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Aluminium hovers near four-year high and copper hits near two-week peak
London copper prices reached a two-week high Wednesday as lower oil 'prices eased concerns about inflation and economic growth. Aluminum hovered at its highest level for more than four years on supply concerns. The price of three-month copper at the London Metal Exchange rose 0.5% to $13,688.50 per metric tonne by 0334 GMT after reaching its highest level since May 15 during the previous session. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract remained unchanged at $15,495. Brent crude oil fell this week and was trading at its lowest level in over a month, alleviating some concerns about inflation and global slowdown. This supported demand for copper which is widely considered a bellwether of the health and strength of the global economic system. Copper's popularity is also boosted by the expectation of a massive AI boom, which will require large quantities of copper to power data centres. Ilya Spirak, global macro head at Tastylive, said: "The main tension in the markets is whether or not this AI buildout story can continue to diverge?from?the inflation concerns triggered by?the U.S.-Iran War and its dramatic effects." Iran claimed on Tuesday that the U.S. violated a truce by attacking targets near the contested Strait of Hormuz. This could complicate efforts to end the war. The price of three-month aluminium at the London Metal Exchange increased by 0.5%, to $3 689 per metric ton. Prices rose to their highest level since March 24, 2020 in the previous session. The price of alumina, the main feedstock for aluminium, has risen. Also due to a reduced supply by Gulf producers there is a tightening in the market. The September alumina contracts on the 'Shanghai Futures Exchange' rose by?over 1 percent to reach their highest level since April 28. The LME Aluminium Cash Contract premium has also remained high despite the reduced aluminium production from Gulf producers as a result of the conflict. As of Tuesday, the price per ton was $73 Nickel gained?0.5%, tin rose 0.8%, and zinc increased 0.3% on the LME. Nickel reached?its highest levels since May 14?while the lead hovered around a four-month peak. Aluminium, among other SHFE metals rose by 0.8%, while zinc fell 0.7%, and lead increased 0.3%. Nickel gained 1.9%, and tin grew 0.6%.
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Indian shares are open with little change due to caution regarding the shaky US/Iran truce
The Indian share market opened on Wednesday with a?small increase, as caution prevailed over the fragile truce between?the U.S. Iran is a concern amid fears of a Middle East conflict escalation. Iran claimed on Tuesday that the U.S. violated a truce by attacking targets near the contested Strait of Hormuz. This could complicate efforts to end the three-month war. Lebanese sources of security said that Israel's?air strikes against Lebanon on Tuesday, one of the most intense days of bombings in recent weeks, further strained?peace attempts. Iran has demanded an end to Israeli attacks on Lebanon as part any deal. Brent crude was hovering around $98 per barrel. As of 9:24 a.m. IST, the benchmark Nifty 50 index rose 0.07% to 23928.01 while the BSE Sensex gained 0.05% -to 76047.25. Nine out of 16 major sectors registered?gains. Small-caps and middle-caps, which are broader categories, gained 0.3% each. Coal India lost 5.3% after the government announced a sale of up to 2% in the state-owned firm via an offer to sell at a discount of 10% to the last closing price. Oil and Natural Gas Corp. lost?4% despite modest revenue and profit growth in the fourth quarter. (Reporting and editing by Vivek M and Bharathrajeswaran, with Mrigank Dhaniwala).
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Oil prices drop as traders wait for US-Iran progress
The price of oil fell from its recent highs, wiping out some of the previous days' 4% increase. Traders sought clarity on the?complex?negotiations?between Iran and the U.S. Brent crude futures dropped $1.42 or 1.43% to $98.16 per barrel at 0253 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), lost $1.66 or 1.77% to $92.23 per barrel. The price of oil soared after the U.S. The military launched new strikes against Iran, sapping hopes that the United States and Iran could?come to an agreement?to end the war. Iran claimed on Tuesday that the United States violated a truce by striking targets in the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S., however, said the strikes were defensive. Both sides claimed to have made progress in talks after an April ceasefire ended the three-month conflict. The Strait is a vital conduit for oil and gas flow around the world. The negotiations are now threatened by the escalating hostilities. Israel intensified its bombing of Lebanon on Tuesday, further straining the peace effort. The news that some LNG tankers had passed through the Strait in recent days raised hopes that it would reopen shortly, adding to the global supply.
