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Asia stocks decline; dollar and gold firm as tariff threat lingers

Asian shares were impacted by the return from holiday of South Korean tech stocks, but the relatively high earnings of U.S. technology giants maintained risk sentiment, while tariff fears pushed up the dollar and gold.

Investors also considered central bank actions in this week. The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged on Wednesday in line with expectations. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that there was no rush to reduce them again. On the other hand, the European Central Bank cut interest rates on Friday.

South Korea's return to the Asian spotlight was a big deal, as markets in China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan were still closed due to the Lunar New Year. The benchmark KOSPI fell 1% after China's DeepSeek announced earlier this week that it had developed cheap AI models, which triggered a global stock market crash.

Samsung Electronics shares fell 3% after the company announced a limited growth in first-quarter earnings on Friday. SK Hynix shares, a major supplier to Nvidia also dropped 8%.

The MSCI broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan was down by 0.3%, but is still on track to gain 1% this month and end its three-month losing streak.

Nasdaq Futures rose 0.6% during Asian hours, after Apple executives predicted relatively strong growth in sales. This is a sign that the company will recover as it introduces artificial intelligence to its iPhones.

Investors weighed in the implications of the low-cost Chinese AI models, and shares of high profile tech names like Nvidia Broadcom, Oracle, and Broadcom were all hammered.

Microsoft and Meta CEOs defended massive spending by saying that it was essential to stay competitive in this new field.

Vasu Menon is the managing director for investment strategy at OCBC. He said that the DeepSeek project may cause some uncertainty in the short-term and pressure the valuations of AI companies, but will not change the outlook on the medium- to long-term.

"The need for an increased AI infrastructure is likely to continue, and any additional computing capacity will be absorbed by the increased AI demand that could grow substantially in the coming year."

THREAT OF TARIFF

The data released on Thursday indicated that the U.S. economy slowed down in the fourth-quarter, but was still robust enough to allow investors to expect that the Fed will only lower rates gradually this year.

LSEG data shows that traders are comfortable with the idea of two rates cuts this year.

The focus of investors will now shift to the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index Report, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation. This report is due later that day.

The Fed's outlook is still at risk from President Donald Trump's policies. New tariffs are likely to be imposed on Canada, Mexico, and perhaps China this Saturday.

The Mexican peso remained cautious ahead of Trump's deadline on Saturday to impose 25% tariffs for imports from Mexico or Canada.

The yen in Japan was last slightly stronger at 154.19 to the dollar. It has already gained more than 1% this week. It is expected to rise by 1.9% in January, marking its best performance since 2007.

The BOJ is expected to increase rates this year. Ryozo Himino, the deputy governor of the central bank, said on Thursday that they will do so if prices and the economy continue to move in the direction predicted by the bank.

Gold rose to record levels of $2,799.71 per ounce in commodities. It was also on track for a 6.5% increase in January. This would be its best monthly performance since March.

Early Asian trading on Friday saw oil prices rise as investors assessed the possibility of U.S. Tariffs on Canadian crude imports and Mexican crude exports, which could come into effect this weekend.

Brent crude futures were 0.4% higher, at $77.21 per barrel. U.S. crude oil futures increased 0.5% to $73.13 per barrel.

(source: Reuters)