Latest News
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US EPA will undo carbon emissions limits for power plants during G20 meeting
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency announced Monday rules to repeal former President?Joe Biden?s limits on carbon emission from coal-and-gas-fired power stations and to prevent future climate regulations of these facilities. The move is part President Donald Trump’s effort to undo U.S. Climate Policy, which his administration claims has hampered energy production. The announcement was made at the sidelines of the G20 Energy Ministers' meeting in Houston this week, where global officials will discuss "regulatory efficiencies," expanding baseload power, and energy security. EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin stated that 'new measures to prevent future regulation on greenhouse gas emissions in the power sector would enable the U.S. build new generating infrastructure to meet the skyrocketing demand for electricity. He said that the Americans have demanded more common sense from federal agencies under President Trump’s leadership at a press conference held in Houston. "That means reducing red tape so that we can build a new power-generating system." Environmental groups slammed this new proposal. They said that it would be more expensive in terms of damage to the public and the environment. Nearly a quarter (25%) of U.S. emissions are attributed to the electricity sector. In June 2017, the Trump administration proposed to repeal regulations written by Biden that would have reduced emissions of mercury, carbon dioxide and other air pollutants at power plants. Biden's carbon emissions rules for power plants would reduce greenhouse gas emissions by one billion metric tonnes by 2047 as part of his administration’s fight against climate changes. This rule would have required that coal-fired power stations and new natural gas-fired generators install equipment to capture emissions in the next decade before they reach the atmosphere. This requirement made zero-emissions options like solar and wind attractive. Denying the existence of climate pollution that accounts for a quarter in the United States is reckless. Maggie Coulter said on Monday that it would 'lead to greater suffering and loss of life from extreme heatwaves, severe storms and destructive 'wildfires', similar to those we have seen this summer. According to a report by a reporter, Under Secretary of Energy Kyle Haustveit said that the new regulations would boost 'coal-fired electric power in the U.S. which has been steadily declining due to the availability and cheaper natural gas. He said, "President Trump has ended the war against beautiful, clean coal." "Coal has many advantages: it is affordable, reliable and secure."
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VTB sanctions imposed by the U.S.
Treasury Department: The United States imposed Iran-related Sanctions on Monday against?Russia's VTB Bank Public Joint Stock Company accusing it of involvement in Iranian sanctions evasion. Washington is seeking to increase economic pressure on Tehran. This action is a continuation of the sanctions that were imposed in 2022 against VTB, Russia’s second largest?lender. The bank was targeted following Moscow's full-scale invasion into Ukraine. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that "Under Operation Economic Outcast Treasury will continue to target those who provide material or financial support to the Iranian regime to enable it to maintain its terrorist enterprise." Treasury will not tolerate any regime support and will continue to expose and isolate Iran’s "enablers." Bessent warned that the Trump administration will sanction a "large bank" as it continues to exert economic pressure on Tehran in order to end a six-month conflict between the U.S. and Iran. Since the conflict began in February, the 'United States' has taken a number of economic measures to target Iran, including oil exports, shipping networks, channels for weapons procurement, financial intermediaries and digital asset exchanges.
