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Stocks increase as US shutdown ends; tech niggles persist

The dollar held steady on Tuesday as global shares rose, boosted by the relief that the U.S. shutdown will soon be over. However, gains were moderated by persistent concerns about the valuations of the technology sector.

European shares rose early in trading. The gains were led by London's FTSE 100 which reached record highs. This was due to the pound falling after British employment data gave investors greater confidence that the Bank of England would cut rates next month in order to boost growth.

On Monday, the U.S. Senate approved a deal that will restore funding to the U.S. government after its longest-ever shutdown. The U.S. Senate will release an array of economic data on everything from jobs to industrial output, which could cause some volatility in the markets.

DATA DELUGE IS COMING

"Obviously, there's still a lot to be done about the shutdown." "The House must pass it, and given the arithmetic of that House, this seems pretty certain," Investec Chief Economist Philip Shaw said. He was referring to Republican majority in House of Representatives.

"The data flood is going to be an enormous market event." He said that one question to ask is whether data and analysis from the Fed are in line with each other.

Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, warned against making assumptions about a possible rate cut in December, not least due to uncertainty regarding key employment and inflation data.

STOXX 600 rose 0.6%, despite a 0.1% decline in S&P and Nasdaq Futures. This was against the backdrop of a weaker session in Asia.

SHUTDOWN COMPROMISE CLEARS SENATE

The agreement on the shutdown is now headed to the House. Speaker Mike Johnson said that he would pass it by Wednesday, and then send it to President Donald Trump for him to sign.

Prediction markets such as online Polymarket have almost fully priced-in for the end week.

According to UBP economist Carlos Casanova, the shutdown of nearly six weeks will likely have already reduced fourth-quarter GDP by between 0.4-1%.

The market, I believe, is repricing the rebound one quarter in advance.

The Nasdaq closed the day with its biggest daily gain since the middle of October, while the S&P 500 posted its biggest percentage gain in a single day since mid-October.

A basket of U.S. tech companies with AI links rose 2.8% on Monday, the largest one-day gain since May. SoftBank Group in Japan, which released its quarterly results on Monday, revealed that it sold its entire stake of Nvidia in October for $5.83billion.

STERLING WILT

The pound had the worst performance on the currency market against the dollar. The pound fell nearly 0.4%, to $1.3128. Data showed that British wage growth had slowed, and unemployment increased in the three-month period ending September. Separate data also showed that consumer spending in October had slowed.

The figures strengthen the argument for the BoE cutting rates next month. But they also reveal the uncertainty that is weighing down on British households, businesses, and the economy ahead of the annual budget due from Finance Minister Rachel Reeves on November 26. It is widely expected that the budget will contain even more tax increases.

The Japanese yen reached its lowest level since February at 154.49 per dollar before paring back some of this loss to trade at 154.355 during European hours.

Gold was comfortably above $4100 per ounce. Copper futures rose by 0.5% to $10.851 a ton, and Brent crude futures fell by 0.25% to $63.99 a barrel.

Veterans Day was a day when the U.S. Treasury Market was closed. (Additional reporting in Singapore by Tom Westbrook; editing by Kim Coghill, Alex Richardson and Alex Richardson).

(source: Reuters)