited by Jacqueline Wong.
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Gold prices rise as oil prices fall after Trump delays Iran attack
Gold prices rose on Monday as oil fell after U.S. president Donald Trump held off on new attacks against Iran, hoping for a quick deal. This helped ease concerns about inflation and rising interest rates. As of 0437 GMT, spot gold rose 0.7% to $4,068.54 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures increased 0.9% to $4 066.60. After the authorities intervened on the foreign exchange market in order to support the Japanese yen, the U.S. Dollar was under pressure. This made dollar-priced gold more affordable for buyers overseas. Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst at KCM Trade. He said that gold has had a "relatively cheery" start to the week, but the gains are limited due to the uncertainty surrounding the Middle East and oil markets. Trump stated that talks with Iran would take place on Monday, but declined to give a deadline. Oil prices dropped more than 5%. Since the beginning of the U.S. - Iran conflict, gold has been under pressure as a rise in inflation caused by war could lead central banks to increase interest rates. While bullion has traditionally been regarded as a hedge to inflation, it loses its appeal in an environment of high interest rates because it doesn't yield any?interest. The market participants will also be focusing on the U.S. employment reports that are due this week. These include the ADP Employment Report, weekly 'jobless claims' and the nonfarm Payrolls Report. Waterer stated that "any renewed escalation of the Middle East, which would push oil prices higher, or a strong NFP report, which would reinforce the September rate-hike chances, could cap the upside." Three U.S. Federal Reserve members who dissented from the meeting last week and favored a rate increase expressed concern on Friday about the inflation remaining stuck above the Fed's target of 2% without an immediate rise in short-term borrowing rates. In a recent note, Standard Chartered analysts said that they continue to expect the gold price to recover on the back of seasonal buying. Silver spot rose 1.4%, to $58.46. Platinum rose 0.5%, to $1650.63. Palladium rose 1.6%, to $1293.50. Ashitha Shivaprasad reports from Bengaluru, and Subhranshu sahu edits. Sherry Jacob Phillips.
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Officials say that Indonesia has resumed exports of minerals with rare earth byproducts.
Indonesia has resumed the export of minerals which may contain rare earth elements in their byproducts. This follows complaints from metals industries about delays due to mandatory rare earth content inspections. The testing of rare earth elements (REEs) in minerals such as bauxite and alumina has caused delays to the exports. Exporting rare earth elements as primary products is in fact prohibited. In a press briefing, Dudung Abdurachman, chief of staff to the president, said that it does not apply automatically to REEs found in products and derivatives as byproducts or accompanying elements. Dudung Abdurachman, the presidential chief of staff, said that this announcement was "a transitional guideline for exporters, surveyors and customs authorities" while the government prepared regulations to address issues surrounding rare earth content exports. He said that the government would'meet on Monday with stakeholders to discuss concentration limits for each of the elements, laboratory testing methods and verification mechanisms, as well as guidelines for issuing surveys. Surveyors are reluctant to issue export documents due to the lack of guidelines. They fear prosecution following a recent investigation into mineral shipments that allegedly contained REEs. Indonesia is one of the largest exporters of minerals. However, its production of rare earths remains small, and occurs mainly as byproducts. The government did not specify how much rare earth may be in other minerals. Dudung stated that PT Sucofindo which carries out 'the mandatory testing program' will soon release 85 surveyors reports that have been delayed because they showed traces of rare Earth elements. Nickel industry group FINI stated last week that businesses are waiting for around 120 surveyors reports. Previously, there were just a little over 100 ships that were delayed. Dudung stated that the ships are now able sail. He said that the companies exporting alumina and copper cathode as well as nickel-derived products are the main recipients of delayed surveyor reports. Dudung said that exports of mining product containing radioactive elements could be permitted as long as they "are classified as naturally occurring material" and meet safety tests and requirements as per regulations. Indonesia, a country rich in minerals, has a desire to develop its own rare earth industry. President Prabowo Subianto formed a mineral agency that will oversee the effort. The mineral agency announced earlier this year that it had identified eight blocks with a high potential for rare earths and would conduct research on their processing technology. (Reporting and writing by Stefanno Sulaiman; Bernadette Cristina, Ananda Terresia, editing by John Mair, David Stanway, and Fransiska Naangoy)
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Sinopec China opens high-end PVA factory, aims to import substitution
