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Japan Defence Minister visits controversial Yasukuni Shrine for war dead
Shinjiro koizumi, the Japanese Defense Minister, visited on Saturday a shrine to Japan's war dead. The shrine is seen by Asian neighbors as a symbol of aggression during wartime. Images from local media showed Koizumi wearing a dark suit with a tie while visiting Yasukuni Shrine. He visited the shrine in the past, including last year as Agriculture Minister. According to NHK, Kimi Onoda visited the country on Saturday. According to the?state broadcaster CCTV, a spokesperson for the foreign ministry said that China strongly condemned the negative actions?by the Japanese regarding the Yasukuni Shrine. It had already lodged a solemn protest and made a formal representation. China and South Korea have claimed that visits by senior Japanese officials distort Tokyo's actions during the war and harm diplomatic relations. Among the 2,5 million war dead memorialized at the shrine in Tokyo are 14 leaders convicted by Allied tribunals of the worst war crimes. They also include over 1,000 'others' found guilty after Japan was defeated in 1945. Japanese officials explained that they made previous visits to honor those who had died in their nation's wars. Kyodo News Agency reported that Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae, who assumed the role in October last year, had sent a ritual gift to the shrine. Since Shinzo Abe visited Yasukuni Shrine in December 2013, the then-U.S. President Barack Obama expressed a sense of "disappointment" at his visit. In 2006, the older Koizumi was the last premier to visit Japan on the anniversary. Reporting by Sam Nusssey and Ziyi Tan in Tokyo; Editing by William Mallard
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Japan Defence Minister visits controversial Yasukuni Shrine for war dead
Shinjiro Koizumi, the Japanese Defense Minister, visited a shrine on Saturday to honor Japan's war dead. The shrine is seen by Asian neighbors as a symbol of aggression during World War II. Images from local media showed Koizumi wearing a dark suit with a tie while visiting Yasukuni Shrine. He has been there before, including last year as Agriculture Minister. According to NHK, Kimi Onoda visited the country on Saturday. China and South Korea criticised previous visits by senior Japanese officials. They said that they glossed over Tokyo's actions during World War II and damaged diplomatic ties. Among the '2.5 million war-dead commemorated in the shrine at Tokyo are 14 leaders convicted by Allied tribunals of the worst war crimes. Over 1,000 other wartime leaders were also found guilty after Japan was defeated in 1945. Japanese officials have said that they made previous visits to honor those who had died in the nation's wars. Kyodo News Agency reported that Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi who assumed the role last October sent a ritual gift to the shrine. Since Shinzo Abe's visit to Yasukuni Shrine in December 2013, the then-U.S. President Barack Obama expressed disappointment at his visit. In 2006, the older Koizumi was the last premier to visit the country on the anniversary Japan's surrender. (Reporting and editing by William Mallard in Tokyo, Sam Nussey from Tokyo)
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Two killed after 7.7 magnitude earthquake strikes off Indonesia
Authorities said that at least two people were killed after a 7.7-magnitude earthquake and dozens aftershocks hit eastern Indonesia early Saturday morning. In several parts of Southeast Asia, tsunami waves less than one metre high (3 feet) were recorded. About three hours after the earthquake, the tsunami warning was lifted. The disaster mitigation agency BNPB announced that in addition to at least two deaths, a person was also injured in Sikka Regency. A video posted on Facebook, which was verified as coming from a port near Maumere, shows that parts of a building collapsed as people ran and screamed in the street. This is the largest town on Flores Island, in the east part of Indonesia's vast island archipelago. Residents in several areas reported strong shaking lasting around one minute. It said that "most of the people felt shock and fled their homes." Kompas TV showed footage of a hospital in East Nusa Tenggara Province moving patients to the outside. Kompas.com also reported at least one land slide. The first earthquake was recorded at 4:58 am (2158 GMT), at a depth of?15 km (9 miles), and several aftershocks followed. The Australian tsunami warning centre stated that the undersea quake would "have no tsunami threat to?Australian islands, mainland or territories". Reporting by Dewi Kurniawati in Jakarta, Bernadette Cristina, Fransiska Naangoy, and Steffano sulaiman, Assitional reporting Carlos Mendez, Mrinmay Dey, and William Mallard in Mexico City; Writing by Josh Smith, Editing by Mark Porter and Lisa Shumaker
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Police: Five dead in Michigan shooting; suspect found dead
Michigan State Police released a statement via social media that a man suspected of?shooting and killing five people in northern Michigan?on?Friday?was found dead after a manhunt. Police said that one victim remains hospitalized and in critical condition. Troopers responded to a call at 11:40 am. A report of an incident led police to a house in Missaukee County (Michigan) at 1540 GMT. The state police said that officers found three dead people and one wounded. The suspect, identified as 39-year old?Chad Hickman by the?police, fled before troopers arrived. This prompted a manhunt. Investigators found another victim dead at a different residence while searching for the suspect. Police said that they later located Hickman’s vehicle in a wooded region near Whitlock Lake. They found Hickman, along with another person, dead. The police statement quotes Lieutenant Ashley Miller as saying, "This situation is heartbreaking and difficult for the investigators." The police did not release names, ages, or genders of the victims. They said that notifications to the next-of-kin were in progress. (Reporting and editing by Sergio Non, Tom Hogue and Maria Tsvetkova)