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Markets eye the shaky US/Iran agreement as shares reach new heights
On Wednesday, Asian shares reached record highs and oil prices were still elevated as the markets awaited signs that a fragile truce between Iran and the United States would be extended. The dollar was up?from?the previous session, after Iran claimed that the U.S. violated a truce. New Zealand's currency rose after its central bank maintained its policy rate but indicated that future increases will have to be made sooner. After the U.S. stock market reopened after a long holiday, Japanese and South Korean stocks reached new highs on AI optimism. The mood remains fragile, though, as the talks to end the conflict that has rocked the energy markets for three months continue. Central bankers will also be watching to see how the crisis affects the outlook for interest rates and inflation. Kyle Rodda is a senior financial analyst at Capital.com. He wrote that the markets were waiting for "something tangible" in regards to a possible deal between Iran and the U.S. A lot of good news is already priced in. This leaves room for disappointment when something more comprehensive is not announced. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan has advanced for the fifth consecutive session, gaining 1.9% and reaching a new high. Japan's Nikkei index jumped by 1% and briefly traded above 66,000 for the first. South Korea's KOSPI rose 4.3% after the unionised employees of Samsung?Electronics voted in favor of a tentative wage deal that averted a strike which threatened to shake global chip supplies. Early European trades saw the Euro Stoxx 50 futures rise by 0.18%. German DAX futures also rose by 0.1%. FTSE futures fell 0.1%. The S&P 500 eminis, which are U.S. stocks futures, rose 0.09%. The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket currencies) rose 0.01% in currency markets to 99.11, after a previous session of 0.15% gains. The euro gained 0.07%, to $1.1636. And the yen remained unchanged at 159.28 per US dollar. Iran's Foreign Ministry?said U.S. attacks in southern Hormozgan Province represented a "gross breach" of a truce. The U.S. claimed that its attacks were defensive. U.S. Secretary Marco Rubio stated that a deal to end the conflict with Tehran could "take only a few days." Iran's Tasnim News Agency reported that Tehran is seeking the release $24 billion of frozen funds overseas. U.S. crude fell 1.24%, to $92.73 per barrel. Brent fell to $98.70, down 0.88% for the day after nearly 4% of a surge the previous session. In a split board decision, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept interest rates at 2.25%. The decision emphasized that rates should be increased sooner. The kiwi gained 0.58% against the greenback, to reach $0.587. Data from Australia showed that core inflation increased in April, but not as much as expected. The Aussie fell 0.1% to $0.716. Kazuo Ueda, the Governor of the Bank of Japan, warned that a temporary energy crisis can persist if it is reflected in wages and pricing behaviour. Isabel Schnabel, a member of the European Central Bank's board, advocated for a rate increase in June despite achieving a U.S. Iran peace deal. Spot gold dropped 0.07%, to $4,502.72 per ounce. Copper rose 0.52%, to $13,695.00 per metric ton. Bitcoin fell by 0.40%, to $75,711.92 and ether dropped by 0.26%, to $2,070.46.
