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Australian farmers shift to less fertiliser intensive crops as Iran war costs rise

Australian farmers will likely choose less nitrogen-intensive crops like barley and canola over wheat and other grains in the coming season as the rising costs of fuel and fertilisers due to the Iran War weighs on their planting decisions.

In Australia, planting of wheat, canola, and other crops will be accelerating this month. Farmers need to have ample crop nutrients available to support the early growth.

Analysts said that the price of urea was around A$1,350 per ton in Australia this week. This is up 60% since the start of the U.S. - Israel war against Iran. Australian diesel prices have risen 88% in the same time period.

Dennis Voznesenski is an agricultural analyst with Commonwealth Bank of Australia. He said that farmers are trying to reduce fertilizer application and switch planting from nitrogen-hungry crops such as wheat and canola to feed barley.

He said that some are also reducing the planted area, but so far this is minimal.

An agricultural broker and analyst have said that Australia's wheat plantation could fall by 10 to 12 percent, compared to the 12.4 million hectares planted a year ago. They said that canola cultivation is likely to decrease despite the higher returns. Both refused to be identified.

Australia is the second largest canola supplier in the world and fourth-largest exporter of wheat. Canola is the second largest exporter of canola in the world, with importers from Asia, Middle East, and Europe. The company also sells barley, chickpeas, and pulses.

The STRAIT of Hormuz is a fertiliser choke-point

The Iran War has caused a major disruption in the Strait of Hormuz which is the main route for 30% of the global fertiliser trade.

Bank of America warned that the conflict could threaten 65% to 70% global supplies of Urea, a nitrogen fertiliser. Prices have already risen by 30% to 40%.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture announced this week that farmers in the United States plan to plant less corn than last year and more soybeans in 2026. China has curbed its fertiliser exports while India is looking for alternative sources of supply to increase supplies for summer-sown crop.

Corn, wheat, and canola require a higher urea application than barley or pulses.

StoneX analyst Josh Linville said that Australia relies heavily on China to supply?urea. However, export restrictions have reduced shipments.

By the time buyers sought out supplies in the Middle East the war was already underway and the Strait of Hormuz closed.

Fertiliser is needed at all stages of the crop's development, including during pre-maturity. Plantings in April and may are harvested in December and November.

Tobin Gorey of Cornucopia, a commodities consultancy in Sydney, said: "It's a major issue because the cost of agriculture has increased sharply over the past month."

(source: Reuters)