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Bond yields rise on inflation fears as global shares fall

Investor euphoria about tech stocks was replaced by inflation fears on Friday, and traders bet more that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates in 2018. U.S. president Donald Trump left China Friday with no significant breakthroughs in trade, or any tangible help from Beijing to end Iran's war. Oil prices rose again on Friday due to uncertainty over a Middle East?deal. This was in addition to the concerns raised by two high-inflation readings earlier this week.

S&P 500, Nasdaq and other major stock markets fell on Friday following two sessions of record-breaking gains on artificial intelligence technology stocks.

The market has realised that it was way ahead of itself. The market didn't pay enough attention to the economic and bond markets. "It was caught in this momentum AI trade," Kenny Polcari said, chief market analyst at Slatestone Wealth.

The market has finally listened to what the economic data and bond market are telling them. The inflation rate is likely to rise in the coming months.

FALLS ON THE WALL STREET At 10:52 a.m. (1450 GMT), on Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped?432.76 or 0.86% to 49,630.70. The S&P 500 declined 75.90 or 1.01% to 7,425.34 while the Nasdaq Composite was down 387.22 or 1.45% to 26,249.36.

The MSCI index of global stocks fell by 15.80 points or 1.42% to?1,100.26.

The pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 1.56%. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan dropped 2.54%, and Japan's Nikkei fell 1.99%.

The Kospi index in South Korea fell by more than 6 percent on Friday, after recent gains. The index is still up by 77.8% for the year.

GOVERNMENT BANK?YIELDS SKYROCKET In government bonds, yields on longer-dated U.S. Treasury bonds climbed to their highest levels in over a year. This was due to rising oil prices and fears of inflation from ongoing energy disruptions across the Middle East. Demand for U.S. Treasuries was already affected by inflation concerns. This week, demand was low at auctions.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year note in the United States rose by 11.6 basis point to 4.576% from 4.459% at late Thursday, while that of the 30-year bond rose by 10.1 basis points.

The yield on the 2-year bond, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve (Fed), rose by 8.3 basis points, to 4,075% from 3.992%, late Thursday. The dollar gained in value, putting it on course for its largest weekly gain in over two months as bets were placed on a Fed interest rate hike. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool traders were betting last on a 38% chance that a 25 basis-point rate hike would occur by the end of this year, compared with less than 14% a week earlier.

Kevin Warsh will replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chairman on Friday. Trump nominated the incoming Fed Chair, who is expected to be Kevin Warsh. Trump has been 'pressuring Powell to lower interest rates.

Kevin Warsh will be put to the test by the market. "They're going press him to find out what he truly stands for," Polcari stated.

The dollar index, a measure of the U.S. Dollar against a basket including the yen and the euro, rose by 0.32%, to 99.26. However, the euro fell by 0.39%, to $1.1623.

The dollar gained 0.24% against the Japanese yen to 158.73.

The sterling fell to a new five-week low on its fifth consecutive day of losses. It was last down by 0.43%, at $1.3341.

The pound fell 0.9% Thursday after the resignation of Wes Streeting as health minister, deepening Britain’s political crisis. Steve Reed, British housing Minister, urged Labour Party legislators to "get behind" Prime Minister Keir starmer on Friday. Reed said that no one was willing to challenge him.

On the energy market, U.S. Crude?rose by 3.7%, to $104.91, and Brent rose by 3.34% to $109.27 a barrel. Gold fell to its lowest level in more than a week, under pressure from rising Treasury yields and the dollar.

Spot gold dropped 2.21%, to $4,46.93 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures dropped 3.29% to $4,524.30 an ounce. Reporting by Sinead carew in New York and Sophie Kiderlin, London. Stella Qiu, Sydney. Sam Holmes, Mark Potter Joe Bavier, Barbara Lewis and Barbara Lewis edited the article.

(source: Reuters)