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MORNING BID AMERICAS - Outer SpaceX

What is important in the U.S. and international markets today by Mike Dolan Editor-at-Large of Finance and Markets

After all the 'doubts and hand-wringing the S&P 500 & Dow Jones have returned to record highs. They surged on Tuesday amid the falling oil prices & bumper earnings season. SpaceX's shares dropped despite exceeding?revenue estimates in its first quarterly earnings report.

Below, I'll delve deeper into that. Check out my midweek column where I discuss the possibility of an AI "jobsmageddon", and more. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast where we talk about yesterday's outstanding earnings reports. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear our journalists discuss all of the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks.

Outer SpaceX The market's reaction to SpaceX’s first earnings release was not positive, despite the company’s strong top-line numbers. Discussions centered on the company's rising AI capex, and its cash burn. There was also concern over whether the sale of early investors and insider shares would put pressure on the stock when the post-IPO locking periods expired. AMD's stock also fell overnight following its own forecast beating update. Palantir's shares soared by nearly 30% earlier in the day after it announced its impressive quarter results. Dow-stalwart Caterpillar, meanwhile, also saw its share price rise. The reporting season was a remarkable success, with the indexes gaining overnight. The strong Wall Street performance yesterday may have been due in part to Brent crude which fell another 5% on Wednesday to below $80 a barrel. Prices rose above this level again on Wednesday, after Yemen's Iran aligned Houthi rebels claimed to have attacked a Saudi tanker in Red Sea.

Washington officials also said that the mediation between the U.S., Iran and other countries on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz may?bear fruits this week. Tehran denies direct talks are taking place with the U.S., but it has said that talks with Oman about transit through the Strait of Hormuz were ongoing. Qatari officials have said that go-betweens made progress in the efforts to end the war. The strait has also been busier in recent weeks. The oil price decline has also cooled the yields on Treasury bonds, even though Kansas City Fed Chief Jeffrey Schmid stated Tuesday that tightening policy would be needed to bring inflation back to the 2% target. In the wake of this week's major labor market reports, we have learned that hiring has increased but job openings decreased in June. Today's schedule includes the private sector payrolls for June.

The bond market must also consider the latest quarterly details of refunding, which are due to be released later today. This will allow them to determine how the higher borrowing totals?are spread along the yield curve. Recently, the U.S. financial situation took a new blow. On Tuesday, there were reports that the U.S. had already paid up to $100 billion in rebates for tariffs imposed by the Supreme Court earlier this year. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that he will do "whatever is necessary" to help Japan defend the yen on the currency markets. He also urged the Fed to increase the size of the repo facility used in the joint intervention last week. The yen seems to be stabilising at higher levels for the time being.

Chart of the Day Chipmaker AMD's shares fell 7% before Thursday's bell, despite beating quarterly revenue estimates overnight. High valuations means that?the bar is high to impress Wall Street. The stock is up 140% this year, as the AI frenzy 'catapulted chip shares higher around the world. AMD's $850 billion market capitalization means its price-to-forward-earnings valuation is now an eye-watering 43 times - far higher than the 25 times for the U.S. chip sector overall and more than twice Nvidia's multiple.

Watch today's events

* U.S. ADP July payrolls (8.15 am EDT), ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for July (10.30 am EDT).

* U.S. Corporate Earnings: Eli Lilly (Sandisk), Western Digital, Disney and Uber

Mary Daly, President of the San Francisco Fed and Fed Governor Lisa Cook both speak

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(source: Reuters)