Latest News
-
NYT: Musk wants SpaceX IPO banks buying Grok AI subscriptions
The New York Times reported that Elon Musk was requiring banks and advisers who are working on 'SpaceX's IPO to buy subscriptions to Grok, Elon Musk's artificial intelligence chatbot. The report stated that some banks had agreed to spend up to tens or even hundreds of millions of dollars per year on the chatbot, and they have already begun integrating it with their IT systems. This week, it was reported that Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Citigroup are the active bookrunners or 'lead banks' managing a deal. Musk and SpaceX have not responded to requests for comment. JPMorgan Chase declined to comment. Goldman Sachs also declined. Citigroup, Bank of America and Citigroup did not respond. Morgan Stanley did not respond immediately to our queries. Bloomberg News reported a day before that the Starbase rocket maker in Texas had boosted its target valuation for an initial public offering above $2 trillion. This could be the largest stock market listing ever. The company hopes to raise $75 billion, which is a record amount. This would be a far cry from previous mega-IPOs like 'Saudi Aramco 2019 or Alibaba 2014'. (Reporting and editing by Bill Berkrot, Mark Porter, and Savyata Mihsra from Bengaluru)
-
Afghanistan earthquake 5.9 causes eight deaths
The National Disaster Management Authority reported that eight people died and one child was injured when a house in Kabul collapsed following the earthquake in Afghanistan. The German Research Centre for Geosciences, GFZ, reported that an earthquake measuring?5.9 magnitude struck Afghanistan's Hindu Kush on Friday. GFZ said that the quake was at a depth 177 km (110 mi). Witnesses reported feeling strong tremors in the Indian capital New Delhi and Kabul, Afghanistan's capital. Afghanistan is surrounded by rugged mountains and therefore prone to natural disasters. The most deadly are its earthquakes, which kill?about 560 people a year on average. The 6.3-magnitude earthquake that struck the country in November killed at least 27 people and destroyed hundreds of homes. Mohammad Yunus 'Yawar, reporting from Kabul; Akanksha 'Kushi, writing in Bengaluru; Kanjyik 'Ghosh, in Barcelona; Kevin Liffey and Emelia Sithole Matarise editing.
-
Emirates Global Aluminium estimates that full recovery of production from the attack could take up to a year
The UAE-based company Emirates Global Aluminium said that it could take up to a full year to fully restore primary aluminium production in its Al Taweelah Smelter, which was damaged by an Iranian attack late last month. In a press release, Al Taweelah said that the facilities were evacuated to the fullest extent and put into emergency shutdown following the attacks of March 28 on the Khalifa Economic Zone Abu Dhabi. EGA stated that to resume operations, it must repair the infrastructure and restore each reduction?cell. Early indications suggest that it could take up to a year for the primary aluminium industry to fully recover. PARTICULAR OPERATIONS EGA stated that the Al Taweelah refining plant, which produces alumina (the raw ingredient of aluminium), and the Al Taweelah Recycling Plant could restart some production sooner, "depending?on?the final?assessment of the site damages". The conflict in the Middle East has caused the price of aluminum to rise the most in almost two years. Benchmark three-month aluminum on the London Metal Exchange rose?10.4% in the last month, and reached its highest level in almost four years -- $3,546.50 a metric ton -- on March 12. The London Metal Exchange's benchmark three-month aluminium reached its highest level in nearly four years - $3,546.50 per metric ton - on March 12. Al Taweelah Aluminium Smelter of EGA will produce 1.6 million tonnes of cast metal in 2025. Al Taweelah is also home to an alumina refinery, which produced 2.4 millions tons of aluminium last year. Hatem Maher (Reporting) Tomasz Janovski and Barbara Lewis (Editing)
-
Meloni, Italy's Meloni, visits Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE amid Gulf tensions and energy concerns
A government official confirmed that Italian Prime Minister Giorgia meloni traveled to Saudi Arabia on Friday for a previously undisclosed trip. The trip will include meetings in Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and other countries. Officials said that the two-day trip was to show support for Gulf countries facing Iranian attacks, and also to protect Italy's energy supply. This is the first visit by an EU leader to Saudi Arabia since the conflict that was started by the United States and Israel in February. It also comes at a moment when there are growing concerns about the security of the?oil & gas 'flows. Qatari liquefied gas covered about 10% of Italy’s total gas consumption before the war. Middle East oil made up around 12% last year of Italy’s total oil imports. Italy received a notification last week that its Gulf supplier would be halting LNG deliveries due to the near-closure?of the Strait?of Hormuz. They will not ship 10 cargoes?between?April and?mid June. QatarEnergy CEO and State Minister for Energy Affairs, QatarEnergy, told?that Iranian attacks had also crippled 17% of Qatar’s LNG export capability. Last month, QatarEnergy's?CEO and state minister for energy affairs told?ajungiaparatulletzten??letztenbackbackééletzten Two sources with knowledge of the situation said on Thursday that Italy would begin to receive liquefied natural gas (LNG), from the Golden Pass LNG facility in the United States, from June. (Reporting and writing by Giuseppe Fonte, Crispian Balmer and Gavin Jones).