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European shares fall on AI concerns and inflation fears
European shares dropped on Monday, as technology stocks were under pressure following leaders of top AI companies who pushed for a slower pace of development. Meanwhile, a surge in global bond yields and oil prices dampened risk appetite. The pan-European STOXX 600 index was down by 0.5%, at 635.99. The majority of regional markets fell, but London and Zurich's indices rose by 0.4% and 0.8% respectively. As AI-linked stocks fell globally, technology shares were among the worst performers, falling 2.1%. Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, called for companies to halt the advancements in AI models due to misuse concerns. This view was backed by xAI’s Elon Musk as well as OpenAI CEO Sam Altman. The STOXX 600 was led by the French chipmaker Soitec, which fell 12.5%. However, software stocks gained. Octave Intelligence, Capgemini, Sage and Relx all rose between 5% and 75%. Chris Beauchamp is the chief analyst at IG. He said, "These stocks were victims of SAASpocalypse on fear AI would wipe their businesses out." "Those fears were exaggerated, but if the AI giants put their foot down, the outlook for revenue for Sage, RELX, and their SAAS brothers globally becomes much brighter. Even if this only delays a long-term loss of biz." European miners declined 2.5% as a result of the weakness in commodity prices. Healthcare stocks rose 2.7%, bucking the trend. GSK grew by 4.7% following the positive results of two lung cancer drugs. This added to the momentum in this sector. Energy stocks fell 0.8% but crude prices rose 2% as supply concerns increased after new strikes on Saudi energy infrastructure, and attacks against ships in the Middle East. Recent oil prices have heightened inflation concerns, which has led to expectations that central banks around the world could raise interest rates this year. The European economies are especially vulnerable to rising oil prices, as they heavily rely on imports. ECB policymakers warned 'on Monday' that euro zone inflation may exceed high forecasts. Traders now price in an additional 25 basis-point ECB rate increase by the end of the year after last?week?s rate hike. Government bond yields soared as a result of the developments. The 10-year bund - considered to be the benchmark for the region - was at its highest level since mid 2009. The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields also rose to a psychologically important level of 5%. The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise its main lending rate by at least 25 basis point this week --?in stark contrast to the split chances between a hike or a pause that were seen only a week earlier. After a close election, which reduced the influence of the far right, Sweden's opposition centre-left appeared most likely to win power on Monday.
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German Finance Minister demands UniCredit CEO to meet certain conditions regarding possible Commerzbank acquisition
On Monday, German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil outlined a list of demands to UniCredit CEO Andrea Orcel regarding the possible acquisition of Commerzbank by the Italian bank. The German Ministry of Finance said that these included Commerzbank staying listed on the stock market, maintaining its base in Frankfurt, and continuing to fund German medium-sized businesses?at home as well as abroad. After Berlin failed to stop a takeover, the meeting in Berlin marked an important turning point in the two-year struggle for control of Germany's largest bank. Klingbeil said, "In a productive discussion with Mr. Orcel I made it clear to him that future negotiations should be conducted responsibly." Orcel stated in a press release that the meeting was "a good and constructive first discussion that will be quickly followed by others." He said, "Both sides should now reflect on this initial discussion to find a way forward that is in the best interests of all stakeholders and shareholders."
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The UK government is looking to buy out an insolvent steel specialist
The British government announced on Monday that it was drafting a plan to buy Speciality Steel UK, a manufacturer who formerly supplied the automotive, aero, and defence industries and entered liquidation at the end of August 2025. Speciality Steel was a part of Liberty Steel before it went into liquidation. Liberty Steel is owned by the commodities tycoon Sanjeev Gupta. The government announced that it was moving toward public ownership, after it decided it couldn't support a private sector bid. This company?has locations in Northern and Central England and supports more than 1,300 jobs. "We don't interfere in private companies lightly." "We cannot simply sit back and let the future of this company and its 1,300 employees be decided by default," said Jonathan Reynolds, business minister. Working towards public acquisition 'will keep options open while we work with workers, local leaders, industry, and investors to determine the best?long-term?"future? for these sites." The government stated that any purchase would be subject to a due diligence process and would be funded by existing government budgets. The government did not specify how much an acquisition might cost.
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EPA will undo carbon emissions limits for power plants during G20 meeting
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency will announce on Monday its final 'rule' that will repeal the Biden administration’s carbon emission limits for coal and gas fired?power plants. This is a major part of their broader efforts to undo U.S. Climate Policy that they claim has hindered American energy production. The announcement will take place on the sidelines a meeting of G20 energy Ministers in Houston, where global officials will discuss "regulatory efficiencies," expanding baseload power, and energy security. In June 2017, the Trump administration proposed to repeal rules that were written by former President Joe Biden in order to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide and mercury from power plants. Biden's carbon emission rules for power plants would have cut greenhouse gas emissions from 1 billion metric tonnes by 2047. This was a key part of the administration's effort to combat climate change. Nearly a quarter (25%) of the U.S. greenhouse-gas?pollution is attributed to the electricity sector. At the time, EPA administrator Lee Zeldin claimed that this move would save businesses $120 million a yearly. Environmental?groups have criticized the proposal saying that it would cause more harm to the environment and the public health. Denying a quarter of the climate pollution in the United States is reckless. ?It'll lead to more deaths and suffering due to intense heatwaves and dramatic?storms.