Sinopec, a Chinese oil company, announced on Monday that it has opened a polyvinyl ethanol (PVA), resin plant in Chongqing. This will help China reduce its dependency on imported materials. The 50,000-metric-ton-per-year plant, operated by Sinopec Chongqing SVW Chemical Co, raises the site's total PVA capacity to 210,000 tons a year, ?Sinopec said in a statement. PVA is an?water-soluble biodegradable polymer that's used in a wide range of products, from face masks to high-value applications such as photovoltaics, electronics, and pharmaceuticals. The company stated that the expansion will make the Chongqing site the largest single-site production facility for 'high-end PVA' and its total PVA capability to the fourth-largest in the world. The company stated that China has relied on imports of high-end PVA for optical films and pharmaceutical applications. The new plant, however, can produce products in large quantities that are comparable to international standards, thus helping to close a 'domestic gap' and strengthening the resiliency of China's industrial supply chain. Chongqing SVW Chemical exports 70 different products to over 40 countries. Sinopec stated that more than 80% of China's PVA exported to Europe's premium market is produced at this?plant. It also added that it was the only domestic PVA manufacturer to enter the U.S. marketplace. (Reporting and editing by Jamie Freed; Sam Li, Lewis Jackson)
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Sarawak, Malaysia is grappling with a rise in crocodile incidents
One indigenous village in Malaysia's Sarawak State lived by a?unspoken rule. Leave the crocodile alone and it will leave you alone. This taboo was broken by the head of the community, Daniel?Muking. His son, who died in a crocodile-attacked attack on May 20, 2024, had been found dead. He said, "It ate my child so I'm entitled to kill it." Sarawak, on Borneo Island, has experienced a 'rise in crocodile sightings over the past few years due to the increase in reptiles?in its rivers. According to a study, the crocodile's population reached over 25,000 by 2024. In 1980s it was nearly extinct due to overexploitation. Between 2023 and 2025 there were?22 deaths caused by crocodiles, of which five have occurred this year. Len Talif Salleh, deputy Minister of Natural Resources in Sarawak, said that authorities must balance wildlife protection with the safety and security of riverside communities. As part of its efforts to?manage the crocodile populations, the Sarawak government issued hunting licenses and launched a mobile phone app for the public. The?Sarawak Forestry Corporation stated that crocodile attacks are down compared to the 20-year period prior. Abang Arabi AbangAimran, the general manager of the corporation, stated that crocodiles are more likely to appear near human settlements, because they can easily find food there. Authorities worked with licensed hunters and local communities in order to remove crocodiles from rivers close to human settlements. Families like Daniel's have finally found closure, after the crocodile they identified as killing their son was finally?hunted. Daniel replied, "I would also like to eat the flesh of that animal if possible." (Reporting and writing by Mandy Leong Huey Mu, Hasnoor Hassain and Danial Azhar. Editing by Lincoln Feast.)
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Nickel exports to Indonesia are now more open
Nickel fell on Monday and lagged other base metals as Indonesia resumed exports of rare-earth minerals, which eased?near term supply concerns. The three-month nickel price on the London Metal Exchange has fallen 1.56% to $16,980 per metric ton as of 0330 GMT, while the most traded nickel contract on Shanghai Futures Exchange has dropped 1.91%, to 129.520 yuan (19,179.34 dollars) per ton. Indonesia's rare-earth tests delayed the export of nickel pig iron, mixed hydroxide precipitate as well as bauxite and copper cathodes. Dudung Abdurachman, the Chief of Staff to the President, said that the testing ban only applied when rare earths were the main product. He added that over a hundred vessels that had been delayed could now sail. He added that the State Surveyor will be issuing 85 reports previously delayed. The clarification has reportedly quelled fears that nickel shipments from Indonesia will be disrupted for a long time. However, officials are still working on finalising concentration limits and testing methods. Other data showed that weaker than expected Chinese manufacturing data increased pressure on metals demand by the world's biggest consumer. The private RatingDog Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index fell to 50.9 from 51.7 in the previous month, below analysts' consensus of 51.5. This was the slowest growth in four months. The growth in new orders has slowed down to its lowest level since January. Manufacturers have also cut their purchasing activity for the first time since November. A survey released by the government on Friday revealed that factory activity had unexpectedly decreased in July. This has added to concerns over weak domestic demand and a slowing economy. On the?LME copper rose 0.23%. Aluminium fell 0.09%. Zinc climbed 0.70%. Lead was barely changed. It dropped only?0.03%. Tin also moved down by 0.12%. Other base metals traded on the SHFE rose by 0.13%, while aluminium fell 0.40%. Zinc grew 1.02%. Lead dropped 1.25%. Tin gained 0.36%.
