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Silver reaches new records at $60/oz, gold little changed before Fed decision
On Wednesday, gold prices remained steady as investors prepared to analyze Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's comments on a day when the bank will likely announce a rate cut. Silver continued its record-breaking rise above $60 per ounce. As of 0606 GMT, spot gold was unchanged at $4210.79 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery rose by 0.1%, to $4238.90 an ounce. Spot silver rose 1% to $61,30/oz, after hitting a session high of $61.46. The price of silver rose 1% to $61.30/oz after hitting a high of $61.46 earlier in the session. Silver is now overtaking gold in value. In October Today, that is close to 69, said Jigar Trivedi senior research analyst at Reliance?Securities. Jigar Trivedi is a senior analyst at Reliance Securities. Trivedi said that silver is in high demand, considering its fundamentals and the use of the white metal in various industries. In a report released on Tuesday, the Silver Institute, an industry association, said that sectors?such as solar energy, electric cars and their infrastructure, data centers, and artificial intelligence, will drive industrial demand through 2030. Maria Smirnova said that the metal was boosted by exchange-traded funds and the U.S. decision to designate it as a critical mineral in early this year. Silver inventories are shrinking globally and the expectation of Fed rate reductions has supported demand. Powell will hold a press conference at 1930 GMT after the conclusion of the two-day meeting. Investors expect a 25 basis-point cut to be implemented in about 89% of cases. GoldSilver Central MD Brian Lan stated that "what we're seeing is not much of a change on spot gold, it's still range-bound and people are looking to the Fed interest rate?tonight and whether or not there will be any further news" (on monetary policy). White House economist Kevin Hassett said on Tuesday that there was "plenty" of room for further cuts, but rising inflation may change this outlook. Gold is a non-yielding asset that tends to be favoured by lower interest rates. Palladium dropped 0.6%, to $1,497.31, while platinum fell 1.3%, to $1667.89. Reporting by Ishaan Aroo, Anmol Choubey, Sherin Elizabeth Vaghese and Rashmi Anich in Bengaluru. Editing by Harikrishnan Nair and Rashmi Anich
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Namibia's second desalination facility to be built by Chinese uranium mining company
Swakop Uranium is a subsidiary owned by the China General Nuclear Power Group. It has entered into a joint venture agreement with Namibia’s water utility, NamWater to build Namibia's second desalination plant near Swakopmund. The plant is only the second one of its kind in Africa. It will help to bolster water supply to the country's biggest uranium mining operation, Husab. In a joint statement released on Tuesday, partners of the joint venture said that negotiations had ended successfully. The project implementation phase will now begin. Swakop Uranium holds 70% of the stake, and NamWater has the rest. According to the statement, "The next steps include the'registration of Erongo Sunam Desalination Project Joint Venture Company and the detailed engineering, environmental assessment, financing arrangements, and construction planning." The new 20-million cubic-meter facility is expected to provide a stable and cost-effective supply of water to Swakop Uranium’s Husab Mine, as well as to neighbouring mines, communities and mines. Officials said that the Husab Mine is the largest open-pit uranium mining operation in the world. It also consumes the most water in the Erongo Region and is the second largest single water consumer in Namibia after Windhoek. Lot Ndamanomhata refused to reveal the cost of the project, but local newspapers estimated it at 3 billion Namibian dollars ($176 million). ($1 = 17,0364 Namibian Dollars) (Reporting and editing by Wendell Roelf, Mrigank Dhaniwala).
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Lingbao Gold, a Hong Kong-listed company, will buy 50% of Australia’s St Barbara unit at $245.5 Million.
St Barbara Mining, a subsidiary of Australia's St Barbara, announced on Wednesday that Chinese gold producer Lingbao?Group would buy a 50% share in the company for A$370m ($245.5m) cash. St Barbara Mining is the owner of Simberi Gold Company. This company will own an 80% stake on Simberi Gold 'Project' in Papua New Guinea. Kumul Minerals will purchase the remaining 20% of the shares for A$100million. Kumul Minerals is the state nominee to?PNG for the share of minerals in the country. Kumul's investment comes as the PNG Government seeks to?expand national ownership of key resource projects. Australian gold producers are enjoying a rapid rise in equity, thanks to the surging gold price. This has prompted companies to unlock value both from domestic and foreign assets. "With 'Lingbao', we have an experienced, well-funded and committed partner," St Barbara CEO, Andrew?Strelein, said. He added that Kumul’s participation in Simberi helps to?align key stakeholders. "St Barbara has now received full funding for its expected share of development costs?of the Simberi Gold Project." The company hopes to make a final investment decision for the Simberi Expansion Project by the third quarter fiscal year 2026.
