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Interior Secretary Burgum: US wants to issue deep sea mining permits in a few months
The Trump administration announced on Monday that it was close to approving permits to'mine' the deep sea as part of an broader effort to increase U.S. access to the vital minerals needed across the U.S. economy. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum told a G20 gathering in Houston of energy ministers that the permits could be issued within months, as the administration pursues its strategy of "energy add" to expand the supply chains of the country and its allies. Donald Trump, since returning to office in 2017, has taken steps to bolster the deep-sea mine industry. However, he still hasn't issued operational permits to allow it to move forward. Many environmentalists are concerned that seabed mining could lead to irreversible biodiversity losses. The Pacific Ocean, and other parts of the world are believed to have large quantities of polymetallic nodules (potato-shaped rocks) that can be used as building blocks for electronic vehicles, weapons and electronics. Burgum stated that "those nodules we have to vacuum up from the sea floor (are filled with?critical minerals we need." Burgum said that part of the solution is to ensure that we have a diverse, reliable, and affordable supply of essential minerals. In the last 18 months, U.S. exports of critical minerals, especially those processed in China by Chinese companies, have been limited as Beijing limits its exports. This has increased pressure on Washington, which is now urging it to support efforts to increase domestic mining. Burgum responded to Burgum's question about when the federal government could issue permits for deep-sea diving: "Those discussions are taking place right now." He added that "you'll hear more in the coming weeks and months because there's exciting developments on that front." Burgum's Interior Department supervises the Marine Minerals Administration which must approve all?permits for mining?U.S. Territorial waters. The MMA review would begin with a lease to allow private companies to have exclusive access to a part of the seabed. Then, a review process would be conducted to determine if an operational permit was needed. This would include a variety of scientific data. Separately Trump wants the Commerce Department to issue international permits. This could lead to a conflict with the United Nations' International Seabed Authority, which has tried to set standards for more than 25 year. The Metals Company, a privately-held company, and Impossible Metals are among the companies that have requested permits for seabed mining. Other companies have also applied for exploration permits.
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Texas penalizes data centers for violating water laws
On Monday, the 'governor' of Texas, a state that is one of the fastest-growing areas for artificial intelligence infrastructure, instructed'state regulators to penalize any data centers who fail to provide details regarding their water usage. Texas, which has halted new data center connections to the state's?electrical grid, pending an assessment of the facilities' water and power use, amongst other issues, re-examines its regulations for server warehouses. Governor Greg Abbott has directed the Texas Water Development Board to "impose legal consequences" to data centers and large water-using entities that fail to report their water usage. Abbott's office issued a statement saying that "major water users including data centers appear to have violated civil and criminal laws by failing to provide TWDB the required information about water usage." The 'Texas water regulator tries to survey data centres about their 'water use and consumption expectations. The data center will be denied new or renewed environmental permits if it fails to submit the survey by the deadline.
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Interior Secretary: US oil export ban unlikely lower energy prices
U.S. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum stated on Monday that a ban on U.S. fuel or oil exports was unlikely to help lower energy prices for consumers in the midst of the Iran War. Burgum, speaking to reporters at the G20 meeting on energy in Houston, said: "We'd consider an export prohibition if it actually could lower prices. But that's not true." Burgum, a Trump appointee, stated that a ban on the export of oil, gasoline, or diesel could result in retaliatory measures from other countries. This could harm consumers in California, whose energy imports are largely dependent on. Burgum stated, "We stopped exporting products, and then someone said, "We're not going to export to California." Burgum stated that California has already shut down several oil refineries which has contributed to the rise in fuel prices. Burgum stated that California already has the highest gas and diesel prices in the nation due to their policies. We don't want to make it worse. The Trump administration has run out of options to reduce prices for diesel and oil, which recently reached a record-high above $6 per gallon, and are even higher in California. The White House is considering how it can use the Cold War Defense Production Act in order to increase U.S. refinery capacity.
