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Reports of a ceasefire in the Middle East have led to a rise in oil prices and a decline in stock prices

Stocks rose on Wednesday and oil prices fell, on reports that the U.S. is seeking a ceasefire for one month in its war against Iran. A 15-point plan was sent to Iran?for discussion. This raised hopes of a breakthrough which could help restore oil from 'the Gulf.

S&P futures increased by 0.7% during the Asia day. European futures grew by 1.2%, and FTSE Futures rose by 0.7%. These modest gains reflect investor caution.

Brent crude futures fell 5% to $99 per barrel.

Japanese stocks rose by 3% while Australian and South Korean markets rose by 2%. This was a recovery of recent losses, but not the weeks-long declines since the war began.

The market is trading headlines right now, said Kerry Craig. He's a global market strategist with J.P. Morgan Asset Management.

"There's definitely a positive vibe." There are still questions about what will happen next and if there is a real ceasefire.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that the U.S. made progress on Tuesday in negotiating a peace agreement with Iran. He also claimed to have won an important concession.

A source confirmed that Washington sent Iran a 15 point settlement proposal. According to Channel 12 in Israel, citing sources, the U.S. wanted a one month ceasefire for the discussion of the 15 point plan.

Tehran denies direct talks and on Wednesday, the official IRNA News Agency quoted a spokesperson from the armed forces as saying that the U.S. was "negotiating with themselves".

CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM

The lack of clarity on when or if oil exports from the Persian Gulf will resume, and signs that oil prices are already causing economic damage, has tempered the markets' response to Trump's concessions.

Brent crude oil prices are still up by 35% since war broke out and have reached a level of $100 per barrel. The dollar has only marginally declined this week and was stable in Asia on Wednesday, buying 158.9yen and trading for $1.1594 per Euro.

The interest rate markets also expect central bankers to take extreme measures in order to combat inflation. They are predicting a series hikes for Europe, Britain and Australia over the next few months, as well as a halt in any further U.S. rates cuts.

In Tokyo, benchmark 10-year Treasury yields decreased by 4.4 basis points and fell to 4.35%. Two-year yields also dropped slightly to 3.87%.

Marc Velan is the head of investments for Lucerne Asset Management, a Singapore-based asset management firm.

People are reluctant to pursue moves that are solely headline-driven, and which can be reversed?quickly.

There are also growing concerns in the credit markets, where there is stress. Ares Management became the latest asset management firm to limit withdrawals from a private debt funds on Tuesday. This spooked investors.

The shares of Ares, a company that will manage approximately $623 billion of assets by the year 2025, dropped 1% on Monday. So far in 2018, they are down 36%. (Reporting and editing by Sam Holmes; Tom Westbrook)

(source: Reuters)