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Rosatom, a Russian company, says that a new nuclear power plant in Hungary will be able operate even when the Danube River is low.
The Russian nuclear company 'Rosatom' said Monday that the planned expansion of Paks Nuclear Power Plant in Hungary will be able to run during low water levels on the Danube River. Paks, which provides nearly half of Hungary’s electricity, was only operating at 10% capacity for a few days in August because of record-low river levels and a prolonged heatwave. Alexei Likhachev, Rosatom's head, told reporters that "as everyone knows, it has happened on occasion when the River Danube ran low and additional measures have been taken to ensure water supply." "Our project includes a number?of solutions that allow it to function even when the water levels are lower than during this dry summer. This has been taken into consideration in the project. The project, worth 12.5 billion euros ($14.41billion) to expand the Paks nuclear plant by adding two VVER reactors made in Russia was awarded without a competitive tender to Rosatom's state-owned nuclear corporation. It has been delayed for years. The comments by Rosatom's chief follow the remarks of Hungarian Premier Peter Magyar in August, who said that plans to cool the nuclear power plant using the?Danube should be reviewed. Magyar, who was elected as Prime Minister in the spring, criticized Viktor Orban's?Paks-2 as being too expensive and needing a re-evaluation. Likhachev stated?on Monday? that the Russians are still willing to discuss Paks-2? with the Hungarians but have not received any proposals. "We are ready to dialogue at any level, whether it is at the expert or government level." "We are waiting for suggestions on how to organize this work."
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Dangote, Africa's richest person, is aiming for his biggest deal ever.
Aliko Dangote, a serial entrepreneur who began his career by selling candy to schoolmates in northern Nigeria more than 50 years ago, is now preparing Africa's largest stock market listing. The sale of $1.6billion worth of shares in the giant Lagos oil refinery - a 'public offering' that will list the refinery in Nigeria in November - valued the company at $47.5billion. This deal represents the culmination in Dangote’s efforts over the past decade to build a mega-refinery that is now among the 10 largest refineries in the world. This is also the culmination of a career which has seen him go from a schoolyard sweets seller to Africa's wealthiest man. The 69-year old has no intention of stopping there. Proceeds from the IPO will be used to expand the Nigerian refinery and launch a project in Kenya that will see the capacity doubled. SUGAR CEMENT RICE SALT Born in Kano, a northern Nigerian state, in 1957, Dangote's maternal grandfather was the primary caregiver. He credits his grandfather with inspiring his business interest. In a 2015 interview, he stated that "when you're raised by entrepreneurial parents or grandparents you pick up this aspiration." It makes you more aggressive and think that anything is possible. I was unable, despite my repeated requests, to get an interview with Dangote. In 1977, after graduating from the university in Egypt, he started trading rice and sugar with a relative. In the early 1980s he founded Dangote Industries in which he holds 85%. He built it into a multinational conglomerate that includes sugar, salt, and cement. It operates in more than a dozen African nations. Dangote’s personal fortune is estimated to be between $31 and $35 billion. This was a result of his cement business, which has been very profitable. The government policies that encouraged domestic cement production have helped Nigeria to become self-sufficient in this?essential material for building, but they have also fueled criticisms that the lack of competition keeps prices high. ECONOMIC FOLK HERO FOR SOME, VILLAIN FOR OTHERS Influence came with wealth In a 2005 cable, leaked by U.S. diplomatic sources, they said that he had been hailed as an "economic folk-hero" by many, but viewed by others as a villain, because of his close proximity to the political world. They wrote: "The truth lies somewhere between these caricatures." Dangote is often described as being reserved by those who have met him, despite his wealth and power. "He has an instinct for opportunities and the discipline to make his ambitions real," said Kenyan author and businesswoman Gina Din Kariuki. "But it wasn't his ego that stayed with my, it was the humility he showed." He avoids flashy displays and drives himself. He has a habit of threatening to purchase his favorite soccer team, London's Arsenal. But he is proud that he keeps