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Four people killed after 14 shooters at a family gathering in Stockton California
Police said that four people died on Saturday night after police shot 14 people at a family reunion in Stockton, California. Stockton Vice Mayor Jason Lee stated in a post on Facebook that the shooting occurred at a birthday party for a child. He said: "I'm in touch with staff and officials from public safety to find out exactly what happened. I will continue to push for answers." Police received reports of a shooting near the 1900 block Lucile Avenue, Stockton shortly before 6 p.m. local (0200 GMT). San Joaquin County Sheriff's Office posted on X that "we can confirm, at this time, that approximately fourteen individuals were hit by gunfire and four victims have now been confirmed dead." Information is limited, as this investigation is very active. Investigators are looking into all possibilities. Early indications indicate that this could be a targeted attack. Authorities haven't provided any information about the shooter.
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US Judge authorizes sale to Elliott of Citgo parent shares
The sale of shares of Citgo Petroleum, the Venezuelan-owned parent company of Citgo Petroleum, to Elliott Investment Management was approved by a U.S. Judge on Saturday. This follows his approval this week of the $5.9 billion offer from the company at a court-organized bid to pay Venezuelan-related creditors. The sale order is a major legal step that wraps up a two-year auction to pay 15 or more creditors for defaults on debt and expropriations. Citgo Holding, Citgo's parent company, was found liable by the Delaware court for Venezuela's debt. This opened the door to over a dozen other creditors joining the auction. A court officer who was overseeing the auction had recommended Elliott's Amber Energy earlier this year, after recommending an offer by Gold Reserve, a rival bidder. This change led to a flood of objections, challenges and complaints against Amber's bid. Judge Leonard Stark in Delaware overruled them. Venezuela and other parties to the case have announced that they will appeal Stark’s decision to confirm Amber's bid. In his order, Judge Stark stated that "the consideration provided by the purchaser under the stock purchase contract is fair, reasonable, and adequate consideration for the PDVH share and constitutes a price adequate for the purchase of PDVH's shares under the Sale Procedures Order." If the transaction is successful, more than a half-dozen creditors will receive the proceeds of the auction. Amber announced earlier this week that the sale would close in 2019 pending regulatory approvals and U.S. Treasury Department approvals. These creditors include ConocoPhillips, Crystallex, Rusoro Mining and industrial conglomerates O-I Glass, Koch and O-I Glass. The judge stated that the buyer would not be liable for Citgo, Venezuelan oil company PDVSA or the Republic after the sale. The judge said that the buyer would not be liable for Citgo's ultimate parent, Venezuelan oil company PDVSA or the Republic.
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How would Venezuela's military react to an attack by the US?
Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that on Saturday airspace surrounding Venezuela and above it should be "closed completely", but he did not give any details. Washington is continuing to increase pressure on President Nicolas Maduro’s government. Trump has said repeatedly that U.S. attacks on alleged drugs boats in the Caribbean, Pacific and South America, which have claimed the lives of more than 80 people could lead to land action. He has also held a phone call with Maduro, and discussed the possibility of a U.S. trip by Venezuela's president. WHAT ARE VENEZUELA'S MILITARY CAPABILITIES? Six sources familiar with Venezuelan capabilities claim that the U.S. army dwarfs Venezuelan's. Venezuelan forces are crippled by low wages, a lack in training and outdated equipment. Even though Maduro has been in power since 2013 and enjoys military loyalty, rank-and file soldiers only earn $100 per month in local currency. This is less than a fifth of the amount that studies estimate an average family would need to cover its basic needs. According to sources, desertions could increase if the U.S. military attacks. Venezuelan troops have primarily faced unarmed civilians in street protests. Maduro claimed that 8 million civilians were training to be militia members, but a source said only a few thousand intelligence personnel, supporters of the ruling party and militia members would actually participate in defensive action. Lacking is the military equipment, which is mostly Russian and old. Caracas purchased 20 Sukhoi jet fighters in the 2000s. However, they are considered inferior to U.S. B-2s. Venezuela also has outdated Russian helicopters, tanks, and shoulder-fired rockets. How would VENEZUELA respond to an attack? Sources and documents viewed by us show that Venezuela is planning to mount a guerrilla resistance or create chaos if the U.S. launches an air or ground assault. High-ranking officials have referred to the response publicly, but without providing details. They refer to it by calling it "prolonged opposition", which would involve small military groups at over 280 locations committing acts of sabotage or other guerrilla techniques. Venezuela's 5,000 Russian Igla missiles have been deployed. Maduro praised them recently on Venezuelan state television. Sources said that military orders were given for units to disperse in