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Oil drops 4% after US and Iran reach peace agreement to reopen Strait of Hormuz

Oil drops 4% after US and Iran reach peace agreement to reopen Strait of Hormuz
Oil drops 4% after US and Iran reach peace agreement to reopen Strait of Hormuz

On Monday, oil?prices fell to their lowest level since?March after U.S. president?Donald?Trump and Iran’s deputy foreign minister announced they had reached a preliminary agreement to end the conflict and resume traffic through Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude futures dropped $3.58 or 4.10% to $83.75 per barrel at 0004 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate fell $4.01 or 4.72%, closing at $80.87. Both contracts fell more than 3% Friday.

Pakistan's prime minister, who has been acting as a?mediator, announced that the U.S. will sign a Memorandum of Understanding with Iran in Switzerland this Friday. Trump announced on Sunday that the Strait of Hormuz will be "toll-free" and that an U.S. Naval Blockade of Iranian Ports would also cease.

Iran's semiofficial Mehr news agency reported that the draft agreement called for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in 30 days under Iranian arrangements.

Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that traders are pricing in the prospect of restored oil flow.

Since the Strait of Hormuz was closed for over three months by the war, the world has lost millions of barils of oil and natural gas. The Strait of Hormuz is a chokepoint that supplies a fifth of world oil and LNG.

Investors also watch with caution how quickly Middle Eastern oil producers can resume production and exports after the damage caused by the war, and whether there will be more ships entering the region.

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia's commodities strategist Vivek Dhar said that the oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz only needs to be 60-70% of its pre-war level to bring oil markets back to their pre-war expectations of oversupply.

Kazem Gharibabadi said that a more comprehensive?agreement will be negotiated over a period of 60 days during which there is a ceasefire.

The E4 nations (UK, France, Germany, and Italy) said that they were prepared to lift sanctions against Iran in response to its nuclear program.

Tony Sycamore, IG's market analyst, said that given the uncertainty surrounding the next round in 60 days and the nuclear issue, it was hard to imagine crude oil prices dropping much more from this point. (Reporting and editing by Jamie Freed; Florence Tan)

(source: Reuters)