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MORNING quote EUROPE-Inflation duo takes centre stage

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Stella Qiu

Bond investors might have drawn some convenience from the benign miss out on in U.S. manufacturer rate information but a duo of CPI reports from Britain and the U.S. is set to decide whether the ruthless offering in the international bond market resumes.

And the threats to inflation appear directly to the upside, with Donald Trump set to go back to the White Home and release a. blizzard of executive orders next Monday. Some experts warned. that even a consensus outcome for U.S. CPI will not alleviate the. bearish pressure on bonds.

In Asia, shares struggled for direction. MSCI's broadest. index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan eased. 0.1%, while Japan's Nikkei swung between gains and. losses, however was last flat.

U.S. equity futures were flat, while Pan-European STOXX 50. futures edged up 0.1% and UK FTSE futures were. 0.2% higher ahead of British consumer price data due at 0700. GMT.

Headline inflation is expected to stay constant at 2.6% in. December, while the core measure is seen reducing a tad to 3.4%. from 3.5% the prior month, according to a Reuters poll.

Anything higher would use the best excuse for. speculators to brief gilts, where yields have skyrocketed to 16-year. highs in the middle of fret about Britain's financial health under the. leadership of financing minister Rachel Reeves.

It will likewise stack pressure on the pound, which is pinned. near a 14-month trough and checking an essential chart level of $1.2056.

The next hurdle, probably more substantial, for investors is. the U.S. CPI information. Projections are for a monthly increase of 0.2% in. the core measure, with the variety tight at 0.2% to 0.3%.

A reading of 0.3% or more would trigger another bout of. heavy selling in Treasuries, with 10-year yields headed to the. 5% mark, raising the dollar and pummelling stocks. Traders will. further pare back expectations for policy reducing from the. Federal Reserve this year, from the current 29 basis points.

A reading of 0.2% or below will likely see risk cravings. return a little and a relief rally in bonds.

U.S. fourth-quarter 2024 revenues will likewise kick off in. earnest on Wednesday, with results from a few of the greatest U.S. banks - including Citi and JPMorgan.

Lenders were anticipated to report stronger earnings, fuelled. by robust dealmaking and trading. Offered lofty expectations, the. threat to miss out on is high.

Key advancements that could affect markets on Wednesday:

-- UK CPI for December

-- France CPI for December

-- Euro zone industrial production figures for November

-- US CPI for December

-- Fed's New york city President John Williams talks,. along with Chicago President Austan Goolsbee and Richmond. President Thomas Barkin

(source: Reuters)