the majority of his wealth in Nigeria. Bismarck Rewane is the CEO of Financial Derivatives Company Ltd in Lagos, and has known Dangote since more than two decades. Some people have called him a control-freak. I see it more as a passion to get things done. Local fuel traders in Nigeria, however, accuse Dangote, of using political connections to squeeze out rivals. He argues his 700,000-barrels-per-day ?refinery can now meet Nigeria's fuel needs and is battling in court to end imports. Regulators have, however, warned against the risk of a fuel supply monopoly. The Dangote Group and Dangote neither responded to inquiries for comment regarding the allegations. He has stated that the listing will help to counter concerns about monopolies. He told a conference in 2013: "They'll say that we now have shares. So let everyone have a piece of it." Dangote's mission to push Africa towards self-sufficiency was brought into sharper focus by the Iran war, which exposed Africa's dependency on fuel imports. According to a source familiar with the talks, after the conflict raised concerns about fuel supplies, Kenya approached Dangote regarding the construction of an East African refinery. Dangote announced the project two months later with Kenyan and Ugandan officials. He said that it will begin this month.
MORNING BID AMERICAS - Dancing in the Dark
By Anna Szymanski
February 13th -
What Mike Dolan, the ROI team and I are looking forward to reading, watching and listening to this weekend.
Editor's Note
Hello Morning Bid readers! This week has been a rollercoaster ride. We saw a massive election victory in Japan, the extension of artificial intelligence disruption, a pushback against President Donald Trump’s tariff agenda, and a mixture of U.S. data that roiled rates markets. All of this suggests that market expectations on everything from technology to "Takaichi" are as clear as mud. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 2% on Thursday after Cisco Systems' disappointing earnings. Apple's share price also dropped 5% yesterday, the biggest drop since last April when tariffs were announced for 'Liberation Day.' Transportation stocks are the latest victims of 'AI disruption trade. The biggest event this week was the victory of Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takayi. Her Liberal Democratic Party secured a supermajority during the lower house elections held over the weekend. The Nikkei index, which measures the value of Japanese stocks, surpassed 58,000 on Thursday for the first ever time. The yen and Japanese government bonds, two markets that were roiled by Takaichi’s fiscal generosity for months, also gained strength. In fact, the latter is on course to make its biggest weekly gain in over a year. Investors might be betting on Takaichi being given the freedom to be fiscally responsible by her mandate, but it could also be a reflection of technical issues or the fact that negative sentiment has already been priced in. Investors should not be complacent by the post-election euphoria. The yen, and JGBs, could become volatile again when details about the funding plan for the Prime Minister's spending are revealed. The dollar was under pressure this week due to the resurgent Japanese yen, but the greenback gained some ground on Thursday as investors sought out safer assets. Dollar's persistent weakening against euro and yuan in the past year is notable. It seems to be aligned well with recent statements by leaders of both regions regarding their ambitions to have their currencies play a bigger role globally.
A surprising combination of economic data from the United States has shook expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this week. The release of lower-than-expected retail sales for December on Tuesday boosted expectations of Fed rate cuts in April. On Wednesday, however, the January jobs data surprised to the upside. The nonfarm payrolls grew by 130,000 in January, which was almost twice what the consensus expected. However, this increase was concentrated mainly in healthcare and social services, and coincided with huge downward revisions of 2025. Overall, data suggests that the labor market is stabilizing. Why is it expected that the Fed will continue to ease, even with inflation exceeding the Fed's target of 2.0% and signs emerging that global economic activity may be heating up? Governments around the globe are expected to ease their purse strings in 2018, despite massive debt loads (a negative sign for bonds). Meanwhile, tech titans have a capex spree, with $650 Billion planned by four companies for 2026. All of this does not seem to be a recipe for lower rates, even though President Trump wants the U.S. to have the lowest borrowing costs in the world.
