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India's Modi presents a tariff as a 'gift' at the Trump negotiations

The Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is bringing gifts to Donald Trump's meeting on Thursday. He hopes that concessions made on tariffs and new business deals, as well as the prospect of working with China, will win Trump's approval.

Trump has used the threat of tariffs to force new deals in trade, investments, or help with law enforcement.

India is not an exception. Although Trump and Modi had a good relationship in his first term as president, he called India "a very big abuser" of trade. His levies against steel and aluminum were particularly harsh on India.

Modi, who will meet with President Obama at the White House on Thursday, has prepared a list of promises, including an increase in purchases of liquefied gas, combat vehicles and jet engines, according to Indian officials who declined to give their names.

Indian officials also consider possible deals for U.S. agricultural exports to India, as well as investments in nuclear energy. They are also considering tariff reductions in at least 12 sectors, such electronic, medical, surgical, and chemical equipment.

According to a person who is familiar with the team's thinking, these are the areas where Trump's team feels India can improve.

One of the sources declined to name themselves as they were preparing a private meeting.

U.S. officials and Indian officials are also moving ahead with bilateral trade talks, with an official from the Trump administration stating that they hope to have a contract in place by this year.

A senior official in the Trump administration said, "We see a stronger partnership for defense. This includes procurement and moving things forward like defense exercises."

The president said that we could literally power the Indian economic system with U.S. sales of energy. He also believes these two things will help reduce the trade deficit.

After his November indictment for an alleged bribery plot by the U.S. Justice Department, the case of billionaire Gautam Adani may be brought up in the discussions. Adani is from Modi’s western state, Gujarat. His Adani Group manages several major infrastructure projects around the world.

Many critics and opponents claim that Adani's meteoric rise was due in part to his close relationship with and treatment by administrations led by Modi's BJP, as well as its allies. Both have denied any wrongdoing.

A second thorny matter will also be in the background. It is the alleged Indian plot to assassinate an American Sikh activist during the tenure of Trump's former, Joe Biden. The U.S. official briefing reporters said that Trump places the safety of all Americans as a priority.

Richard Rossow, director of the India Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, said that the tariff issue would be the main focus this time.

He said, "It will be a boxing contest." "I believe India is willing take some hits, but that's not the limit."

The U.S. trade deficit with India is $45.6 billion. According to World Trade Organization statistics, the U.S. average trade-weighted tariff rate is about 2.2% compared to India's 12.0%.

Trump's administration has promised reciprocal tariffs against every country that imposes duties on U.S. imported goods, a move which will increase fears of an expanding global trade war.

What Trump wants is more help from India in preventing unauthorized immigration. India is a major source for immigrants to the United States. Many are in the tech sector on work visas, while others are in the U.S. without permission.

Musk was seen heading to Blair House, the hotel where Modi stays, just before the meeting was scheduled. Musk is a close ally of Trump and the Starlink company's attempt to enter South Asia could be discussed.

Modi and Tulsi Gabriel, Trump's newly appointed director of national Intelligence, held a meeting bilaterally on Wednesday. They discussed ways to enhance intelligence cooperation in areas such as counter-terrorism and cybersecurity.

India could be a key part of Trump's strategy in thwarting China, which is seen by many as the number one rival for the United States. India is concerned about China's military buildup, and it competes with China for the same markets. Modi is also concerned that Trump may cut a deal that excludes India from the agreement with China, according to Mukesh Agi, president of U.S. India Strategic Partnership Forum.

"Even though most of the discussion will be about the bilateral relationship, trade, immigration, and defense purchases, there will still be a China thread running through the meeting," said Lisa Curtis. A former White House official who focused on India during the first Trump Administration, she is now with the Center for a New American Security, a think tank.

India still tries to avoid a direct confrontation with Beijing, and maintains an "ambiguous" foreign policy to avoid taking sides in major conflicts.

This approach also means that India has maintained its ties to Moscow while it is fighting its war against Ukraine. India, for example, has continued to be a major energy consumer in Russia, whereas the West has been working to reduce its own consumption ever since the war began.

Trump spoke with Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, and Volodymyr Zelenskiy, the Ukrainian president on Wednesday about launching negotiations to end war in Ukraine.

The official from the Trump administration said, "I think that President Trump will welcome a discussion with respected world leaders including Prime Minister Modi about how we can move constructively towards peace in Europe." Reporting by Trevor Hunnicutt, David Brunnstrom, Manoj Kumra, Aditya Kahlra, Aditi Shah in New Delhi and Shivam Patel, in Bengaluru. Editing by Don Durfee Alistair Bell Hugh Lawson.

(source: Reuters)