different locations and hide if an attack occurs. Sources say that the second strategy, which is called "anarchization", and which officials are not aware of, uses intelligence services to use armed supporters of the ruling party in order to cause chaos in Caracas, and thus make Venezuela ungoverned. DO YOU KNOW IF THERE ARE OTHER ARMED ACTORS IN VENEZUELA? The National Liberation Army, a Colombian guerrilla force, operates in the western part of Venezuela. This area is also the center for coca cultivation, the main ingredient of cocaine. Often, supporters of the ruling party, collectives or colectivos as they are also called, mobilize on motorcycles in order to face protesters. Sometimes they are armed. Venezuelan opposition groups and NGOs as well as Washington and certain Latin American governments accuse Maduro of having ties with drug trafficking organizations, which are also accused by some of violence. The Venezuelan government denies any such links, and claims that the U.S. wants to change the regime in Venezuela so as to control its vast oil reserves. (Reporting and Editing by Alexander Smith).
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Church leader: Nigerian abductors killed a priest after one month of captivity
The head of the Church of Nigeria confirmed that an Anglican priest who was kidnapped last month in the northwest of Nigeria has died in captivity. This comes as Nigeria is reeling from a wave of abductions and murders which has drawn the condemnation of Washington. Archbishop Henry Ndakuba stated that Venerable Edwin Achi was killed after spending a month as a captive. He had been taken with his wife, daughter and son from their Kaduna home on October 28. In a late-Friday statement, Ndakuba stated: "With deep sorrow, we announce that our beloved priest... was brutally killed after suffering a month long abduction." The church reported that gunmen demanded at first a ransom payment of 600 million Naira (416,00) to release Achi, but later reduced it to 200,000,000 Naira. His wife and his daughter are still in captivity. Police in Kaduna have not responded to any requests for comments. The killing occurs amid a wave kidnappings across northern Nigeria. Armed gangs kidnapped 25 schoolgirls from Kebbi State on November 17, and days later more than 300 students and staff from a Catholic School in Niger State, prompting the closure of schools in several states. Bola Tinubu, the president of Nigeria, ordered the recruitment and cancellation of foreign trips in order to deal with what he termed a "national crisis." These attacks have also caused international concern. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, called Nigeria's situation "a disgrace". He warned that Washington would halt its aid and even take military action against Nigerian authorities if they failed to stop violence against Christians. Ndakuba called on the government and security services to "identify the treacherous sponsors and financiers, and enablers" of the wave of terror and demanded the immediate release Achi's daughter and wife.
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Russian drones and missiles injure 11, kill 1 in Kyiv
Russian drones, missiles, and explosions caused fires in Kyiv's districts early Saturday morning, according to officials. One person was killed and 11 others injured. This was the second attack in four days on the Ukrainian capital. On Tuesday, seven people were killed when Russian forces fired a barrage with drones and missiles. Tymur Tkachenko said that six locations in Kyiv, a city of three million people, were struck by explosions on Saturday. Apartment buildings and other dwellings were also affected. The military administration reported that the remains of a resident were recovered from the rubble in an apartment building which had been set on fire. The same building was also the site of a child's rescue. Vitali Klitschko, the mayor of the city of Kiev, said that a strike also caused a fire to start in the lower levels of an apartment building west of the centre. A second fire was also quickly put out in the central district. After 5 am (0300 GMT), a new alert was sent out in the capital for drones approaching. Online pictures showed an apartment building on fire, and emergency crews working in the streets and alongside damaged buildings. (Reporting and editing by Ron Popeski, Diane Craft, Tom Hogue and Chris Reese)
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Rosneft, Russia's oil company reports 70% drop in nine-month net profit
Rosneft, Russia's biggest oil producer, reported a 70% drop in net income from January to September, falling by $3.57 billion or 277 billion Russian roubles. The company attributed the decline to high interest rates and cheaper oil, as well as a stronger rouble. Shell and TotalEnergies have seen their quarterly profits fall due to lower oil prices. Rosneft stated that the increased "anti-terror" security was putting additional pressure on its results. The company didn't elaborate on specific security measures. Ukraine has increased drone attacks against Russia's energy infrastructure. Rosneft reported that its revenues dropped 17.8% to 6.29 trillion rubles in the first nine-month period of the year. The high key interest rate of the Bank of Russia continues to negatively impact the profit. Rosneft also said that non-monetary factors and special events had a negative impact on the indicator's dynamic during the reporting period. EBITDA (earnings before taxes, depreciation, and amortization) decreased by 29.3% for the period to 1.6 trillion Russian roubles.
