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After the weekend Iran strike, Japanese yens and Swiss francs gain as safe haven currencies

The safe haven currencies of the Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen strengthened, while 'the euro' fell as trading resumed following a weekend in which?the United States and Israel launched their most ambitious attack on Iran since decades, killing Supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei.

In late New York trading on Friday, the euro fell 0.34% to $1.1776 from around $1.18. The euro also dropped 0.5% against the Swiss Franc, to 0.9039 - its lowest level since 2015.

The dollar dropped 0.26% against the yen, and was down 0.3% lastly against the Swiss Franc. The greenback was stronger against the Australian dollar and sterling.

U.S. and Israeli strikes - and Iranian retaliation - have sent shockwaves through the Middle East and across sectors, from shipping to air travel to oil, on warnings about rising energy costs and disrupting business in the Gulf.

The reaction of the energy markets will have a significant impact on how currencies, stocks and bonds trade in response to events in Iran.

Analysts expect oil to open at a sharply higher price on Monday. Traders say that it has already risen by around 10% on the over-the-counter markets. Gold, a safe haven, is likely to rise as well. Stocks are also expected to drop.

Boursa Kuwait halted trading on Sunday after Iranian reprisal attacks against U.S.-targeted cities in the Gulf region sparked fears of regional instability.

INVESTORS ARE SCENARIO?PLANNING

Investors scrambled for clues as to what will happen next. FX markets are among the first asset classes to start trading after weekend developments.

We see two scenarios. First, we can expect a limited disruption to the global energy market, which will have minimal impact on the world's economy. Samy Chaar, chief economist at Lombard Odier, said that a second scenario would be a "more protracted and broader conflict" leading to an oil crisis.

He said: "We think the first scenario is unfolding right now." But, in the "second scenario," "commodities and bond yields would be affected, as well as currencies, oil-sensitive sectors of the stock market, inflation expectations, monetary policies, and, in case of an extended closure of the Strait of Hormuz, economic growth."

Brent crude oil?traded around $80 a barrel?over the counter?on Sunday, traders?said. On Friday, it jumped to $73, the highest level since July.

Iran is a major producer of energy and sits across the Strait of Hormuz from the oil-rich Arabian Peninsula, which accounts for about 20% of the global oil supply. (Reporting and editing by Dhara Raasinghe; Alun John)

(source: Reuters)