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MORNING BID AMERICAS-Government shutdown and tariff fears container year-end markets

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan

U.S. federal government shutdown worries and fresh trade war risks cast another cloud over Wall Street as a bruising last full trading week of the year ends and dampens what had been a stellar year for U.S. stocks.

Already hit by what was seen as a 'hawkish cut' in Federal Reserve interest rates on Wednesday, where the central bank lifted both its 2025 policy rate and inflation forecasts, the S&P 500 was in the red once again late Thursday and futures were down practically 1% before Friday's bell.

A costs backed by Donald Trump failed in the U.S. Legislature late Thursday as dozens of Republicans defied the President-elect, leaving Congress with no clear plan to prevent a fast-approaching federal government shutdown that might disrupt Christmas travel.

Government funding is because of end at midnight on Friday. If lawmakers stop working to extend that deadline, the U.S. federal government will begin a partial shutdown that would interrupt funding for everything from border enforcement to national parks and cut off incomes for more than 2 million federal workers.

Congress must get rid of, or extend out to, perhaps, 2029, the ridiculous Financial obligation Ceiling. Without this, we need to never make an offer, Trump said on social networks.

The mix of Fed hawkishness and government financing concerns sent out long-term Treasury yields to their highest since May, with the 10-year benchmark coming close to 4.60% - a climb of practically 50 basis points in simply two weeks.

Tracking the climb in yields, the dollar index struck its greatest in 2 years on Thursday.

With November inflation readings from the Fed's favored individual intake expenditures gauge due out on Friday, Treasury yields and the dollar stepped back a notch.

However the cost of purchasing insurance coverage against a potential U.S. sovereign default crept higher on Friday due to the shutdown worries. Credit default swaps on six-month U.S. expenses nudged as much as a four-week high of 11 bps, according to S&P Global.

Japan's yen strengthened somewhat as information revealing accelerating core Japanese inflation kept speculation of a new year rates of interest hike from the Bank of Japan alive.

Leading Japanese financing officials also said on Friday the government is alarmed by recent forex relocations and is all set to intervene if speculative relocations were considered extreme, as the yen resumed its quick slump.

The cautions came as lots of emerging economy reserve banks from Brazil to South Korea intervened in current days to stop the dollar's steep rise.

A retreat of U.S. petroleum rates back below $70 per barrel also offered some solace for inflation worriers.

However Trump's other broadsides on Thursday struck overseas stock markets as financiers close out the year parsing what his brand-new administration will do when it takes workplace next month.

European shares were on course to post their worst week in 3 months on Friday after the President-elect cautioned of trade tariffs on the European Union.

Trump stated that the EU needs to acquire U.S. oil and gas to offset its tremendous deficit with the world's biggest economy. Otherwise, it is TARIFFS all the method!!!, he added.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index fell 1.1% to its least expensive in almost a month and was on course for its biggest weekly decrease given that early September.

And trade war and rate of interest concerns saw stocks fall throughout Asia too.

Sterling was another big loser on Friday, falling to its lowest considering that May versus the dollar. Although the Bank of England held its interest rates consistent as expected on Thursday, the 6-3 split amongst its policymakers showed 2 more council members in favor of a cut than had actually been assumed.

Contributing to the pressure, Friday data revealed British retail sales rose by a weaker-than-expected 0.2% in November.

Back on Wall Street there was much better business news to absorb, with shares in FedEx jumping 8% in out of hours trading after the delivery company revealed the much-anticipated spinoff of its freight trucking division as it reorganizes its operations.

Secret developments that must offer more direction to U.S. markets in the future Friday: * US November individual intake expenditure (PCE) inflation gauge, December University of Michigan home belief survey * U.S. business revenues: Carnival

(source: Reuters)