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US EPA will undo carbon emissions limits for power plants during G20 meeting
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency announced Monday rules to repeal former President?Joe Biden?s limits on carbon emission from coal-and-gas-fired power stations and to prevent future climate regulations of these facilities. The move is part President Donald Trump’s effort to undo U.S. Climate Policy, which his administration claims has hampered energy production. The announcement was made at the sidelines of the G20 Energy Ministers' meeting in Houston this week, where global officials will discuss "regulatory efficiencies," expanding baseload power, and energy security. EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin stated that 'new measures to prevent future regulation on greenhouse gas emissions in the power sector would enable the U.S. build new generating infrastructure to meet the skyrocketing demand for electricity. He said that the Americans have demanded more common sense from federal agencies under President Trump’s leadership at a press conference held in Houston. "That means reducing red tape so that we can build a new power-generating system." Environmental groups slammed this new proposal. They said that it would be more expensive in terms of damage to the public and the environment. Nearly a quarter (25%) of U.S. emissions are attributed to the electricity sector. In June 2017, the Trump administration proposed to repeal regulations written by Biden that would have reduced emissions of mercury, carbon dioxide and other air pollutants at power plants. Biden's carbon emissions rules for power plants would reduce greenhouse gas emissions by one billion metric tonnes by 2047 as part of his administration’s fight against climate changes. This rule would have required that coal-fired power stations and new natural gas-fired generators install equipment to capture emissions in the next decade before they reach the atmosphere. This requirement made zero-emissions options like solar and wind attractive. Denying the existence of climate pollution that accounts for a quarter in the United States is reckless. Maggie Coulter said on Monday that it would 'lead to greater suffering and loss of life from extreme heatwaves, severe storms and destructive 'wildfires', similar to those we have seen this summer. According to a report by a reporter, Under Secretary of Energy Kyle Haustveit said that the new regulations would boost 'coal-fired electric power in the U.S. which has been steadily declining due to the availability and cheaper natural gas. He said, "President Trump has ended the war against beautiful, clean coal." "Coal has many advantages: it is affordable, reliable and secure."
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VTB sanctions imposed by the U.S.
Treasury Department: The United States imposed Iran-related Sanctions on Monday against?Russia's VTB Bank Public Joint Stock Company accusing it of involvement in Iranian sanctions evasion. Washington is seeking to increase economic pressure on Tehran. This action is a continuation of the sanctions that were imposed in 2022 against VTB, Russia’s second largest?lender. The bank was targeted following Moscow's full-scale invasion into Ukraine. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that "Under Operation Economic Outcast Treasury will continue to target those who provide material or financial support to the Iranian regime to enable it to maintain its terrorist enterprise." Treasury will not tolerate any regime support and will continue to expose and isolate Iran’s "enablers." Bessent warned that the Trump administration will sanction a "large bank" as it continues to exert economic pressure on Tehran in order to end a six-month conflict between the U.S. and Iran. Since the conflict began in February, the 'United States' has taken a number of economic measures to target Iran, including oil exports, shipping networks, channels for weapons procurement, financial intermediaries and digital asset exchanges.
