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Oil prices rise in the Gulf amid confusion and Asian stock markets edge higher

Oil prices rise in the Gulf amid confusion and Asian stock markets edge higher
Oil prices rise in the Gulf amid confusion and Asian stock markets edge higher

The Asian share market matched Wall Street's gains on Monday, after a weak U.S. employment report reduced the risk of an increase in borrowing costs near-term. However, a lack progress?in Gulf Peace talks led to oil prices?creeping?higher.

Iran announced on Sunday that it was nearing the final stages of a deal that would define new shipping lanes for the Strait of Hormuz. However, the Iranian government reiterated that this waterway will only be reopened once the United States meets other conditions.

Brent crude increased by 0.9% to $84.32 per barrel, as the shipping volume through this vital waterway was minimal. U.S. crude rose by 0.7% to $79.74 per barrel.

Fuel costs are on the rise again, raising the stakes for Wednesday's U.S. consumer price report. Analysts expect a 0.1% increase in the headline figure and 0.2% for the core.

A positive surprise could reignite speculation about a Federal Reserve hike next month.

Michael Feroli is the chief U.S. economist at JPMorgan. He said that our forecast of core CPI at 0.22% was "probably not firm enough" to trigger a Fed hike at its September meeting. However, repeated readings closer to 0.3% might do the trick.

We are looking for a rebound in the prices of core goods after a period of two months where they have fallen.

The futures markets has reduced the probability of a move in September to 44% from 67% one week ago.

Wall Street closed at new records on Friday as the pullback in interest rate risk helped Treasuries rally. Japan's Nikkei jumped 0.6% Monday while South Korea gained 0.5%.

The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan grew by 0.3%.

DOUBLE DIGIT GROWTH IN EARNINGS

In Europe, EUROSTOXX Futures 50 and DAX Futures both fell by 0.1% while FTSE Futures dropped 0.4%.

S&P futures fell 0.1% while Nasdaq was little changed after a week of positive earnings reports.

Analysts from BofA stated that earnings per share were up 30% over the previous year, even after Alphabet's and Amazon's investment gains had been excluded. The 76% EPS rate was the highest since 2021.

In a note, they said: "AI is still the leader, with median earnings growth of 28%, compared to 12% for non AI related stocks. However, consensus expects AI's growth to slow down to 16% in the next quarter."

This week's earnings are lower, but semiconductor maker Applied Materials and networking equipment?maker Cisco as well as cloud infrastructure technology provider CoreWeave all have positive results.

Bond markets saw yields for 10-year Treasuries a little higher, at 4.673%. The market is bracing itself for $125 billion of new issuance in the coming week.

The U.S. Dollar had fallen sharply due to the drop in yields, and a general improvement of risk.

Investors are still wary about intervening if the yen falls too low.

The drop in yields has helped gold that does not pay interest to hold its $4,342 per ounce price after it had risen more than 7% over the last week. (Reporting and editing by Shri Navaratnam.)

(source: Reuters)