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The yen is a hazed mess before the Fed
Rae Wee gives us a look at what the European and global markets will be like tomorrow. Investors have focused their attention on the Federal Reserve rate decision this week, but on Wednesday the currency markets briefly turned to the Japanese yen. After a sudden fall in the yen's value against the euro, and a drop of nearly 0.9% versus the Aussie dollar, the yen appeared to be slurring its words. The dollar was also on the verge of breaking through the 157-yen mark. The move was not a major event, but it could have been a way to position itself ahead of next week's policy meeting of the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Markets have almost priced in a 25-basis point hike, but the future is still unclear. There is little reason to tighten policy beyond December, given the lingering fiscal and growth concerns in Japan. If the expected hike next week is followed by another?months' wait, then the yen's trajectory will not change much - which means more downside risk. Even at 0.75% rates,?Japan's would still be among the lowest in world. The announcement comes at a time when policymakers in Australia, Europe and elsewhere have indicated that they may be considering a rate hike. Markets elsewhere reacted little when data showed that China's annual inflation rate accelerated in November to its highest level in 21 months, and factory-gate deflation increased. The Politburo - the top decision making body of the ruling Communist Party - said this week that China would continue to expand domestic demand in 2026 and support the economy through more proactive policies. The rupiah in Indonesia has weakened slightly after news that the United States trade agreement is at risk, according to an official from the United States, as Jakarta has retracted on several of its commitments made under the deal. Later, an Indonesian government official said that tariff negotiations between the United States and Indonesia are progressing as planned by both leaders. The Fed was the focus of attention, as the?outcome on Wednesday could be the most divisive in recent years. Investors have had a stressful few weeks in the lead up to this meeting. There was little data available during the record 43-day U.S. Government shutdown. Fed officials sent contradictory messages and President Donald Trump's Administration pushed for lower interest rates. Kevin Hassett is the White House's economic adviser and the leading candidate to become the Fed's new?chair. He told the WSJ Chief Executive Council on Tuesday that there was "plenty" of room to reduce interest rates. However, he said, if inflation increases, then the calculation?"may change." The Bank of Canada is also expected to announce its policy announcement on Wednesday. It will likely remain unchanged on rates due to a growing economy and an easing of inflation. The following are key developments that may influence the markets on Wednesday. - Federal Reserve rate decision Bank of Canada Rate Decision
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Markets watch Ukraine peace talks and Fed rate decision
Investors waited for a decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve on interest rates and watched progress in Russia-Ukraine talks. Brent crude futures rose 7 cents or 0.1% to $62.01 per barrel at 0500 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was trading at $58.32 per barrel, an increase of 7 cents or 0.1%. Suvro Sarkar is a DBS Bank energy analyst and said that the American Petroleum Institute reported a decline in U.S. oil inventories. Oil prices could be supported by the U.S. Fed's rate-cut policy, which is another macro-driver. Citing market sources The API numbers are a good way to understand the figures. On Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Energy reported that crude oil inventories in the United States fell by 4.78 million barrels, while gasoline inventories increased by 7 million barrels, and distillate stocks increased by 1.03 millions barrels. While markets were booming, Expecting The U.S. Federal Reserve is to Reduce the size of your ad with this At its meeting on Wednesday, the Bank of England cut its key interest rate a quarter-point to help cool down the labour market. A reduction in interest rates may increase oil demand through economic growth. However, concerns that supply would outpace demand curtailed gains. ING analysts stated in a note that despite the market moving further into a glut, Russian oil supply is still a concern. "While Russian seaborne oil export volumes are doing well, these barrels are having a hard time finding buyers," ING stated, adding that Russian output will begin to drop if buyers cannot be found. After days of intense diplomacy, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy announced that his country and European partners would soon be presenting "refined documents," on a plan to end the conflict with Russia. The lifting of sanctions against Russian companies could be achieved by a 'peace agreement' between Ukraine and Russia. This could allow for the reopening of restricted oil supply. The Energy Information Administration has also said that it expects U.S. crude oil production this year to be higher than expected. Its forecast for 2025 was raised by 20,000 barrels a day to an average of 13.61 million. The organization, however, reduced its forecast of total production in 2026 to 13,53 million bpd by 50,000. (Reporting and editing by Thomas Derpinghaus; Emily Chow)
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Silver reaches new records, gold edges ahead of Fed decision