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Petrobras cost-cutting could affect new wells in the Equatorial Margin Region
Petrobras' CEO stated on Friday that the company could reconsider some of its 15 planned wells in the "Equatorial Margin" because Brent oil prices will likely remain low for the next few years. Petrobras has cut its investment plans for the period 2026-2030 by $500 million up to $2.5 billion. Magda Chambriard, Petrobras' Chief Executive Officer, said at a recent press conference that "we had a large number of wells in the Equatorial margin; some were prioritised, while others were, say, deprioritized based on the Brent crude oil price." She did not specify how many wells would be examined. Petrobras is drilling in an environmentally sensitive region off the coast Amapa, known as Foz do Amazonas. Fernando Melgarejo, the Chief Financial Officer of Petrobras, told journalists that the company's cuts would also affect the extraordinary dividends paid to shareholders. He said the likelihood of distributing extra cash is low in the future. Chambriard stated that despite the cuts, Petrobras will maintain its oil production around 2.6 or 2.7 millions barrels per day up until 2034, after ramping it back up in 2027. Petrobras' new business plan expects it to reach a peak oil production level in five years. Reporting by Fabio Téixeira and Marta Nogueira from Rio de Janeiro, writing by Andre Romani and editing by Kyrry Madry and Paul Simao
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Silver sets new record for silver; gold heads to fourth consecutive monthly gain
Gold spot rose 1% on Friday to a new two-week-high, amid expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in the coming months. Silver also hit a record high. Gold spot was up by 1.3% at $4,210.94 an ounce as of 03:11 pm EST (20:11 GMT) after hitting its highest price in November 13 earlier this morning. Bullion is expected to rise 5.2% for the month and 3.6% for the week, marking a fourth consecutive increase. Silver reached a new record high at $56.78 an ounce. This is up 6.1% in the session, and 16.6% over the course of the month. After an outage that lasted for several hours at CME, trading in foreign exchange, commodities and futures, including Treasuries, stocks, and Treasuries, resumed around 8 a.m. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery settled 1.3% higher, at $4.254.9 an ounce. INVESTORS FOCUS ON FED Bart Melek is global head of commodity strategies at TD Securities. He said that some investors are returning to gold because they believe the Federal Reserve will cut rates. Gold is more likely to perform well when interest rates are low. The recent dovish comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, and New York Fed president John Williams, coupled with the softer economic data after the recent U.S. Government shutdown, has strengthened expectations that central bank rates will be cut next month. The traders now see 87% of a chance that the rate will be cut in December. This is up from 50% just last week. Jim Wyckoff is a senior analyst at Kitco Metals. He said that "the technical charts have become more bullish over the last week or two, which has encouraged chart-based investors to bet on the long side of silver." This week, gold demand in major Asian markets was muted as high prices slowed retail purchases despite the beginning of India's festive season. The removal of the tax exemption for gold purchases in China has slowed consumer demand. Palladium gained 0.8%, to $1450.16, and is set to gain 5.6% for the week. Platinum rose 4%, to $1672.50. (Reporting from Bengaluru by Pablo Sinha; Additional reporting by Sarah Qureshi, Editing by Rod Nickel and Paul Simao; Vijay Kishore).
Product streams at risk should Trump spark tit-for-tat trade war: Russell
Much of the dispute surrounding the ramifications of a possible 2nd U.S. presidential term for Republican Donald Trump has focused on what may take place to the U.S. and international economies.
