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South African rand reaches 18-month low and stocks recover after plunge

South Africa's currency, the rand, fell to its lowest level in 18 months Monday. Local stocks also plunged and then recovered as financial markets were shaken by fears of a global recession due to President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

The rand was trading at 19.31 per dollar, down 1% since Friday's closing, and its lowest level since October 2023.

Trump did not show any signs of rescinding his tariff plans Sunday and on Monday, investors flocked to safe-haven currencies such as the Swiss franc and yen. The emerging market index is heading for the biggest one-day drop since 2008's global financial crisis.

The rand's risk-averse nature was also affected by local politics. It lost over 3% of its value against the dollar in the past week.

Investors are concerned that the Democratic Alliance, which is pro-business and has a coalition with the larger African National Congress, could be forced to leave the government or quit over the national budget.

"Any removal of DA (from the coalition) would have a significant negative impact on South Africa's future." The partnership between the ANC & DA has created a feeling of stability and progress, said Casey Sprake at Anchor Capital.

On the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, the Top-40 index slumped 5% in early trade to strike a nine-and-a-half-month low, before paring losses to trade down 0.3%.

Anheuser-Busch, the beermaker, was down by 4.2%. Cartier's owner Richemont, down by 3.2%. Anglo American, down 1.6%. And Naspers, the technology investor, down 3.5%.

Roy Topol is the portfolio manager of Cratos Asset Management. He said, "The market worries that tariffs could cause an economic contraction or disrupt global supply chains."

Analysts said that Naspers' decline was partially linked to weakness in China where its European subsidiary Prosus owns a 24,1% stake in Tencent.

The yield on South Africa's benchmark government bond for 2030 fell by 2 basis points, to 9.39%. Reporting by Sfundo parakozov, Nqobile dludla, and Siyanda Mthwethwa. Joe Bavier, Mark Potter and Joe Bavier edited the report.

(source: Reuters)