Latest News

MORNING BID AMERICAS-Hormuz haze hits markets

MORNING BID AMERICAS-Hormuz haze hits markets
MORNING BID AMERICAS-Hormuz haze hits markets

By Mike Dolan

March 3rd -

Mike Dolan is Editor-at-Large for Finance and Markets.

The world's markets continue to be rattled by the Middle East conflict, which is now in its third day. There are still no signs of an end date or location for the regional conflict.

Energy prices are still at the center of financial transmission. Crude oil is rising again as?shipping and oil and gas installations, military and civilian targets, and oil and gasoline pipelines continue to be hit by Iran in retaliation for the weekend strikes.

Below, I'll go into more detail. Check out my most recent column about what's driving the recent dollar rally. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks.

HORMUZ HAZEL HITS THE MARKETS Brent oil hit a 14 month high, and at $82.37 a barrel, is $10 more than Friday's closing price. U.S. crude oil hit an 8-month high at $75.55 a barrel. However, markets are waiting for a government announcement scheduled on Tuesday about plans to mitigate the impact of this on U.S. consumer.

Details are not clear, but they could include the release of U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserves or domestic subsidies. Wall Street stocks rebounded on Monday, with the S&P 500 returning to its opening levels. The tech sector led the way. But that felt like programmatic trading based on 'buy-the-dip' models based on the relatively brief energy price spikes experienced in recent Middle East conflict. This one is very different. Wall Street index futures have fallen?almost 2 percent. Today, stocks in Europe and Asia fell sharply. Japan's Nikkei index, the eurozone Stoxx and Britain's FTSE 100 each fell about 3%. South Korea's high flying?Kospi plunged 7% after Seoul returned from its holiday on 'Monday.

The 10-year Treasury bond yield is up 13 basis points since Friday's closing.

The markets are not expecting a Federal Reserve rate reduction until September. There are also doubts that there will be another this year, with only 42bps of cut priced in by the end of December. The traders are also busy pricing in any future rate cuts by the European Central Bank. The report released on Monday showed that U.S. manufacturers had already seen a spike in input costs in February, to the highest levels since 2022. This was even before the latest oil price surge. ECB watchers also digested a higher than expected flash inflation reading in the eurozone last month. The dollar is still favored by default in calculations of relative energy impacts, while the euro has fallen to its lowest level in six weeks due to 'worrying price increases for natural gas in the EU. The benchmark price of natural gas in the region hit its highest level in three years on February 2nd - an increase of?30% over the previous year. The Bank of Tokyo?warned about possible interventions to arrest the yen's weakness. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank stated that it would be more willing to interfere to counteract the rise of the safe-haven currency franc. The subsequent fallback of the franc coincided with a strange retreat in gold.

Chart of the day

Qatar, as the Middle East conflict gripped all of the region this week and condemned Iranian attacks on their territory, said that it "reserved a right to respond".

Qatar, the third largest exporter of natural gas liquefied in the world, has seen its natural gas prices rise this week due to attacks on its energy infrastructure. On Tuesday, European benchmarks for natural gas reached their highest level in three years.

Watch today's events

* Neel Kahkari, Neel Williams and Jeffrey Schmid of the Kansas Fed all speak

* U.S. Corporate earnings: Best Buy Target CrowdStrike

Want to receive Morning Bid every morning in your email? Subscribe to the newsletter by clicking here. Follow us on LinkedIn, X and ROI. The opinions expressed here are the author's. These opinions do not represent the views of News. News is a non-partisan organization that adheres to the Trust Principles and values integrity, independence, freedom from bias, and impartiality.

(source: Reuters)