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Canadian minister says Canada, US far apart on draft trade deal, source says
Dominic LeBlanc told a 'committee of advisors' on Friday that Canada and the U.S. were still "far" from a draft deal, despite their regular meetings. This was according to an informed source. LeBlanc, his chief negotiator, and a team are in Washington for talks as the deadline for President Donald Trump's 50% tariffs approaches on August 19. LeBlanc met with U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer four times in the last three weeks. LeBlanc’s office announced that he would be staying in Washington over the weekend to continue trade negotiations. Tariffs on Canadian goods worth nearly $20 billion would be imposed, or 5.2% of Canada’s exports to the U.S. The new tariffs would not apply to many of Trump's previous tariffs. Instead, they would be applied to products that qualify for preferential treatment as part of the U.S. Mexico-Canada Agreement. This poses an additional risk to Canada's economy. LeBlanc told the Advisory Committee on Canada - U.S. Economic Relations in a briefing that meetings with his U.S. counterparts are taking place on a daily bases, according to the source. The source stated that "they said they were quite far from an agreement the Prime Minister could sign." In negotiations such as these, nothing is decided until all the issues are resolved. Source added that LeBlanc had told the committee that both sides were meeting constantly at a technical-level but they haven't yet come to an agreement on major issues. Gabriel Brunet declined to comment. Candace Laing is the CEO of the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, and was a member of LeBlanc's advisory committee. She said that both sides were aiming to reach an interim agreement which would resolve some U.S. tariffs previously imposed and the 50% tariffs looming. She said that multiple meetings between the parties are planned for the weekend. LeBlanc briefed Canada’s provincial and territorial ministers of trade on the progress made in negotiations on Friday. The U.S. is concerned about Canadian tariffs on U.S. automobiles, disagreements regarding the allocation of?dairyquotas, and some Canadian provinces' refusal to stock U.S. alcoholic beverages. Canada wants U.S. steel and aluminum tariffs to be reduced. (Reporting and editing by Caroline Stauffer, Edmund Klamann and David Ljunggren)
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Alphabet is Berkshire Hathaway’s third largest investment
Berkshire Hathaway announced on Friday that it increased 'the size of its investment in Alphabet by 83 percent during the second quarter, making the parent company of Google and YouTube the third largest stock holding. Berkshire Hathaway said that in a filing with the SEC, it had nearly 106,000,000 Alphabet shares valued at about $37.8billion as of June 30. This is up from 57.8million shares three months prior. This stake included a 10 billion dollar investment made in June to help Alphabet develop its AI infrastructure. Apple was Berkshire’s largest stock investment, valued at $66 billion by the end of June. American Express came in second at $51.3 billion. Bank of America and Coca-Cola were ranked fourth and fifth. Berkshire said that it had also eliminated its investment of a year and a half in alcoholic beverage producer Constellation Brands while increasing investments in Macy's, Delta Airlines, and Macy's. Berkshire disclosed the changes in a filing that described its U.S. listed stock holdings at June 30. These stocks accounted for most of Berkshire's $323.8 billion equity investment portfolio. BUFFETT CLAIMED CREDIT Berkshire purchased $23.5 billion in stock and sold $3.7billion of it during the second quarter. This ended a 14-quarter streak where it sold more than it bought. Greg Abel, the chief executive of Berkshire Hathaway, has started to reduce the huge cash pile left by his predecessor Warren Buffett when he stepped down from the company at the end of the year. Berkshire's stake in cash fell to $364.7 billion at the end of June, down from $380.2 on March 31. This decline was also due to stock buybacks worth $4.5 billion. Buffett is still chairman of Berkshire. He said to CNBC?last month that it was his idea for Berkshire to begin building a stake in Alphabet in the third quarter of last year. Buffett said that he and Abel also consult on the allocation of capital by Omaha-based Berkshire. SEVERAL TWEAKS In the second quarter, the Delta investment increased by 44% to 57.3 millions?shares valued at nearly $5.4 billion. The Macy's Investment more than doubled in value to 7.3 million shares. Berkshire bought additional shares in homebuilder Lennar, and revealed a tiny stake of $580,000 in D.R. Horton. It sold its shares in DaVita (a kidney dialysis provider), Bank of America, Capital One and Nucor, as well as in Kroger, the grocer, and Nucor, the steel manufacturer. Abel claimed in February that he was responsible for 94% of Berkshire’s stock holdings while Ted Weschler, Berkshire’s investment manager, handled the remaining 6%. The Friday filing does not mention who purchased and sold which stocks. Berkshire owns dozens of other businesses, including the BNSF railway, Geico auto insurance, energy companies, manufacturing firms, and retail brands like Brooks, Dairy Queen and Fruit of the Loom.