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Former Braves slugger Bob Horner dead at 68
Bob Horner died on Tuesday, aged 68. He was a former first-round pick, who made it straight to the "big leagues" and hit four homeruns in a single game. Kansas native?Horner, was drafted by the Atlanta Braves as the first player overall in the 1878 Amateur Draft. He made his debut on the big leagues a week after that against the Pittsburgh Pirates at age 20. Horner hit a home run that day against?future Hall-of-Famer Bert Blyleven. Horner was the National League's Rookie of the year in 1989, when he hit.266 with 23 homers and?63 RBIs. He beat out future Hall-of-Famer shortstop Ozzie. Horner hit four home runs on July 6, 1986 at Atlanta Fulton-County Stadium, during the Braves 11-8 loss against the Montreal Expos. Horner is one of 21 players who have achieved this feat, and the only Brave other than Joe Adcock. Adcock hit four home runs against the Brooklyn Dodgers in 1954 while playing for the Milwaukee Braves. Horner was plagued with injuries for most of his professional career. He played at third base the majority of his time and still managed to hit 218 homeruns and slug an impressive.499. He was an All-Star for the Braves in 1982, when he had 32 home runs and 97 RBIs. Horner played for nine seasons with the Braves (from 1978-86), and then one with the St. Louis Cardinals in 1988, after playing with the Yakult Swallows from the Japan Central League. He hit?31 homers and batted.327 over 93 games. Horner's death comes just weeks after that of Bobby Cox, Horner’s first manager and Ted Turner, former owner. Field Level Media
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Chinese coking coal prices fall as supply concerns are outweighed by demand concerns
China's coal prices dropped on Wednesday, as concerns about steel demand trumped supply jitters caused by a fatal mine accident that occurred in the northern Shanxi Province. The accident had sparked a rally for two straight sessions. As heavy rains have hit southern regions, steel demand is showing signs of easing. Data from the state-backed Steel Association showed on Tuesday that China's daily crude output is expected to drop by 0.9%?from its first ten-day levels. As of 0315 GMT, the most traded coking coal contract at Dalian Commodity Exchange dropped?1.63% and was now worth $186.81 per metric ton. The DCE coke contract that was most active dropped 1.95%, to 1,861 Yuan per ton. The prices of the two feedstocks for steelmaking soared earlier this week, as fears about supply grew after a series of safety inspections conducted at coal mines across a larger region following a deadly gas explosion that occurred late Friday night at the Liushenyu mine in Shanxi. Analysts at Everbright Futures wrote in a report that'steel margins were squeezed due to higher feedstock costs and sluggish downstream steel demand,' putting pressure on the prices of ingredients. The price of iron ore was mixed. The most active DCE contract fell 0.38% to 781 yuan a ton, while the benchmark June iron ore at the Singapore Exchange rose 0.12% to $105.15 per ton. The steel benchmarks on the Shanghai Futures Exchange were mostly lower. Rebar fell?0.69%. Hot-rolled coil dropped 0.53%. Wire rod decreased 0.8%. Stainless steel increased 1.32%. ($1 = 6.7824 Chinese Yuan) (Reporting and editing by Mrigank Dahniwala; Amy Lv, Lewis Jackson)
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Indian shares are likely to start off muted, with the focus on US-Iran negotiations
Shares of Coal India are expected to be the focus on Wednesday as New Delhi plans to sell a stake in this'state-owned' miner. Iran claimed on Tuesday that the U.S. violated a truce by attacking targets near the disputed Strait of Hormuz. This could complicate efforts to end the three-month war. Israel's air strikes on Lebanon Tuesday, one of the most intense days of bombing for weeks, were more than 120, according to?Lebanese sources of security. Iran wants an end to Israeli attacks on Lebanon as part of any deal. The GIFT Nifty Futures were 23,890.5 at 7:59 am IST. This means that the benchmark?Nifty50 would open around Tuesday's closing point of 23,913.7. The rupee is expected to weaken against the dollar. Brent crude hovered at $99 per barrel while Asian shares surged. Japan's Nikkei hit a new record high due to AI optimism. Provisional data shows that foreign investors sold Indian shares valued at 24.08 billion rupees (251.67 millions dollars) on Tuesday. Foreign investors have sold $24.2 billion worth of shares so far this year. This is more than the record-breaking annual sale in 2025. Coal India is the focus of attention on Wednesday as the government sells up to a 2.5% stake in the company. The offer will be made at 412 rupees per share - a 10% discount from its previous closing price. STOCKS TO WATCH ** Oil and Natural Gas Corp. reports modest growth of revenue and profit in the fourth quarter. Jefferies reports that higher operational costs and dry well write offs contributed to the quarter's softness. * Siemens reports a?lower profit in the March quarter. ** Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corp reported lower quarterly profits amid an increase in catering service expenses.
