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Oil prices fall on fears of oversupply

Early Asian trade on Monday saw oil prices drop, erasing gains made in the previous session. Oversupply worries outweighed optimism about a possible resolution to the U.S. Government Shutdown.

Brent crude futures dropped 13 cents or 0.2% to $63.93 per barrel at 0100 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was also at $60 per barrel, down 13 cents or 0.2%.

Both benchmarks rose by around 40 cents during the last session.

The longest government shut down in U.S. History could end this coming week. A compromise to restore federal funding passed the initial Senate hurdle on Sunday night, but it is unclear when Congress will give its final approval.

Oil prices are being held back by concerns about an oversupply of crude oil, despite the fact that progress towards reopening government has lifted markets in general.

Analysts at the energy advisory firm Ritterbusch and Associates wrote in a report that "as OPEC's production increases continue, the global oil balances have a more bearish tone on the supply side. Demand is still on a downward trend in tandem with a slowed growth path in major oil-consuming nations."

Earlier in the month, OPEC+ decided to raise December production targets by 137,000 barrels a day, just as it did for October and November. The group also agreed to put a stop to the increases during the first quarter next year.

The market also focused on the latest U.S. Sanctions by President Donald Trump against Russian oil giants Rosneft & Lukoil.

On Monday, sources said that Lukoil had declared force majeure on its Iraqi oilfield and Bulgaria was preparing to seize the refinery in Burgas as the Russian firm's international operations buckled due to sanctions. The biggest impact of the sanctions is the force majeure on the West Qurna-2 oil field in Iraq.

Analysts said that the amount of oil onboard ships in Asian waterways has doubled over the past few weeks, after Western sanctions tightened hit exports to China, India, and other countries, and import quotas curbed demand by independent Chinese refiners. Analysts say that some refiners from China and India are now buying oil in the Middle East.

Ritterbusch said that one potential threat to the oil market's bearish outlook is "the extent to which China continues to push Russian supply into strategic stockspiles, and whether India succumbs to Trump's suggestion that India defer further purchases of Russian oil." Ashitha Shivaprasad reported from Bengaluru and Sonali Paul edited the article.

(source: Reuters)