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Asia shares are on the rise, but Nvidia's performance is not impressive

The yen is on a shaky footing as the possibility of further rate increases in Japan has been raised. The lingering concerns about the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the U.S. Oil prices remained high ahead of the third round of talks scheduled between Iran and the United States on Thursday. Nvidia forecasted first-quarter revenues above market expectations on Wednesday, betting that Big Tech would continue to spend on AI processors.

After hours, the stock price of the company remained flat. Investors were likely disappointed with the lackluster results, especially since the company had consistently exceeded revenue expectations in the previous 14 quarters.

This contributed to a drop of 0.3% in Nasdaq Futures while S&P500 futures also fell by 0.2%.

The FTSE and EUROSTOXX futures both fell by 0.2% and 0.08%, respectively.

Richard Clode said that the debate was less about near-term results than it was about the sustainability and viability of AI capex, given concerns about its size, monetisation, and cashflow degeneration.

The Nikkei 225 index in Japan was up by 0.15%. South Korea's KOSPI rose 3%.

MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index of?shares other than Japan increased 0.65%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 0.76%, while China's CSI300 Blue-chip Index was down 0.2%.

Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo, said that the immediate reaction of Asian stock markets was relief. This translated into a moderate risk-on attitude after the AI-driven volatile of recent weeks.

This doesn't mean that the debate is over. "Valuations are stretched in some parts of the ecosystem and disruption risks become more visible with increased competition."

In recent weeks, traders have been alternating between being concerned about the returns on investments and the potential of the technology to disrupt entire industries and hesitant to stay on the sidelines.

Will they, won't they? Investors were mainly focused on the yen, which remained near its two-week low after Japan's Government nominated two economists who are seen as strong supporters of economic stimulus by the markets to join the board of the central bank.

Markets viewed the surprise move as a "reflection of Prime Minister Sanae Takayichi's easy-going monetary policies", putting into question future Bank of Japan rate hikes. The yen recovered some of its losses Thursday, climbing 0.3% to reach 155.88 dollars, thanks in part to comments made by a hawkish BOJ Board member Hajime Takata who called for gradual rate increases. In an interview with the Yomiuri, BOJ Governor Kazuo ueda left the door open to a rate hike in near future.

In a recent note, OCBC strategists said that "dovish-leaning BOJ nominations have reignited fears the central bank could lag in policy normalisation. This would weaken the JPY while steepening JGB's curve."

Our USD/JPY forecast for the end of 2026 remains at 149. The currency is unlikely transition from a currency used as a funding to if it becomes an investment currency, unless?the BOJ changes its baseline outlook to two rate increases this year.

The dollar is on the decline, as the euro rose 0.1% to $1.1821 and sterling remained at $1.3561.

Prices on the oil market rose, as fears about a possible military conflict between Iran and the U.S. continued to rise.

Both sides will be holding the latest round

In Geneva, on Thursday, the two countries sought to resolve their long-standing nuclear dispute in order to avoid new U.S. attacks on Iran after a massive military buildup. Brent crude futures rose by 0.28% to $71.05 per barrel, while U.S. oil rose by 0.24% at $65.58. Gold spot was up 0.5% to $5,197.08 per ounce on the back of some safe-haven buying.

(source: Reuters)