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As the Iran war intensifies, stocks are gaining but will still suffer steep losses each week

European stocks were up while U.S. Futures were little changed on Friday, as oil prices stabilized. Global equities are still on course for their steepest drop weekly in a decade - the Middle East conflict is showing no signs of abating.

The dollar, which had risen by around 1.4% in the past week, is now 'flat'. Treasuries and Asian stocks both steadied, as investors awaited important U.S. employment data due later that day. Matt Britzman is a senior equity analyst with Hargreaves Lansdown. He said that global markets were looking more positive, even if just a little, today. This was largely due to a drop in oil prices following a volatile energy market week.

In early European trading the STOXX 600 index in Europe rose 0.45%, while Germany's DAX grew 0.75%. The FTSE 100 of Britain also increased by 0.48%.

The futures on the U.S. S&P 500 index and Nasdaq index were unchanged. Investors were frightened by the possibility that the U.S. and Israel war against Iran could last longer than originally anticipated. They sought safety in cash.

The MSCI world stock index is on course to fall 2.6%, the largest weekly drop since March 2025.

The traders also began to price in the more hawkish expectations of major central banks. They were frightened by the prospect that inflation would rise if energy prices continue to spike.

The yields on U.S. Treasuries jumped 18 basis points, the highest in almost a year, and the dollar is set to make its biggest weekly gain in sixteen months.

OIL STEADIES as U.S. mulls action

Oil prices stabilized on Friday, as investors weighed up U.S. attempts to limit fuel price increases. This helped ease market concerns over inflation and economic damage.

Brent crude futures are roughly stable at $85.60 a barrel, the highest level since July 2024. They are on course for a weekly increase of 18%, the biggest since Russia's full-scale invasion in Ukraine in February 2022.

U.S. crude remained flat at $81 per barrel, bringing its weekly gain up to over 20%.

A senior White House official revealed that the U.S. Treasury Department was considering actions to curb the rise in energy prices. The U.S. granted a temporary waiver on Thursday to allow India the right to purchase Russian oil.

Investors are increasingly concerned that the spike in oil prices will continue, pushing inflation up around the globe, said Jim Reid of Deutsche Bank, the global head of macro-research.

He said: "The truth is that we continue trading competing headlines with risk appetite swinging in and out over the past 24 hours."

High-Flying Trades TUMBLE

MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose by 0.2% but was expected to drop?6% this week. This would be its biggest weekly?drop in six years. South Korea's Kospi is on track to have its biggest weekly drop in six years, with a 10.5% decline. This is part of an ongoing trend where previously high-flying investments are now falling as investors look to reduce their exposure to global markets.

The U.S. dollar paused Friday, but it was still on course for a gain of up to 1.4% on a weekly basis. This was boosted by the demand for safe havens and lower expectations about rate easing in the U.S. The euro, still vulnerable to an increase in energy costs, is expected to drop 1.7% this week. Investors now expect the Federal Reserve to ease by 40 basis points this year, down from 56 bps last week. Investors expect the European Central Bank to raise rates before year's end.

At 8:30 am ET, 1330 GMT, the U.S. government will release potentially market-moving data. This includes non-farm payrolls. ET).

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds was last stable at 4.15%.

Gold spot was unchanged at $5,106 per ounce in other parts of the world, but it was heading for a weekly decline of 3%. Reporting by Harry Robertson, Rae Wee and Jamie Freed in Singapore. Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman and Kate Mayberry.

(source: Reuters)