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Dollar downgraded as Treasury yields increase, dollar falls with focus on tax bill

Dollar downgraded as Treasury yields increase, dollar falls with focus on tax bill

The dollar eased, and the S&P 500 dipped on Monday as concerns over the U.S. government's debt and a tax cut bill grew following Moody's decision to downgrade the country's credit rating.

Moody's Investors Service lowered the United States' sovereign rating to triple-A late on Friday night, underscoring the country's worsening fiscal outlook.

A key congressional committee approved the massive tax-cutting bill of U.S. president Donald Trump on Sunday. Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives, who currently control it, will push for the bill's passage this week.

Investors are concerned that tax bills will cause debt to increase more than expected. The 30-year bond rate reached 5.037%, its highest level since November 2023.

What Moody's has done is more symbolic than anything. Peter Cardillo is the chief market economist of Spartan Capital Securities, a New York-based brokerage.

"Yes, the yields are rising on news reports, and they could spike even higher. "But they're moving up also for other reasons," he said. "In general, the (stock market) is not reacting that much to Moody's." It's more of a market that has risen and is trying to consolidate recent moves.

Moody's downgrade follows similar actions by Fitch and Standard & Poor's, both in 2011.

U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent gave television interviews Sunday in which he dismissed the downgrade and warned trade partners that they would be charged maximum tariffs for not offering deals "in good faith".

Bessent will attend a Group of Seven Meeting this week to continue the discussion.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 50.72 points or 0.12% to 42,705.46, while the S&P 500 dropped 10.08 points or 0.17% to 5,948.43, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 54.18 points or 0.28% to 19,157.69.

On Friday, the S&P 500 posted its fifth consecutive day of gains.

MSCI's global stock index rose by 0.13 points or 0.01% to 880.75. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose 0.13% while Europe's FTSEurofirst 300 rose 2.80 points or 0.13%.

The MSCI broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan fell by 0.5%.

Mixed data from China showed an economy in trouble.

Trump's tariff war is affecting consumer sentiment. Analysts will be looking at Home Depot and Target earnings this week to get an update on trends in spending. Home Depot will report Tuesday morning before the opening bell.

Trump said that Walmart would be forced to raise prices because of the levies if it didn't "eat the tariffs".

The dollar fell in value, reaching a low of more than a week against the yen and other safe haven currencies, such as the Swiss franc, euro, and Swiss franc. The dollar fell 0.49% against the Japanese yen to 144.91.

U.S. Rates Not Falling So Fast

Raphael Bostic, president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve, told CNBC Monday that the central bank might only be able reduce interest rates by one quarter point for the remainder of the year due to concerns over rising inflation caused by increased import taxes.

In an interview that was published on the weekend, Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank said the recent decline in the dollar reflected a lack of confidence in U.S. policy.

Spot gold increased by 0.98%, to $3.233.92 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)