Latest News

Standard Chartered increases Brent 2026 forecasts in response to Middle East turmoil

Standard Chartered has raised its Brent forecasts for 2026 and sees asymmetric upside risks to their projections if the Middle East 'conflict escalates 'further, and impedes production from Iran and other regional producers.

The bank increased its forecast for the first quarter of 2026 Brent to $74 from $62, and raised its forecasts for the second quarter to $67 per barrel from $63; it also increased its forecasts for '2026 on average to $70, from $63.50. Brent futures rose 6% to $82.38 per barrel at 1749 GMT, as the U.S. and Israel 'war against Iran' widened. This caused disruptions in oil and gas fuel deliveries throughout the Middle East and heightened fears of a long-term conflict. Israel has also?attacked Lebanon. Iran responded by striking energy infrastructure in Gulf nations and tankers on the Strait of Hormuz. This is where a fifth of world oil and liquefied gas passes.

Standard Chartered stated that the perception of loose market equilibrium had dampened upward price risks. However, it added 'that a tighter focus has been placed on the lack of spare capacity as well as the concentration of transit routes. It expects this theme to continue.

The bank said that "the forward curve has notably strengthened, and OPEC has resumed its incremental production?"increases." On Sunday, OPEC+ agreed to a modest increase in oil production of 206,000 barrels a day for the month of April. (Reporting by Anushree Mukherjee in Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)