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Jason Arday, former Cambridge professor at the centre of plagiarism scandal found dead
Jason Arday, former University of Cambridge Professor who was at the center of a plagiarism controversy, died today aged 41. Arday resigned as a professor of sociology and education earlier this month after the allegations, which caused a commotion in academia. He was the youngest Black professor at the university. Ambulance service found him unresponsive at a property located in Battersea south London. A 41-year old man was declared dead on the spot. The Metropolitan Police released a statement saying that his 'next of kin' had been notified and were being supported by police officers. At this time, his death is being treated a surprise but not as suspicious. Police said that officers from the Central South Command Unit of the Met are investigating the case. The University of Cambridge announced this week that it would be conducting an investigation into Arday's appointment to the Faculty of Education in 2022, and his subsequent time at the Faculty. A prominent professor who was often in the media this year, Arday faced accusations that some of his 2015 PhD dissertation had been plagiarized. He denied these allegations. Arday was accused of a wide range of allegations, including apparent inconsistencies with his other academic work and his claims regarding his career, personal life, and medical conditions. We are deeply saddened by this news. In a statement, Cambridge Vice-Chancellor Deborah Prentice expressed her deepest sympathies to Jason Arday's friends and family at this difficult time. Lucy Powell, Britain's education secretary, expressed her sadness at the death of Arday. The family expressed shock at the death of their loved one. The family stated that the 'campaign of misinformation' was too much for Jason. He was a 'gentleman and always wanted to see what was best in others. We won't say anything more at this time, except to ask the media to stop harassing Jason and his family. Reporting by Andy Bruce, Manchester; Editing Rosalba o'Brien
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The US data that denies a Fed rate hike is based on the recent oil price rally.
?U.S. The U.S. and European markets fell on Friday, while oil prices rose by more than $1 a barrel as the markets watched the tense U.S. - Iran talks and digested recent data that lowered expectations of a Federal Reserve rate increase next month. Oil and gas prices are poised to make significant weekly gains due to the failure of talks that were supposed end "the Iran war". The U.S. has threatened to increase economic pressure against Iran, including by extending a navy blockade. A survey released on Friday showed that the U.S. consumer's sentiment declined in early August due to the cost of living rising because of the Middle East war. Gold prices were supported by a sudden drop in U.S. Retail Sales. The data has further reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate increase at the meeting next month. U.S. Treasuries dropped on Friday, after an initial rally driven by retail sales data failed to gain momentum. S&P 500 shares fell 0.17% to 7,785.76, a session low. This was due to the decline in shares of chip equipment maker Applied Materials. Broadcom, Intel and other chipmakers also fell. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.20%, to 53,732.41 while the Nasdaq dropped 0.28%, to 26,729.16. Thomas Martin, Senior Portfolio Manager at GLOBALT Investments Atlanta said: "A lot of the drivers on the market today revolve around different parts of AI." European shares ended lower on Friday, ending a four-week streak of?winnings' as rising crude oil prices and renewed geopolitical conflict offset the support provided by a robust earnings season. MSCI's global stock index fell by 0.79 points (or 0.07%) to 1,160.01. The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan closed 0.29 percent higher at 1,640.08. GEOPOLITICAL RISK The markets ended the week with a positive note. There were few events on the corporate and economic calendar that could have a negative impact on the markets. It's Friday and, as is typical, geopolitical risk, or at the very least, bombastic rhetoric between the U.S. Rodda stated that "currently, geopolitical uncertainties remain the only major macro roadblock for a market which is experiencing strong tailwinds due to earnings and the outlook of monetary policy". Brent crude oil futures closed at $88.52 per barrel, an increase of 1.67%. U.S. Futures ended at $82.40 a barrel, an increase of 1.42%. John Sidawi is a senior portfolio manager at Federated Hermes for fixed income. He said that a feature of the markets over recent months was the growing disconnect between asset price volatility and geopolitical uncertainties. "For the moment, it appears that markets are willing to accept a considerable amount of uncertainty before demanding higher risk premiums. This equilibrium, however, is not likely to last forever," Sidawi stated. "A significant escalation of?conflict, or a clear pathway toward resolution, could finally force investors to leave the sidelines and trigger a larger volatility reaction than current market prices suggest." YEN STUCK IN INTERVENTION LOOPS In currencies, the Japanese yen gained 0.1% against the dollar to 159.33 after three sources who are familiar with the policymakers' thoughts said that the Bank of Japan may raise rates in September. The 160 level is still in sight, and traders believe that it could spark another round of yen purchases from Tokyo after a joint intervention with the U.S. Last month, the Japanese currency was not supported. The dollar index, which measures greenbacks against a basket including the yen, and euro, dropped 0.28%, to 99.65. Meanwhile, the euro rose 0.35%, at $1.1567. The spot price of gold increased by 0.53%, to $4,374.27 per ounce. U.S. gold contracts settled at $4,437.30, up 0.4%. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes increased 4.72 basis points, to 4.688%.
