Latest News

Oil below $100 as peace hopes lead to oil price drop

Investors were hopeful of a "near-term" resolution to the Middle East war. Oil prices were also pinned at below $100 per barrel.

Investors are quick to see the positive side of any sign of a denouement in this month's Strait of Hormuz, through which about a fifth of world oil and gas is typically transported.

The ceasefire that has been in place between Israel and Lebanon for the past 10 days came into effect Thursday. President Donald Trump also said that the next meeting of the U.S. with Iran could take place this weekend when the current ceasefire expires.

Brent crude futures fell more than 1%, to $98.14 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude futures dropped 1.6% to $93.15 per barrel.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan fell 0.6% but was still close to its high since March 2, when the Iran War broke out.

Index is up 14.5% after a drop of 13.5% in march. Japan's Nikkei index fell 0.9% early in trading, after reaching a record high Thursday. Nearly all stock exchanges are back to their levels prior to the outbreak of the war at the end February.

Andrew Chorlton, CIO of public fixed income at M&G, says that the markets' willingness to ignore the energy and conflict shocks in the past two weeks has been "surprising".

He said that there was a stark contrast between the statements of policymakers and central banks about the risks created by this conflict compared to what the markets are implying.

Chorlton continued, "That sounds a bit complacent." It seems unlikely that there wouldn't be an additional risk premium, either for growth or inflation.

In March, the U.S. Dollar benefited from flows to safe havens but has since lost a lot of those gains. The euro bought $1.1779 last, which is just below its seven-week high from the previous session.

S&P 500, the U.S. benchmark index and Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, both rose modestly on Thursday to close at record highs for the second day in a row.

"I believe equity markets remain positive, and some solid U.S. earning have helped. But - and this is a big but – we need to see some concrete evidence that the peace will last," said Nick Twidale.

"To me, this is a complete reopening the Strait. Or we could see some significant corrections in global stock prices in the days and weeks to come."

The International Monetary Fund downgraded its outlook for global economic growth after the closure of the 'waterway. They warned that a prolonged war could push the world into recession.

The 'dollar index', which measures greenbacks against a basket?currencies, including the yen, the euro and others, was 98.24. It is nearing its lowest level since March 2. The index was down for eight consecutive sessions until Wednesday.

The yen remained steady at 159.32 dollars, while the risky Australian dollar was trading for $0.7163. It is still near its four-year-high it reached on Thursday. Reporting by Ankur B. Banerjee, Singapore; Editing Kevin Buckland

(source: Reuters)