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Dollar rises as uncertainty over peace talks boosts the dollar

On Wednesday, stocks recovered from a crash in technology shares due to caution about overstretched AI valuations. Meanwhile, crude oil prices dropped towards four-month-lows and the dollar climbed up to a one-year-high.

The technology stocks that were hard hit on Tuesday edged higher ahead of Micron's earnings, whose chips are key to the AI boom. Investors chose the dollar as a safe haven because sentiment was fragile.

Michael McCarthy, a market analyst at Moomoo Securities Australia, said that the price action on markets in the past seven trading days was alarming. Not only when it fell, but when it rose as well. When markets move rapidly in either direction it is a sign that there's instability.

The wild swings overnight in Asian stocks that saw South Korea’s Kospi rise 3.5% on Wednesday, despite a 10% fall on Tuesday, did not translate to high volatility in Europe.

The regional stock market was essentially unchanged for the day. The broader regional stock market was roughly unchanged on the day.

U.S. Stock Futures rose between 0.1% and 0.4%. The dollar rose against a basket major currencies for the third day in a row, reaching its highest level in over a year.

The strategists at Scotiabank believe that the dollar is overvalued, given the expectations of at least one rate increase from the Federal Reserve in this year. This has boosted the currency.

The dollar continues to enjoy a 'fear premium,' due to the lingering geopolitical concerns and in particular the US/Iran Conflict," they stated.

On Wednesday, oil prices dropped more than 1%, continuing this week's losses, and trading at near four-month lows. This was on the back of signs that more tankers stuck in the Gulf will be moving out of the Strait of Hormuz.

The outlook is uncertain, as the U.S., and Iran, have given conflicting reports on the key elements of their agreement, such as nuclear inspections, and control of strait.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes fell by 1 basis point to 4.48%.

The 'euro' was one of a few?main losers of Wednesday’s dollar strength, as investors lowered their expectations that the European Central Bank would raise rates more than they had expected this year. They also increased the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will increase borrowing costs.

The euro traded at its lowest level in over a year. It was down for the third day, trading at $1.1354. It has already lost more than 2.5% of its value in June, and is on track to have the worst month since July.

The yen also fell on the day and traded around 161.695. This kept markets on edge about a possible currency intervention designed to support the?battered Japanese?currency.

The minutes of the Bank of Japan’s latest?meeting at which interest rates were raised to a 31 year high of 1.00% showed that policymakers discussed the rising inflation risks. Some called for a faster increase in interest rates to bring borrowing costs closer to levels considered neutral to the economy.

Gold prices continued to fall, with the dollar rising, and fell 0.7%, or $4,078 per ounce. This is nearing the two-week lows. (Editing by Lincoln Feast, with additional reporting from Satoshi Fugiyama in Tokyo)

(source: Reuters)