Andy Home: The fragility of the Western aluminum market is exposed by the war between Iran and ROI
The Iran War has exposed a growing vulnerability of the West in its supply of aluminum, a metal that is classified by the United States as a crucial manufacturing input.
The London Metal Exchange's (LME) aluminum price reached a four-year peak of $3,418 a metric ton Wednesday, after a Gulf producer, Qatalum, a joint venture between Norsk Hydro, Qatar Aluminum Manufacturing and Qatar Aluminum Manufacturing started powering down its smelter, and another, Aluminum Bahrain, declared force majeure.
The Strait of Hormuz is still closed, and this could cause further disruptions to the'regional production hub' that provides 23% of non Chinese supply.
High inventories and excess capacity in China have historically protected the aluminium market from such unanticipated supply shocks. Producers would increase run-rates when they saw prices rising.
China has no spare capacity and the inventory cover is much lower. This makes the market more vulnerable to disruptions like those currently occurring in the Middle East.
DWINDLING STOCKS
Daily stock reports from the LME show that aluminium is leaving LME warehouses at Port Klang in Malaysia, at a rate of 2,000 tonnes per day since January.
No one has really paid attention.
LME Aluminium stocks have lost much of their power as a signal over the last 10 years, as traders and bankers fought for metal in order to lock up lucrative warehouse deals.
The resultant churn of metal moving in and out the LME warrant system obscured any reading-through to what happened in?the actual supply chain.
The daily stock noise is masked by a gradual depletion of a mountain of aluminium that was 3 million tons at the beginning of the decade.
The combined registered and off warrant stocks at the end of February totaled 583,000 tonnes, the lowest since the?LME began publishing off-warrant inventories figures in 2020.
A significant portion of the remaining stocks is Russian aluminum, which made up 58% of the warranted stock at the end January.
This is not very useful to most Western buyers. The U.S., Britain and EU banned the importation of Russian metal in 2024 in order to stop Moscow funding its war against Ukraine.
The amount of metal that can be used in the LME is much smaller than what the headline figures suggest.
CHINA HITS BRAKES
The change in stock dynamics reflects the profound structural changes that have occurred within aluminium's industry.
The Chinese government has mandated a maximum annual production capacity of 45 million tonnes.
According to the International Aluminium Institute, Chinese production growth has slowed down from 4% to 2% in 2018. Smelters produced 44,5 million tons of aluminium annually in December.
China's trade relationship with the rest is changing due to the production slowdown.
Chinese manufacturers are importing more metals, especially from Russia. According to World Bureau of Metal Statistics which uses official customs data, the world's biggest producer imported a total of 2.5 million tons of primary metal last year, including just over one million tons of unwrought aluminum.
China is exporting fewer semi-manufactured goods, such as tube, sheet or foil. In 2025, outbound shipments dropped by almost 10% on an annual basis, which is equivalent to a loss of nearly 600,000 tonnes in the Western market.
Other words, China imports more aluminum metal and exports fewer finished goods, tightening Western supplies at both ends.
FLAT-LINING
Western smelters are even less flexible than their Chinese counterparts.
According to IAI, production outside of China was flat last year.
The price of energy is the main problem, as it is a key cost component for the electrolytic smelting process.
The U.S., Europe, and Asia have a large amount of idle smelter capacities, but they must compete for limited long-term energy supplies with other sectors.
High power prices are continuing to put a strain on existing plants. South32 has placed its Mozambique Smelter under care and maintenance after failing to secure an economically viable electricity contract.
The West's ability? to build long-term supply resilience is further undermined by the energy shock that the Iran war has brought.
NEW VOLATILITY
Aluminium is an essential part of our modern lives. It's used everywhere from cars to homes and food packaging.
The energy transition is also a key issue.
In 2020, the World Bank declared aluminium a metal with "high impact" and "cross cutting" in all green energy technologies.
It is a metal that faces ever greater price volatility, as the global markets emerge from a period of "surplus" to one in which supply appears more problematic and stock levels are lower.
The war in Iran is a warning for an important metal.
Andy Home is a journalist. This column is a favorite of yours? Open Interest (ROI), a data-driven, thought-provoking commentary on the markets and finance is available at Open Interest. Follow ROI on LinkedIn, X and X.
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(source: Reuters)