Silver continued its record-breaking rise above $60 per ounce, as silver continues to be pushed higher by investors awaiting the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s guidance on the day the bank is expected cut interest rates. As of 0309 GMT, spot gold rose 0.2% to $4215.61 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for February Delivery rose by 0.2% to $4244.70 an ounce. Spot silver was up 0.6% to $61.06/oz, after reaching a session high of $61.46. It has built on Tuesday's breakthrough above the $60 level, driven by depleted stocks and strong industrial demand. GoldSilver Central's?MD Brian Lin said: "What we are seeing on spot gold is that it's range-bound and people will be looking to the Fed interest rate tonight (to see if there'll any further news)" Powell will hold a press conference at 30 minutes after Powell's rate announcement at 1900 GMT. The FOMC meeting, which lasted two days, concludes on Wednesday with a decision about the interest rate. Investors currently price in an 88.6% probability of a 25 basis-point cut. Kevin Hassett is a White House economist and a leading candidate for Fed chairman. He said that there was "plenty" of room?for more. Rate cuts But rising inflation could change this outlook. Gold and other non-yielding investments tend to do well in low interest rate environments. "Many are now interested in silver because it (finally is) catching up to gold. "The (gold-silver ratio) has dropped sharply and there's a lot of demand for silver on major markets including India," Lan stated. Silver Institute, an industry association, said that a report released on Tuesday showed that sectors such as?solar power, electric vehicles, data centers, and artificial intelligence would drive the industrial demand upwards through 2030. Silver prices are supported by dwindling inventories worldwide, high demand and expectations that the Fed will ease interest rates. It has also been added to the U.S. Critical Minerals list. Palladium dropped 0.2%, to $1,503,26. Platinum fell 1.2%, to $1669.70. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Rashmi Aich and Harikrishnan Nair)
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Copper falls below records as Fed caution tempers gains
The copper price hovered just below its record highs as investors waited for the U.S. Federal Reserve to announce a possible hawkish policy following their two-day meeting. As of 0315 GMT, the?most-traded copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange?was down by 0.37% to 91,720 Yuan ($12,987.27) per metric ton. The benchmark three-month price of copper at the London Metal Exchange rose 0.67%, to $11,564 per ton. The upward trend in copper slowed as the Fed rate decision drew near. At a time of persistent inflation fears and a resilient economy in the United States, the market was expecting a "hawkish" cut in December. Analysts at Chinese broker Jinrui stated that investors have scaled back their positions due to the uncertainty of future rate cuts. They also noted that the expected'supply pressure outside the U.S. keeps prices high and volatile. The copper price has recently reached record highs due to the expectation that supplies will be tightening outside of the U.S. and mine disruptions. China's consumer price inflation reached a 21-month high in November. However, factory-gate deflation continued even as the government intensified its campaign to reduce overcapacity. Shareholders of Canadian miner Teck Resources approved the merger between Anglo American on Tuesday, paving the way for the review by regulators. Aluminium, among other metals, fell 0.34% on SHFE. Zinc dropped 0.43%. Lead?lost? 0.84%. Nickel declined 0.73%. Tin was the only metal to gain 0.72%. Aluminium gained?0.63% on the LME, while zinc gained 0.49%. Lead was up 0.33%. Nickel gained 0.31%. Tin rose 1.11%. Wednesday, December 10, DATA/EVENTS 0600 US Wheat, Corn and Soybean End Stocks 25/26 Dec 0600 US Wheat, Corn and Soybean E/S for the World 25/26 dec 0600 US Corn, Soybean, Wheat end stocks 25/26 dec 0600 US world soy, wheat, corn
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Rinehart: excessive regulation is putting Australia's mining industry at risk.
Gina Rinehart, baroness of mining in Australia, said that excessive regulations have put the industry's global competitiveness under threat. Rinehart, executive chairman of?Hancock Prospecting?, Australia's 4th-largest miner of iron ore, has risen to the top of Australia's richest list over the last 15 years. The comments were made in a speech marking the 10-year anniversary since Hancock first shipped iron ore. They echo previous statements by BHP executives. However, they are her first remarks since Australia passed an environmental law reform in a bid for a reduction in red tape last month. Rinehart cited a report from the Minerals Council of Australia that stated that 80% of mining projects were abandoned. The lobby group blamed this on "poor policies" which increased costs for the miners. "This is the result of bad government policies. Rinehart stated that the reality of a significant risk to Australia's mining industry and high government burdens is putting?our competitiveness at risk. Hancock said in its annual reports that it was awaiting final approvals for the development of two iron ore project. However, a spokesperson announced on Wednesday that approvals were received and construction has begun. Geraldine Slattery, BHP Australia's director of Australia, said in October that the country needs to speed up environmental approvals as well as increase access to low-cost power if it wants to compete with other nations for mining investment capital. BHP's Mike Henry, the CEO of BHP's coking coal division in Queensland, also warned in October that "difficult" decisions were ahead after the state raised its royalty payments without consulting with industry. Rinehart highlighted the contribution mining made to the nation’s wealth. She pointed out that her Roy Hill mine generated A$12 billion in taxes and royalty payments and A$15.4 billion in contracts for Western Australian companies in the last 10 years. She had previously called on Australia to adopt a Donald Trump-style of leadership in order to reduce government spending while increasing defence and energy security. Last month, Australia reached an agreement with the Greens to reform its environmental laws. The MCA described the bill as "an inferior and disappointing outcome" for Australian firms who currently have to "go through a lengthy, complex and double-track approval and assessment process on issues that are largely identical." Reporting by Melanie Burton, Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman. $1 = 1.5078 Australian Dollars
Andy Home: Demand destruction could help China break its rare earths shackles
Beijing's export restrictions have exposed the West's dependence on Chinese supplies of these exotic metals, and the permanent magnets that they power.