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Gold prices rise as oil prices fall after Trump delays Iran attack
Gold prices rose on Monday as oil prices dropped after U.S. President Donald Trump held back on announcing new attacks against Iran, hoping for a quick deal. This helped ease concerns about inflation and rising interest rates. As of 0210 GMT, spot gold was up 0.4% to $4,055.76 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures increased 0.9% to $4054.00. After authorities intervened on the foreign exchange markets to support the yen and make dollar-priced gold more affordable for overseas purchasers, the U.S. Dollar was under pressure. Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that gold has had a positive but cautious start to the week. Trump confirmed that he would be holding a?meeting with Iran on Monday, but refused to give a timeframe for a?agreement. Oil prices dropped more than 5%. Since the beginning of the U.S. - Iran conflict, gold has been under pressure as a rise in inflation caused by war could lead central banks to increase interest rates. While bullion has traditionally been viewed as an inflation hedge, its appeal is diminished in an environment of high interest rates because it doesn't yield any interest. Three U.S. Federal Reserve representatives who dissented last week at the policy meeting in favor of a rate increase expressed concern on Friday that inflation would remain above the Fed's target of 2% without an immediate rise in short-term borrowing costs. Participants in the market will also be focusing on a number of U.S. job reports that are due this week. These include the ADP Employment Report, weekly claims for unemployment and the non-farm payrolls. "A sustained rise would require a drop in oil prices, a weaker dollar or a change in Fed expectations towards a more dovish position. Waterer said that the downside could be a renewed Middle East escalation that would push oil prices higher or a strong NFP report that reinforces the September rate-hike chances. Spot silver rose 0.9% to $58.13, while platinum increased 0.5% to 1,649.35 and palladium climbed 1.7% to $2,294.92.
Oil prices fall on hope of Iran agreement, but yen rises after intervention
Oil prices fell and stocks wobbled Monday, as 'hopes for a Middle East peace deal grew. The yen also jumped after the U.S. confirmed a joint intervention by Japan and the U.S. to support the 'frail currency.
Brent crude futures fell more than 4%, to $83,88, after U.S. president?Donald?Trump announced that talks with Iran would take place on Monday. He had previously called off an imminent strike on Iran in order to reach a settlement to reopen Strait of Hormuz, and to resolve the impasse regarding Tehran's nuke capabilities.
S&P futures increased by 0.5%, while Nasdaq Futures gained 0.8%. European futures rose 0.7%.
Asian stocks struggled to start the week, however, after a turbulent month that saw wild swings in July due to concerns over the AI trade. Investors were worried about the massive investment and whether or not it would provide returns "quickly" enough.
Japan's Nikkei fell by nearly 2% while South Korea's KOSPI dropped over 4%. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan fell about 1%.
YEN BEAR COWER FOLLOWING JOINT INTERVENTION
The Japanese yen rose 0.5% to 156.47 US dollars after an abrupt move earlier in day alerted traders for another round of intervention.
Japan and the U.S. have conducted coordinated yen buying intervention and will not hesitate to take additional action, Japan’s finance ministry announced on Monday. This confirms a rare bilateral measure to stop the yen’s slide to new 40-year-lows.
Scott Bessent, U.S. Treasury secretary, said that the United States will?consider in the coming months increasing the size of Federal Reserve's temporary dollar liquidity repurchase facility. He called the tool "important backstop".
Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at StoneX, said that Besent's remarks?carry a?greater weight than the actual intervention. It feels like the Japanese yen is at its lowest level for the year. "The term 'joint interventions' is rarely used in these markets, but it carries a great deal of weight."
Trump had said that the United States would help Japan support the yen in a show of friendship and as a way to boost the global economy.
"They are experiencing a weakening of the yen and wanted some help." "We're always here for Japan," Trump stated.
Tokyo's unilateral intervention between late April to early May only caused a?brief yen recovery, while the Bank of Japan rate hike in the month of June provided little support, underlining the challenges facing policymakers due to rising oil prices and an interest rate differential with other major economies.
Before the latest round of interventions, the yen was rooted at a 40-year low of 163.99 dollars per yen, and net short positions were around $12.5 billion, the highest level in the past two years.
The billions spent by Japan and the joint moves made by the two countries have shown that they are determined to strengthen the yen. This is what Nick Twidale, ATFX Global's chief market strategist said.
The fundamentals will have to change for these changes to be sustainable. Once the market feels that these actions are complete, they will begin to challenge them.
Bessent's repeated calls for the BOJ to increase interest rates and his actions have brought monetary policy into sharp focus.
On Monday, the 2-year JGB yield briefly reached 1.545%, its highest level since 1995 as markets priced in an early rate increase.
The drop in oil prices also led to a decrease in the yields on U.S. Treasury bonds. The 30-year bond yield fell 3.7 basis point to 5.238%. This is a slight decrease from the 19-year high that was reached last week. Investors were confused by the Iran War and the Federal Reserve's policy outlook in July, which caused the yield to jump 372 basis point. Reporting by Ankur Banerjee, Singapore; Editing and proofreading by Muralikumar Anantharaman
(source: Reuters)