-
FAO: If the Iran war continues, food prices will continue to rise around the world
The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization reported on Friday that world food prices rose in March, reaching their highest level since last September. They could rise even more if the Middle East conflict continues to push up energy costs. In a recent statement, FAO Chief Economicist Maximo Toreros said that the price rises have been modest. They are mainly due to higher oil prices. He said that if a conflict continues for more than 40 days, and input costs are high, farmers can reduce their inputs, plant fewer crops, or switch to less intensive fertiliser crops. He added that "these choices will impact future yields, and shape our food supplies and commodity prices throughout the remainder of this year and the following years." FAO Food Price Index (which measures changes in global traded food commodities) rose 2.4% over its revised February level. The index is now 1% higher than it was a year ago. However, the value of the index has dropped by nearly 20% from its March 2022 high, which occurred after the beginning of the Ukraine war. Fertilizer costs could lead to reduced planting The index of cereal prices increased by 1.5% compared to the previous month. This was mainly due to a 4.3% rise in international wheat due to deteriorating crop prospects in America and lower plantings expected in Australia because of higher fertiliser costs. The global maize price edged upwards as the?ample supply of maize in the world offset concerns about fertiliser prices and indirect support from higher ethanol demand prospects related to higher energy costs. Due to the timing of harvest and weaker import demand, rice prices fell 3.0%. Vegetable oil price increases are now at 5.1% for the third month in a row. The higher quotations for palm, soya, sunflower and rapeseed oils reflected the impact on rising global energy costs and expectations of stronger demand. Palm oil prices have reached their highest levels since mid-2022. Sugar prices?jumped 7.2% to their highest level since October 2025 in March, due to higher crude oil prices. Brazil, the largest sugar exporter in the world, is expected use more sugarcane for ethanol production. The price of meat increased by 1.0% in Brazil and Europe, with pig prices rising in the EU. In a separate document, the FAO raised slightly its estimate of the global cereal production forecast for 2025 to a record 3,036 billion metric tonnes. This would mean a 5.8% increase year-on-year. (Reporting and editing by Tomasz Janowski and Barbara Lewis.)
-
Morocco will stop fewer illegal migrants in 2025 due to route changes
Morocco will prevent?6.4% less attempts by illegal migrants to reach?Europe in 2020 compared to the previous year. The interior ministry announced this on Thursday. It added that people are using different routes, and the problem is not going away. The ministry responded to questions via email that in addition to stopping 73,640 attempts at illegal migration, they also dismantled over 300 migrant smuggling networks. The Sahel region of Africa has been ravaged by conflict for years. High unemployment, and the impact of climate change in farming communities is also a factor that drives migrants to Europe. Morocco has long been a major starting point for African migrants who are trying to reach Europe through the Mediterranean or Atlantic routes or by climbing fences around the Spanish enclaves in northern Morocco, Ceuta or Melilla. The level of cooperation with Spain has increased Since 2022, Morocco and Spain have strengthened their cooperation in the area of undocumented immigration. This follows the resolution of a previous diplomatic dispute. A senior official from the directorate of migration and border controls said that following tightened controls migrants have 'begun to use other departure points in West Africa, and parts of the southern Mediterranean. The marked drop in interceptions indicates a gradual decrease in irregular migration flows, reflecting a steady 'drying out' of the migration routes transiting through Morocco," he stated. The ministry reported that Morocco saved 13,595 migrants from drowning at sea by 2025. Meanwhile, 4,372 irregular migrants participated in voluntary return programs to their countries of origin. The official stated that voluntary returns are a reflection of Morocco's "human centered approach" to migration management, which "strikes an balance between firmness & responsibility". (Reporting and editing by Barbara Lewis; Ahmed El Jechtimi)
-
The PM's Office says that the UK will deploy Rapid Sentry air defense system to Kuwait.
