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Stocks rally after Fed Governor Waller's comments on bond yields

Stocks rally after Fed Governor Waller's comments on bond yields
Stocks rally after Fed Governor Waller's comments on bond yields

Bond yields fell on Thursday, as Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller's comments signaled a willingness for the Fed to be patient in raising interest rates.

Waller said in remarks at a NEXT Newsmaker event that if upcoming data?confirmed?inflation pressures were cooling off, he was inclined to argue for keeping interest rates steady at the next policy meeting of the U.S. central bank. In remarks for a NEXT Newsmaker, Waller said that if upcoming data 'confirmed' a cooling of inflation pressures, he would be inclined to advocate keeping interest rates constant at the next meeting of the U.S. Central Bank.

After the comments, the expectations for an increase in rates at the Fed’s mid-September meetings dropped. According to CME FedWatch, the market is now pricing in roughly a 50% chance of a hike compared to 63.2% the previous session.

The global bond yields jumped this week, as inflation fears grew with the U.S. - Iran war's biggest flare-up since the summer and the rise in oil price.

Bruce Zaro is the managing director of Granite Wealth Management, Plymouth, Massachusetts.

In the absence of (Fed chair Kevin) Warsh's forward guidance, you have the governors expressing their opinions. You have hedge fund managers saying that, contrary to what you might think, this is a good time to buy bonds because the total amount of debt does not seem like a problem.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note benchmark fell 3.6 basis point, on track for its biggest drop since August 25 to?4.758%. The yield of the 10-year Treasury note reached 4.818% on Wednesday, its highest level since November 1, 2023. The yield on the 10-year German note was down by 2 basis points at 3.353%.

The Yen jumps on rate hike bets

As traders increased their bets that the Bank of Japan would raise interest rates, the Japanese yen rose by 2% against U.S. dollars. Following Waller's remarks, the dollar continued to lose value. The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket of currencies, including the yen and euro) fell by 0.72%, reaching 98.88.

The sudden, sharp rise of the yen in relation to the dollar on Tuesday sparked speculation that Japanese officials were intervening to support the currency. However, analysts pointed out BOJ data which showed no official intervention.

Investors are eagerly awaiting Friday's U.S. jobs report to get more information.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 613.15 or 1.16% to 53,675.10; the S&P 500 gained 75.23 or 0.98% to 7,741.83?and the Nasdaq Composite jumped 336.84 or 1.29% to 26,555.54.

The MSCI index of global stocks?rose 11,82 points or 1.03% to 1,154.69. The pan-European STOXX 600 Index rose by 0.49%.

John Williams, the New York Fed president, said that on Wednesday he still needed to collect information before he made his next monetary policy decision.

Brent crude reached $95.75 a barrel, an increase of 0.13% for the day. U.S. Crude rose by 0.74%, to $91.69 per barrel. The U.S. strike on Iran and the renewed Israeli threat against Tehran have fueled fears about disruptions.

(source: Reuters)