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MORNING BID AMERICAS-' No Landing' circumstances swirl as markets recoil

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan If the U.S. economy is still so strong that robust demand will not. allow inflation to go back to the Federal Reserve's 2% target,. there's an outside chance the central bank might have a hard time to cut. rates of interest at all this year.

At least that's part of the no landing fears that emerged. after Tuesday's surprise January inflation readout, a report. that violently whipped U.S. stocks back from record highs while. catapulting Treasury yields to highs for the year.

Most considerably, the sticky customer price upgrade managed. to take almost a full quarter-point out of market expectations. for Fed alleviating this year.

Despite the fact that that's kicked back a bit at an early stage Wednesday,. futures now see no more than 92 basis points (bps) of rate cuts. in 2024. There was as much as 150 bps priced little bit more than a. month back.

The chances of a very first move as quickly as March have now been. cleaned to as little as 1-in-10. It's 50-50 for May and a quarter. point cut is now not completely marked down until the Fed's June 12. conference.

An overreaction to one number that's not even the main. bank's preferred inflation gauge?

Offered the scale of the day's market response, you 'd be. forgiven for thinking U.S. inflation surged higher once again last. month.

Even though it missed projections for a dip below 3%,. headline yearly CPI in fact fell in January to 3.1% from 3.4% -. despite the fact that core inflation was stuck at 3.9% and financial experts. stressed over still-elevated lease and service sector price increases.

The spotlight now practically immediately shifts to the release. of PCE inflation step for January, due on Feb. 29, for a. truth check on yesterday's spicy CPI and also to evaluate how. the Fed will evaluate cost pressures more broadly entering into next. month's event.

Currently on Wednesday, a sub-forecast reading for British. inflation last month assisted soothe global markets a touch and. encouraged some hopes the U.S. CPI peculiarity was a one-off.

There is a possibility now that, instead of markets bracing. for a possible rate cut at the March 20 meeting, they will. rather be speculating about whether Fed policymakers will raise. their long run forecasts for the policy rate - or so-called. neutral rate projections.

And even though soft landing and rate cuts stay the. agreement view, almost one-in-five global fund managers polled. by Bank of America this month now see no landing as the most. likely scenario over the next 12 months. And that month-to-month study. can be found in even before yesterday's CPI number.

Another complication is that despite the fact that stocks fell back. dramatically on dimmer rate cut hopes - with the near-4% plunge in. the Russell 2000 index of U.S. little caps making it the. worst one-day plunge since June 2022 - the picture of. sustainably more durable U.S. economic growth going forward. must probably be favorable for equities.

As it stands ahead of Wednesday's bell, S&P 500 and Nasdaq. futures were back up about 0.5% and the Vix volatility gauge. fell back to 15 after surging to its highest level of the. year on Tuesday.

Another heavy journal of business incomes on both sides of. the Atlantic kept stock pickers in thrall.

And despite the sharp recoil in Wall St indexes on Tuesday,. there were noteworthy gainers.

JetBlue Airways soared 21.6% after activist. financier Carl Icahn reported a 9.91% stake and said the. provider's stock was underestimated.

Tripadvisor's stock jumped 13.8% as the online. travel agency formed a committee to examine deal proposals.

And in an unusual twist after the bell, shares in ride. hailing firm Lyft soared almost 70% at one point, just. to pull away again after Lyft said its statement had incorrectly. put a key margin projection at 500bps this year instead of 50bps.

The stock rapidly turned tail, although remains up 15% as. the firm did still beat quarterly revenue price quotes on Tuesday. and stated it would generate favorable totally free cash flow for the first. time in 2024.

Elsewhere all over the world stocks were blended, lower on Asia. bourses that were open but greater again in Europe.

The dollar's surge to 2024 highs after the CPI. surprise on Tuesday was also cut back today - not least versus. Japan's yen.

The dollar fell back 150.57, even if not far from a. three-month high hit early Tuesday.

With markets cautious of Japanese intervention above 150,. main remarks were closely eyed.

We are enjoying the marketplace even more closely, Japan's. Financing Minister Shunichi Suzuki informed press reporters. Fast moves. are unwanted for the economy.

Japan's leading currency diplomat Masato Kanda stated the nation. would take suitable action on forex if needed.

Key diary items that may offer direction to U.S. markets later on. on Wednesday:. * Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Guidance Michael Barr,. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee speak Bank of England. Governor Andrew Bailey affirms in parliament. * WTO General Council conference. * U.S. business revenues: Cisco Systems, Kraft Heinz,. Westinghouse, Global Payments, Tripadvisor, Equinix, Ventas,. Albemarle, CME, IQVIA, Arch Capital, Occidental Petroleum,. American Water Works, Tyler Technologies, Rollins, CF. Industries, Williams, Charles River Laboratories, Martin. Marietta Materials, Generac

(source: Reuters)