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Euro hits 4-month-high, stocks fall as Trump tariff developments weigh

The euro reached a four-month peak against the U.S. Dollar on Thursday, after the European Central Bank again cut interest rates as expected. Stock indexes also fell as investors assessed the impact of U.S. president Donald Trump's new tariffs.

A day after the German Bund yield for 10-years saw its largest rise since the 1990s, the global bond market continued to sell off.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said on Thursday that Mexico will not be required to pay any tariffs until April 2 on any goods falling under the United States - Mexico - Canada Agreement on Trade. He did not mention a similar exemption for Canada even though his Commerce Secretary had stated it was likely.

Trump imposed U.S. duties of 25% on Tuesday on imports coming from Mexico and Canada, along with new duties on Chinese products. This has added to the concerns about inflation and growth.

Oliver Pursche is the senior vice president of Wealthspire Advisors, based in Westport, Connecticut. He said that investors speculate on what might happen and this causes a lot market volatility.

He said, "They are afraid of the consequences that will be brought about by the actions taken. But we do not know yet what these consequences will be."

A chipmaker index was down 4% as a disappointing Marvell sales forecast failed to excite investors.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 344.50 points or 0.80% to 42,662.21. The S&P 500 declined 78.80 or 1.35% to 5,763.60, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 323.94 or 1.74% to 18,229.72.

The MSCI index of global stocks fell by 5.07 points or 0.59% to 853.64. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose by 0.13%.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index soared over 3% and reached its highest level in three years, securing a 20% world-wide market surge by 2025.

The euro rose by 0.5%, to $1.0848. It had earlier reached a four-month peak of $1.0854. The euro is up 4.5% this week and on track to be its largest weekly gain since May 2009.

The European Central Bank said that monetary policy is becoming less restrictive. Traders interpreted this to mean a further cut in April may not be a certainty.

The yield on the 10-year German Bund was up by 6 basis points to 2.847% after reaching as high as 2,929% Wednesday.

German lawmakers will begin debating a 500 billion euro infrastructure fund as well as sweeping changes in state borrowing rules for funding defence on March 13.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes increased 4.4 basis points from late Wednesday to 4,311%.

Investors also looked at the latest economic data to look for cracks before Friday's payroll report.

According to the Labor Department's weekly initial claims for unemployment, they fell by 21,000 and now stand at 221,000 seasonally adjusted, which is below the 235,000 expected by economists polled.

Commentary from European leaders was also in the spotlight. They said that they would stand with Ukraine and increase their defense spending in a world shattered by Trump's reversal in U.S. policy. Trump's suspension this week of military assistance to Kyiv stoked fears that the region could no longer depend on U.S. security, which has been in place since World War Two.

U.S. crude dropped 0.65% to $65.86 per barrel. Brent was down to $68.97 a barrel, a drop of 0.46% for the day.

(source: Reuters)