The office of Prime Minister Keir Sterne announced on Friday that Britain is sending its Rapid Sentry air defence system to Kuwait in order to protect British and Kuwaiti interest in the Gulf. This follows an Iranian drone attack on a Kuwaiti petroleum facility overnight. Starmer and Kuwait's Crown prince Sabah al Khalid?al Sabah discussed the deployment in a phone call on Friday morning. A spokesperson for Downing Street confirmed this. The spokesperson stated that "the Prime Minister started by condemning the reckless drone attack overnight on a Kuwaiti oil refinery." "He reaffirmed that the UK stands by Kuwait and our Gulf allies." The spokesperson stated that the leaders discussed the deployment to Kuwait of the UK air defence system, designed to shoot down low-flying drones, and other aerial threats. This would protect Kuwaiti?personnel? and?interests? in the region while avoiding an escalation to a larger conflict. Starmer and 'the crown prince' also discussed a 'disruption of global shipping through Strait of Hormuz. They welcomed a meeting on Thursday, chaired by British Yvette Cooper to develop a plan for reopening the crucial shipping route. (Reporting and editing by Tomasz janowski)
-
North American farmers are cutting back on their farm machinery to save money as the season of unprofitable growing approaches
Salespeople for farm machinery are closing out a disappointing season of farming shows in North America, as farmers prepare to plant their spring crops without much new equipment. Farmers are still buying but have cut back on big-ticket purchases due to the high cost of fuel, machinery and fertilizer. They also avoid purchasing expensive items because global grain gluts have driven down crop prices. The manufacturer Degelman Industries' Chad Jones said, "They may not buy a million-dollar combine but they will buy a $100,000 tool." He was standing in front of his yellow-painted rockpickers and rippers, as well as other equipment from the company, at Canada's Farm Show, held in March. According to the Association of Equipment Manufacturers (AEM), a group that represents the major players in North American agriculture, farmers are still spending, but at a much lower level than they did in previous years. The group said that in March, sales of large-ticket items such as tractors and combine were down between 30 %?and 40 % in the U.S. compared to last year. Farm machinery sales are being hammered due to the squeeze on farmer's finances, exacerbated by President Donald Trump's tariffs in his trade war that has increased the cost of production for already expensive machines such as tractors and combine harvesters. The items are made from a large amount of steel, and sometimes with imported components. Trump's administration plans to impose a 25% tariff, rather than a 50% one, on finished goods imported from abroad that contain aluminum and steel. This will increase the price of these products. Goods that are primarily made of steel and aluminum such as tractors and combine will still be subject to the 50% tariff in place since almost a full year. John Deere's official stated that in its latest quarterly earnings call the company estimated tariffs would cost $1.2 billion by 2026. He also said that 2025 tariff costs were not passed onto farmers. Trump called for price cuts from manufacturers last Friday to help farmers. Trump's tariffs may be the cause of the industry's woes, but they are not the only problem. Kip Eideberg of Association of Equipment Manufacturers said that the easiest way to reduce the price of machinery would be to "significantly scale back the tariffs which are hitting the manufacturer, and the retaliatory?tariffs which are hitting farmers." The trade wars between the U.S. and China have affected U.S. crop sales. The soybean export market has been depressed for several months, resulting in huge stocks and a drop in crop prices. Leigh Anderson, economist at Farm Credit Canada, said that the farmers were concerned about their profitability for the next growing season. This has led to a delay in replacing equipment. He said that farmers have delayed purchases and hung on to older equipment longer. The farm show in Regina showed that farmers were not interested, as they did not test drive tractors or other large machinery. The show attracted over 5,000 attendees, but many of the displays were quiet. Eideberg, from AEM, said that it is fair to say that the purchasing behavior has changed. AEM hopes to cut tariffs because it is difficult to lower the cost of machinery and fertilizer production once they are high. Eideberg said, "That is the immediate relief which will make a difference for both farmers and manufacturers." (Reporting and editing by Emily Schmall, Aurora Ellis and Ed White)
The season of macro forecasts is upon us.
What Mike Dolan, the ROI team and I are looking forward to reading, watching and listening to this weekend.
