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MORNING BID AMERICAS - Gold-plated fear

By Mike Dolan

Jan 26th -

What's important in the U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan Editor-at-Large of Finance and Markets

Gold was unstoppable Monday, as it reached $5,000 per ounce at its highest level ever. It has risen?more that 80% in the last 12 months.

What is the cause of the recent surge? Pick your favorite: a falling dollar; a fractured world order; renewed trade tensions; concerns about Fed independence and an inflationary horizon. The central?bank?buying boom and retail speculation continue. Looking ahead, it appears that gold and precious metals, with silver also at record levels, will remain the hedge and haven of choice.

Below, I'll cover all of that and more. Check out my column about why the Fed's policy meeting this week could be a major flashpoint in an escalating fight for central bank autonomy. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a week.

GOLD-PLATED FEAR

Gold prices have risen again after a week filled with geopolitical turmoil surrounding Greenland. This was topped off by President Trump's sudden U-turn regarding military and trade threats against the Arctic island, and its European supporters. The about-face may have lowered tensions but it was a hollow win for Trump's NATO partners, who fear that the president's erratic and centralized foreign policy decisions will cause lasting damage to their alliance. Tariff threats remain active, and the threat of trade tensions looms as well. Trump retaliated against Canada on Saturday by threatening to impose 100% tariffs in response to Prime Minister Mark Carney's impending trade deal with China. Meanwhile, amid speculation that the U.S. and Japan would take joint action to support the yen in Japan's currency, the dollar fell to its lowest level against the yen in two months. The news came after reports Friday that the New York Fed checked dollar/yen exchange rates with dealers, which is considered an indication of a possible intervention. Any involvement by the United States would confirm that Washington is interested in a weaker dollar. The fatal shooting of a second anti-ICE demonstrator in Minneapolis has further heightened political tensions within the United States in this crucial election year. The furore may even lead to a partial shutdown of the government later this week. Chuck Schumer, Senate's leading Democrat, announced on Saturday that his party will vote against legislation which includes funding for the Department of Homeland Security. Winter Storm Fern's impact on the North American energy market continued Monday, as the oil price rose due to disruptions in production. The previous session saw a rise of more than 2%.

This morning, aside from a weaker Dollar, we've also seen steady U.S. Stocks and a drop in Treasury Yields, ahead of the Fed meeting on Wednesday, where policy will likely remain unchanged, as well as the release of many?earnings from companies like Apple, Microsoft and Tesla.

Chart of the Day

Gold reached a record-high above $5,100 per ounce on monday, marking an 18% rise this year. This is after a 64% increase in 2025 - its largest annual gain since 1979. Safe-haven demand has driven the dramatic increase, as have U.S. monetary policies, robust central bank purchases and record inflows to exchange-traded fund.

Silver climbed over $100 for the first-time on Friday. This follows its 147% increase last year, as retail-investor flow and momentum-driven purchasing compounded an extended?spell of tension in the physical markets for metal.

Watch today's events

* Dallas Fed Business Survey for January, Dallas Fed's new orders survey for November (8.30 AM ET)

* U.S. Corporate Earnings: Brown & Brown (Alexandria Real Estate Equities), Nucor (Steel Dynamics), W. R. Berkley, Steel Dynamics

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(source: Reuters)