Latest News

MORNING BID AMERICAS-Weekend wars

MORNING BID AMERICAS-Weekend wars
MORNING BID AMERICAS-Weekend wars

What's important in U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets

Is the Middle East conflict over? The world markets, which assumed that the Middle East conflict had ended and been resolved, were rudely surprised over the weekend when the United States launched new strikes against Iran in response to the attacks on Gulf shipping. Oil markets were unable to react to the news in early trading this morning, when both sides agreed to cease hostilities and restart peace talks.

Below, I'll go into more detail. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks.

WEEKEND WARS The weekend wars didn't have much of an impact on crude prices, which continued their slide back to pre-war levels as we entered the week. Parts of the oil markets are already experiencing oversupply because of a return of Gulf shipping. Brent crude traded at $73 per barrel on Monday morning after losing more than 10% the previous week. The wobbly technology sector is still on edge, after the selloffs and whipsaws of last week, which were largely caused by?profit taking after a spectacular quarterly for chip stocks. On this front, real concerns still linger. Apple's soaring costs of memory and reports that OpenAI's IPO could be delayed despite Micron Technology's dazzling earnings report. These worries, combined with the uncertainty surrounding the peace agreement, kept Asia markets on edge?on Sunday, with major indices closing lower. Wall Street futures were in the black before the bell, and European shares held their ground early in trading. The dollar is poised to make its largest monthly gain in over a year against major counterparts, fueled by Federal Reserve rate hike bets.

Friday is Independence Day in the United States, and Thursday's release of the June payrolls will shorten this week. This should provide a better indication of the Fed's policy outlook.

On Wednesday, the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a keynote speech at the European Central Bank annual symposium, which begins today in Sintra. Andy Burnham, who is the frontrunner to be the next UK Prime Minister, will deliver his first key note speech on a government plan on Monday morning. He is expected to present a "long-term vision" for improving living standards and giving greater power to local authorities.

Chart of the Day The U.S. Dollar is headed for its largest monthly gain in almost a year ahead of?key U.S. employment data later in this holiday-shortened weekend, with futures still betting on an interest rate rise by the Fed in October.

The yen is at the other end of the dollar stick, as it continues to hover around 40-year lows. CFTC data indicates that speculative yen short positions have reached extremes not seen since 2024.

Watch today's events

The ECB annual forum is underway in Portugal

Want to receive Morning Bid in your email every morning? Subscribe to the newsletter by clicking here. Follow us on LinkedIn, X and ROI. The opinions expressed by the author are their own. These opinions do not represent those of News. News is bound by the Trust Principles to maintain integrity, independence and freedom from bias. (By Mike Dolan).

(source: Reuters)