From the Editor
Hello Morning Bid readers! As we enter the final month of 2018, it's time to look at the 2026 market forecasts. It's hard to find U.S. equity bulls but forecasts come with a lot of qualifiers. This is understandable, given the uncertainty surrounding an artificial intelligence boom. AI adoption may really take off in 2019, but according to ROI's editor-at-large Mike Dolan, U.S. growth will likely be constrained by the 150-year trendline of 2%, especially if technology innovation is hampered by supply chain bottlenecks or labor market bottlenecks. The U.S. labour market is as clear as mud. The U.S. private payrolls in November were negative 32,000, which is well below the consensus and represents the largest drop in over two and a quarter years. The number of Americans submitting new claims for unemployment benefits dropped to its lowest level in more than three year. A slice of the consumer delinquency data suggests that the U.S. economy might not be as grim as it seems despite the K-shaped economic model. Moreover, the fears that foreign investors will lose interest in U.S. stock markets may be unfounded. In recent months, the inflow of overseas private sector funds into U.S. stock markets has reaccelerated to record levels. Now the big question is if this trend can continue into next year. In Asia, Japan's 10-year bond yield reached its highest level since 2007, rising over 25 basis points in just four weeks. This was happening as Prime Minister Takaichi sought to calm investor fears about her $137-billion spending plan. The weakened yen is still hovering around 155 per dollar, close to the upper end of its long-term range. Stephen Jen, CEO of Eurizon SLJ, believes that the currency's apparent excessive weakness could be a ticking bomb. In the energy markets, OPEC+ announced that they would maintain production levels through the first three months. The market is complicated by the uncertainty around sanctioned volume. OPEC+'s changes to the oil production quotas could lead to a surge of investments in upstream. In the meantime, Europe prepares to eliminate Russian imports from its gas market by 2027. Gavin Maguire, ROI's energy transition columnist, explains the countries that will be affected. Copper continues to be a hot commodity, but it does not necessarily mean that global manufacturing will increase in line with this trend by 2026. Next week's main event will be the Federal Reserve meeting. Fed-watchers are paying close attention to how many dissents there are, because this could indicate the growing divisions within an organization that has been known for its consensus. But the real story of the Fed is Donald Trump's choice for next chair. Mike Dolan says that if White House advisor Kevin Hassett, as Trump hinted at, is chosen - the markets will be watching his every word.
Check out what the ROI team recommends you read, watch, and listen to as we enter the weekend. Stay informed and prepared for the coming week. Please contact me via
CLYDE RUSSELL: You do not need to be a chess expert to understand the story of Sarwagya Kushwaha. She is the youngest chess player in history to have earned an official FIDE ranking before the age four.
RON BOUSSO is the ROI Energy columnist. A picture speaks a thousand. This is why I suggest you look at the stunning collection of 'top photographs of 2025', which was selected from the over 1.6 million images released to clients in this year. What a year...
GAVIN MAGUIRE is the ROI Global Energy Transformation Columnist. This high-def, updated map of U.S. Data Center Infrastructure created by the Chief Cartographer at the newly renamed National Renewable Energy Laboratory(NREL)is a work of art. It really highlights the enormous scale of the activity taking place across the country as transmission lines and server farms get up at running to power the AI revolution: https://docs.nrel.gov/docs/gen/fy26/98020.jpg
JAMIE McGEEVER, ROI Markets columnist: AI is experiencing a speculative boom in the U.S. and around the world. Simon Johnson and Piero Novelli, professors of economics, examine Charles Kindleberger’s “Manias, Panics and Crashes” to get a feel for where this might go. The 1978 book raises three important questions that are still relevant today.
MIKE DOLAN is the Editor-at-Large for ROI. It's rare to find a podcast about 'r*! This Brookings podcast, which will be released next week in conjunction with the Fed's meeting, shows how recent shocks may have caused this theoretical 'neutral rate' of interest to creep higher after years on decline.
JAMIE MCGEEVER is a columnist for ROI Markets. Michael Burry, the author of 'The Big Short,' doesn't do much media other than his often cryptic postings on X – and interviews are rarer still. Fast forward through 6-7 minutes worth of ads and introduction, and you'll find an interview with Michael Lewis on the Against the Rules podcast.
ANNA SZYMANSKI is the editor-in-charge of ROI. We have just launched a Morning Bid podcast that will be available both in audio and video. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear ROI editor-at large Mike Dolan, along with other journalists, discuss the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks.
Sign up for the newsletter to receive Morning Bid every morning in your email. Subscribe to the Morning Bid newsletter
Website
You can find us on LinkedIn.
The opinions expressed are the authors'. These opinions do not represent the views of News. News is bound by the Trust Principles to maintain integrity, independence and freedom from bias. (By Anna Szymanski)
(source: Reuters)