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Asia's crude oil imports stage modest healing in August: Russell

Asia's imports of crude oil lifted in August from the twoyear low in July as topimporting heavyweights China, India, South Korea and Japan generated more barrels.

Total imports for August are anticipated to be 26.74 million barrels per day (bpd), up from July's 24.56 million bpd, according to information put together by LSEG Oil Research.

While a 2.18 million bpd boost appears big, it's worth noting that July's imports were the weakest given that the exact same month in 2022, and that the August overall is still just the fifth-highest out of the 8 months up until now in 2024.

The healing in August arrivals is largely due to a 1.05 million bpd increase in China, the world's biggest crude importer.

China's August imports are estimated by LSEG at 11.02 million bpd, up from July's official customs number of 9.97 million bpd, which was the most affordable every day since September 2022.

China's refineries tend to increase crude purchases in the third quarter in order to develop stockpiles of refined products to satisfy peak winter demand.

However, August's imports are also likely to have been improved by the lower international oil rates that dominated when the cargoes would have been organized.

Standard Brent futures were in a drop from the high so far of $92.18 a barrel on April 12, to a low of $76.76. on June 4, a time window that would have coincided with the. purchase of freights for August shipment into Asia.

After the June low, crude costs rallied to a high of $87.95. a barrel by July 5, before softening once again to end at $78.46 on. Wednesday.

It remains to be seen whether the boost in rates in July. will translate into weaker imports in September in the. typically more rate delicate importers such as India and. China.

India's August imports revealed just a modest increase from. July, with LSEG estimated Asia's second-biggest crude buyer,. generated 4.83 million bpd, up from July's 4.58 million bpd.

The monsoon season is most likely to have actually suppressed some hunger. among India's refiners, and export-focused plants might also have. been worried about the soft local need for products such. as gasoline and diesel.

South Korea, Asia's third-biggest oil importer, is anticipated. to land 2.84 million bpd in August, up from 2.65 million in July. and 2.49 million in June.

Fourth-ranked Japan is anticipated to see imports of 2.39. million bpd in August, up 26% from July's 1.90 million bpd and. the greatest month because April.

Both of these established North Asian economies tend to. boost imports in the 3rd quarter in order to lift item. stocks ahead of winter season.

SAUDI SUPPLY GAIN

On the supply side, Saudi Arabia saw some healing in. August, with LSEG estimating Asia's imports from the world's. most significant exporter were 4.89 million bpd, up from 4.60 million bpd. in July and 4.63 million in June.

Demand for Saudi oil may have been enhanced by Saudi Aramco's. choice to lower its main selling prices (OSPs) for. August-loading freights, with the premium for its benchmark Arab. Light grade dropping 60 cents from July to $1.80 a barrel above. Oman/Dubai quotes.

Asia's imports from Russia slipped to 3.60 million bpd in. August from 3.71 million bpd in July and 4.19 million bpd in. June, mainly due to the fact that India took less freights.

India's imports of Russian oil are estimated at 1.73 million. bpd in August, below 1.94 million in July, while arrivals. from the United States rose to 360,000 bpd from 190,000 bpd in. July.

This is likely a reflection of the discount rate of U.S. crudes. such as West Texas Intermediate to those priced against Brent or. versus Middle East benchmarks such as Oman and Dubai.

Asia's overall imports from the United States are expected to. increase to 1.86 million bpd in August from 1.65 million bpd in. July, making it the fifth-largest supplier of crude to the. area behind Saudi Arabia, Russia, the United Arab Emirates and. Iraq.

The opinions revealed here are those of the author, a columnist. .

(source: Reuters)