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Russia's Putin presents four Amur Tigers to Kazakhstan before visit
In an article published a week before his visit to Kazakhstan, Vladimir Putin said that Russia had given the Central Asian country four Amur tigers. Two of these cubs were also handed over to help the country restore the number of the animals. Kazakhstan is rich in minerals and energy, and shares a border and ally with Russia. Putin announced on Tuesday that the four animals caught in Russia's Khabarovsk region, located in the far east, were flown to Kazakhstan and will be released soon into the wild. Putin is not a stranger to using animals as a diplomatic tool. Russia sent 30 grey thoroughbreds to North Korea in 2022. The nations had re-established ties after the invasion of Ukraine that year. North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has a passion for horses. Kazakhstan, which aims to restore the tiger populations in Central Asia, views the Amur tiger as an ancestor of the now extinct Caspian Tiger. The Russian gesture increases the number of animals that were previously sent to Kazakhstan by the Netherlands. The Kremlin said that during Putin's visit, he will supervise the?signing a deal to build a nuclear plant in Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan currently has no nuclear power plants. He will also discuss the efforts?to increase the transit of Russian crude oil through Kazakhstan. (Reporting and editing by Clarence Fernandez in Tokyo)
MORNING BID AMERICAS-Six-week roundtrip
What's important in U.S. markets and the global market today by Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets. After six weeks of war, stocks around the world are back to record levels. New U.S. and Iran?peace negotiations could be in the works as Trump's administration raises hopes of a deal, while a Pakistani mediator arrives at Tehran. Investors feel that they can now switch back to the?market fundamentals. Investors were largely impressed by the first-quarter results of U.S. big banks earlier this week. Now it's time for tech, as Taiwan's chip maker TSMC has released another impressive beat.
Below, I'll go into more detail. Check out my most recent column about why geopolitics is getting more complicated and how that's affecting stock rebound rates. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast where I talk about China's GDP and other topics. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a week. Don't forget April 23, when I will be hosting a webinar with my ROI colleague Jamie McGeever on how to rethink "safe-haven" assets in uncertain times. Register here.
SIX-WEEK RUNDTRIP Global stock prices are rising as investors focus on the impact of the Iran War on the tech sector, and the global economy in general. MSCI's "all-country" index reached a new record on Thursday. The Nikkei also hit a record, closing with a 2.5% gain. South Korea's KOSPI rose by over 2%. The new highs of the major U.S. indices were aided by strong earnings reports from Morgan Stanley and Bank of America on Wednesday. Over 80% have exceeded analysts' expectations. The possibility of negotiations between Israel and Lebanon was another cause for optimism. President Trump said that the leaders from both countries will speak on Thursday. According to a Tehran-briefed source, Iran is also said to be considering allowing ships to sail through the Omani shore of the Strait of Hormuz in the context of a proposal to the U.S. The oil prices are once again following the more positive reports and remain below the crucial $100 per barrel level. Brent crude and WTI crude both rose over 1% to around $96/bbl on Thursday. The dollar, on the other hand, continued to trade near its six-week lows and extended losses against major currencies for an eighth consecutive session. The dollar has now lost most of the gains it made as a safe haven since the Iran War began. China's first-quarter growth was 5.0%, exceeding economists' expectations of 4.8%. This is despite a slowdown of retail sales and industrial output in March. In the United States, President Trump has renewed his attacks against outgoing Fed chair Jerome Powell. He once again threatened to fire him, if he didn't leave his Fed board seat after his term ends next month. Next week, Congressional hearings will begin for Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh.
Chart of the Day China's economy picked-up speed in early 2026. It was riding an export surge, before the Iran War sent energy prices soaring. This put global demand at risk - which is vital for Beijing's ambitions to grow.
China's 5.0% growth rate in the first quarter was higher than expected and is above the 4.5%-5.0% target for the full year. This shows China has a high level of resilience, which sets it apart from other countries in Asia.
Watch today's events
* U.S. weekly jobless claims (8.30 a.m. ET), March industrial output (9.15 a.m. ET)
* U.S. corporate ?earnings: BNY, Charles Schwab, PepsiCo
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(source: Reuters)