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Asia takes LNG that Europe doesn't require as area cost remains soft: Russell

Asia's. imports of melted natural gas (LNG) increased dramatically in March as. the topbuying region benefited from lower spot costs to. draw cargoes away from Europe.

A total of 24.16 million metric tons of the super-chilled. fuel landed in Asia in March, up from February's 22.73 million. and likewise up 11.5% from the 21.67 million in March 2023,. according to information assembled by commodity experts Kpler.

The strength in imports came as area costs for LNG for. shipment to North Asia remained soft in February and early. March, when the bulk of freights would have been arranged.

The spot cost << LNG-AS > hit the lowest in almost three years. in late February, when it dipped to $8.30 per million British. thermal systems (mmBtu) in the week to Feb. 23.

This was below the northern winter peak of $17.90 per. mmBtu in the week to Oct. 20.

The spot rate has shifted slightly greater in recent weeks,. ending at $9.50 per mmBtu in the 7 days to April 5, up from. $ 9.40 the prior week.

The little lift in costs is most likely insufficient yet to hinder. the price-sensitive buyers of LNG in Asia, which include India. and South Asian neighbours Pakistan and Bangladesh, but likewise. significantly China.

China's imports of LNG rose to 6.61 million heaps in March,. up from February's 5.82 million and 5.43 million in March 2023,. according to Kpler.

China is the world's largest LNG importer and it tends to. buy more spot freights when the price is listed below $10 mmBtu as this. enables the fuel to remain competitive in some areas of China's. partly regulated natural gas market.

India's LNG imports increased to a 40-month high of 2.29 million. tons in March, up from 1.98 million February and 1.84 million in. March in 2015.

Bangladesh's arrivals were 470,000 heaps in March, the. highest since August last year and up from 400,000 lots in. February.

LNG need in industrialized Asian nations such as Japan and. South Korea was steadier, which is not unusual given their. dependence more on long-term agreements.

Japan, the world's second-biggest LNG buyer, had imports of. 5.96 million tons in March, down slightly from 6.1 million in. February, however up from 5.51 million in March last year.

South Korea's imports were 3.95 million loads in March, up. from February's 3.82 million but below 4.38 million in March. last year.

EUROPE REDUCES

The robust demand for LNG in Asia stands in contrast to the. softening in Europe, with Kpler information showing arrivals of 9.10. million loads in March, the most affordable considering that September and below. February's 10.23 million and 11.34 million in March last year.

A moderate winter season in Europe and elevated gas inventories. have actually dampened demand for LNG, which in turn has actually allowed freights. to stream east.

This can be shown by exports from the United States, which. is a significant swing supplier between regions.

U.S. exports to Europe were 4.23 million tons in March, down. from 4.75 million in February and the lowest given that September. in 2015.

In contrast, U.S. deliveries to Asia were 2.21 million lots. in March, the highest considering that September and up from 2.0 million in. February.

The concern for the market is whether Asian LNG need is. enough to keep pressing the area cost higher, or will the normal. slack period in between the northern winter and summer peaks lead. to lower demand and prices.

It's still prematurely to be definitive about Asia's imports. in April, with Kpler's current quote for arrivals of 20.12. million loads this month, in line with the 20.46 million in April. 2023.

However, it's likely that more freights will be evaluated in. coming weeks, indicating Asia's demand for LNG in April might well. surpass the exact same month a year earlier.

It will probably take an increase in the spot rate to. levels above $10 per mmBtu before spot buying might ease in. countries like China and India.

The viewpoints expressed here are those of the author, a columnist. .