Investors will be closely watching the latest CPI data, which is due to be released later today. Oil prices fluctuated this week on the energy markets. They were influenced by news of U.S. Iran negotiations. However, the result of Benjamin Netanyahu's meeting with Trump suggests that discussions with Tehran will be continued. The International Energy Agency announced on Thursday that they expect global oil demand to grow more slowly this year than originally forecast. This supports their projections of a significant glut in supply. This might not make sense with Brent crude at $70 per barrel, but oil prices are increasingly influenced by unpredictable external forces.
This is just another indication that even the supposedly efficient global markets will struggle to cope with the changes and twists of 2026, just like us. Check out Open Interest for more news on commodities and markets. Find out why investors might need a new hedge playbook, how a lack of snow in Europe could boost natural gas demand, and why WeChat, Reddit, and other social media sites are contributing to the latest metals boom.
Check out what the ROI team recommends you read, watch, and listen to as we enter the weekend. Please contact me at to let me know what you think.
This weekend we are reading...
The Doom Loop is the latest book by former IMF economist Eswar Prsad and Cornell Professor, Mike Dolan, who has been a member of ROI since its inception. It explores the consequences of rolling back decades' worth of globalization and multinationalism. He discusses how this happened and what can be done to prevent a destructive "doom loop" from spiraling out of control.
The story of the 1956 Suez Crisis, and the Hungarian Uprising, which unfolded simultaneously with huge global implications, is told by Alex von Tunzelmann in Blood and Sand. The importance of oil to Britain's decision making during the Suez Crisis was fascinating.
JAMIE MCGEEVER is a columnist for ROI Markets. Ben Harris, of the Brookings Institution, asks JAMIE MCGEEVER why U.S. economic growth continues despite policymakers pursuing an agenda which goes against the views of mainstream economists. He offers four possible answers: recent shocks were not as big as initially thought, shocks had been offset by stimuli, shocks hadn't yet moved through the system or economic models were wrong.
ANDY HOME is the ROI Metals columnist. The article is about rare earths and is a good primer on their production and consumption.
GAVIN MAGUIRE is a columnist for ROI Global Energy Transformation. This report describes a recent visit by a U.S. Public Utility Commissioner to several clean energy factories and grid equipment manufacturers in China. Her team visited the production lines of EVs and batteries, as well as solar panels, transformers and utility-scale transformers. They made some interesting observations.
CLYDE RUSSELL is a columnist for ROI Asia Commodities & Energy. One of the most notable features of the Mining Indaba Conference this year was optimism about the future of mining in Africa, as major powers once again compete to gain access to the continent's natural resources. It is not difficult to find articles that support and back up this bullish outlook. Finding an article that argues against this bullish view is not easy. Here's a counterpoint from the feisty, independent Daily Maverick.
Listening to...
ANNA SZYMANSKI is the editor in charge of ROI. She has released the latest episode on dating apps just in time for Valentine's Day. Carmel Crimmins, host of the Econ World podcast, digs deep into the multi-billion dollar business of online dating - why Gen Z is pulling away, how apps keep people swiping and if AI could completely rewrite this model.
We're always watching...
JAMIE MCGEEVER, ROI Markets columnist: I agree with Mike's suggestion and recommend Breakingviews editor Peter Thal Larsen’s recent interview of Eswar Prasad (author of The Doom Loop). Prasad explains the reasons why economic and political structures around the world are crumbling, and how to rebuild them. Not easily.
Want to receive Morning Bid every morning in your email? Subscribe to the newsletter by clicking here. Follow us on LinkedIn, X and ROI. The opinions expressed are the authors'. These opinions do not represent the views of News. News is bound by the Trust Principles to maintain integrity, independence and freedom from bias. (By Anna Szymanski)
(source: Reuters)