It's not like we've never been in this situation before. China did the exact same thing in 2010.
Western automakers chose to ignore historical precedents and double down on a techniqe that is almost completely beholden Beijing's export whims.
Many of them have now entered a panic mode and several have already been forced to stop production lines. This shows the huge economic impact that niche metals like dysprosium (used in neodymium iron boron (NdFeB), magnets) can make.
China's willingness weaponise its dominant position in the metals which power our modern world, will accelerate the West’s drive to develop its own supply chain.
The solution lies in using less rare earths. The West cannot control the supply but can change demand.
The past is not for those who forget it.
Beijing said that its 2010 imposition of rare Earth export quotas was only to clamp down on illegal domestic mining.
The incident happened after a collision in disputed waters between a Chinese coast guard vessel and a Chinese trawler.
The entire West was affected by the skyrocketing prices of rare Earths if Japan were the target. According to Adamas Intelligence, the price of dysprosium oxide increased 26-fold between 2009 and 2012.
China only reversed its position after a panel of the World Trade Organization ruled against them in 2014.
Several automakers have learned the lesson.
Nissan Motor Co. of Japan launched in 2012 a new LEAF electric car with a motor that contained 40% less dysprosium.
Renault developed an alternative motor for its ZOE in the same model year, without permanent magnets or rare earths.
Adamas estimates that the number of EVs with rare-earth free motors grew from a little over 1% in global sales in 2010, to 12% by 2017.
This was the peak.
BUCKLE UP
Prices of rare earths fell in late 2010 and remained steady. Western automakers have largely switched back to permanent magnetics.
According to Adamas, around 97% of the EVs sold each year since 2017 have rare-earth motors.
The rapid growth of the EV market, especially in China (which for obvious reasons does not have a rare earths phobia), is reflected in the number of magnets that are used in new vehicles, whether they be pure battery or hybrid.
Magnets are also used to control heating, entertainment, braking, and remind the driver of their seat belt.
This has increased the dependence on a single country, which not only produces 95% of all NdFeB magnetic products in the world but also controls supply chains for the metals needed to produce them.
PEACE TALKS
China's rare earth exports may have been pushed too far this time, possibly because of an overzealous bureaucracy in the Ministry of Commerce that is responsible for segregating military from civilian applications.
The talks between Chinese and U.S. officials entered their second session on Tuesday, in an effort to find a compromise between China's restriction on rare earths versus U.S. restrictions regarding advanced semiconductors. Background: Tariffs are a major factor.
The automotive industry will remain dependent on rare earths even if Beijing eases up its restrictions.
It may take a while for Western supplies to catch up. Even though Western governments pour money into new projects to build a mine-to magnet supply chain, it will take years.
Civil sectors will also be a second priority. The U.S. Department of Defense is the largest investor in rare earths, with a stated goal of supporting "all U.S. Defense requirements by 2027".
The speakers in your car radio are not as powerful as the magnets required for an F-35 fighter. This aircraft requires over 900 pounds worth of rare earths.
DEMAND DESTRUCTION
Does the technology used in non-critical applications really need to be deployed on new vehicles?
A bigger question is if they need a rare earth magnet in the engine.
Renault and BMW, which have learned from their past mistakes, have developed alternatives for their EV motors to reduce the impact of this current supply crisis.
Many other automakers have also been interested in the same technology, but it is not yet ready for commercial production.
China's recent restrictions on rare earths should serve as a powerful motivation to speed up the redesign process.
When it comes to breaking free of China's chokehold over rare earth magnets, automakers may find that engineered demand destruction is faster than creating a new supply network.
It's not like they've never done it before.
These are the opinions of the columnist, an author for.
You like this column? Check out Open Interest, your new essential source of global financial commentary. ROI provides data-driven, thought-provoking analysis on everything from soybeans to swap rates. The markets are changing faster than ever. ROI can help you keep up. Follow ROI on LinkedIn, X and X. Editing by Jan Harvey
(source: Reuters)