Trump's plan to impose tariffs of 10% on virtually all imports into the United States, and as much as 50% on those from leading trading partner China, have actually raised the spectre of greater inflation and rates of interest, and a less competitive market.
However for products, the larger danger of a Trump return to the White House is the reaction the remainder of the world is likely to have to the imposition of U.S. trade tariffs.
Political leaders across the globe will be unable to sit idly by if Trump locations barriers on their exports to the United States.
Any unilateral action by Trump is hence most likely to be met by retaliation from U.S. trading partners, even if they are erstwhile political allies, such as countries in Europe and some in Asia, such as Japan, South Korea and even India.
If it's inescapable that U.S. trading partners react to Trump's proposed actions by putting tariffs on imports from the United States, the primary concern is then what type will they take?
While major U.S. exporting business such as plane maker Boeing will have cause for concern, a far easier target for retaliation is likely to be U.S. commodity exports.
The United States is the world's biggest exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG), and ranks fourth globally for exports of petroleum and all grades of coal.
A major buyer of U.S. products is China. If Trump were to enforce tariffs of 50% on its exports, Beijing could efficiently restriction all product imports from the United States, either formally or informally.
U.S. exports of crude oil to China were 10 million barrels in July, according to product analysts Kpler, and that figure is expected to rise to 16.58 million barrels in August, which would be the most because April 2023.
For the first eight months of this year U.S. unrefined exports to China are tracking at about 309,000 barrels daily (bpd),. which represents just about 3% of China's total imports, however. represent about 7.5% of total U.S. deliveries.
Simply put, it would likely be fairly easy for China to. stop buying U.S. crude and discover alternative providers, such as. Angola and Brazil.
But how simple would it be for U.S. oil manufacturers to change. the loss of Chinese purchasers?
Much will depend upon whether other countries place tariffs on. U.S. commodity exports.
Envision if the European Union, Japan and South Korea all put. a 10% tariff on U.S. crude in retaliation for Trump putting a. comparable impost on their exports to the United States.
The European Union, Japan and South Korea usually account. for about 60% of U.S. crude exports.
By putting tariffs on U.S. crude, LNG and coal, the rest of. the world could keep U.S. energy exports in the market, however. force U.S. companies to either deal discount rates to keep their. prices competitive or lower output.
United States LNG EXPOSED
U.S. LNG exporters might be more vulnerable than crude. producers, given they have no alternative markets aside from. exports.
For China, changing U.S. LNG would be more tough than. changing U.S. crude, but still most likely doable, provided the relatively. little proportion of U.S. LNG in its total imports.
In July, China's imports of U.S. LNG were 670,000 metric. tons, or about 10.5% of the monthly overall of 6.39 million.
For the United States, exports to China represent just about. 8% of its overall LNG shipments. However if Japan and South Korea are. added in too, then exports to the 3 main Asian buyers. increase to about a quarter of the total, based upon U.S. deliveries in. June of this year.
If tariffs were put on U.S. LNG by the North Asian. importers, it would put pressure on U.S. business to lower. costs to compensate.
U.S. coal exports have actually balanced about 7.5 million loads a. month for the first seven months of the year, however there is no. dominant buyer. Rather there is a broad range of importers that. all purchase reasonably small volumes.
This suggests that buyers of U.S. coal could probably find. alternative providers for the small volumes involved, but U.S. exporters may have a hard time to discover brand-new markets must a bulk of. its existing purchasers impose retaliatory tariffs.
In general, the photo that emerges is one of significant. vulnerability for U.S. energy exporters if we do see another. trade war, provided how countries might respond to the tariffs. presently being proposed by the previous president's camp.
Naturally, Trump still has to overcome most likely Democratic. prospect and existing vice president, Kamala Harris, in the. November election, and after that in fact follow through on what is. likely to be a widely-criticised trade policy.
However the risk stays significant. In 2022, Russia's invasion. of Ukraine showed us what can occur when a political occasion. roils energy markets.
If Trump is elected and does start a trade war, the. disruption may not be quite on that scale. However product flows -. and hence a large part of the global economy - might be affected. if the marketplace has to adjust to an unpredictable political dynamic. when again.
The opinions revealed here are those of the author, a columnist. .
(source: Reuters)