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European shares fall on AI concerns and inflation fears
European shares dropped on Monday, as technology stocks were under pressure following leaders of top AI companies who pushed for a slower pace of development. Meanwhile, a surge in global bond yields and oil prices dampened risk appetite. The pan-European STOXX 600 index was down by 0.5%, at 635.99. The majority of regional markets fell, but London and Zurich's indices rose by 0.4% and 0.8% respectively. As AI-linked stocks fell globally, technology shares were among the worst performers, falling 2.1%. Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, called for companies to halt the advancements in AI models due to misuse concerns. This view was backed by xAI’s Elon Musk as well as OpenAI CEO Sam Altman. The STOXX 600 was led by the French chipmaker Soitec, which fell 12.5%. However, software stocks gained. Octave Intelligence, Capgemini, Sage and Relx all rose between 5% and 75%. Chris Beauchamp is the chief analyst at IG. He said, "These stocks were victims of SAASpocalypse on fear AI would wipe their businesses out." "Those fears were exaggerated, but if the AI giants put their foot down, the outlook for revenue for Sage, RELX, and their SAAS brothers globally becomes much brighter. Even if this only delays a long-term loss of biz." European miners declined 2.5% as a result of the weakness in commodity prices. Healthcare stocks rose 2.7%, bucking the trend. GSK grew by 4.7% following the positive results of two lung cancer drugs. This added to the momentum in this sector. Energy stocks fell 0.8% but crude prices rose 2% as supply concerns increased after new strikes on Saudi energy infrastructure, and attacks against ships in the Middle East. Recent oil prices have heightened inflation concerns, which has led to expectations that central banks around the world could raise interest rates this year. The European economies are especially vulnerable to rising oil prices, as they heavily rely on imports. ECB policymakers warned 'on Monday' that euro zone inflation may exceed high forecasts. Traders now price in an additional 25 basis-point ECB rate increase by the end of the year after last?week?s rate hike. Government bond yields soared as a result of the developments. The 10-year bund - considered to be the benchmark for the region - was at its highest level since mid 2009. The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields also rose to a psychologically important level of 5%. The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise its main lending rate by at least 25 basis point this week --?in stark contrast to the split chances between a hike or a pause that were seen only a week earlier. After a close election, which reduced the influence of the far right, Sweden's opposition centre-left appeared most likely to win power on Monday.
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German Finance Minister demands UniCredit CEO to meet certain conditions regarding possible Commerzbank acquisition
On Monday, German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil outlined a list of demands to UniCredit CEO Andrea Orcel regarding the possible acquisition of Commerzbank by the Italian bank. The German Ministry of Finance said that these included Commerzbank staying listed on the stock market, maintaining its base in Frankfurt, and continuing to fund German medium-sized businesses?at home as well as abroad. After Berlin failed to stop a takeover, the meeting in Berlin marked an important turning point in the two-year struggle for control of Germany's largest bank. Klingbeil said, "In a productive discussion with Mr. Orcel I made it clear to him that future negotiations should be conducted responsibly." Orcel stated in a press release that the meeting was "a good and constructive first discussion that will be quickly followed by others." He said, "Both sides should now reflect on this initial discussion to find a way forward that is in the best interests of all stakeholders and shareholders."
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The UK government is looking to buy out an insolvent steel specialist
The British government announced on Monday that it was drafting a plan to buy Speciality Steel UK, a manufacturer who formerly supplied the automotive, aero, and defence industries and entered liquidation at the end of August 2025. Speciality Steel was a part of Liberty Steel before it went into liquidation. Liberty Steel is owned by the commodities tycoon Sanjeev Gupta. The government announced that it was moving toward public ownership, after it decided it couldn't support a private sector bid. This company?has locations in Northern and Central England and supports more than 1,300 jobs. "We don't interfere in private companies lightly." "We cannot simply sit back and let the future of this company and its 1,300 employees be decided by default," said Jonathan Reynolds, business minister. Working towards public acquisition 'will keep options open while we work with workers, local leaders, industry, and investors to determine the best?long-term?"future? for these sites." The government stated that any purchase would be subject to a due diligence process and would be funded by existing government budgets. The government did not specify how much an acquisition might cost.
Dollars slide on trade and tax concerns
As June began, the U.S. Dollar plunged to its lowest level since six weeks. Concerns about U.S. Tariffs were back in the spotlight after the legal confusion of last week and rising military tensions around the world.
The euro was the leader, unfazed by the prospect that the European Central Bank would cut interest rates again on Thursday. The new German chancellor Friedrich Merz will visit Washington on Thursday to meet U.S. president Donald Trump as trade negotiations between Europe and America continue to be closely watched.
The dollar is susceptible to fears of foreign capital flight as markets are still concerned about the U.S. Fiscal Bill that is currently being debated in the Senate. This bill gives the administration the ability to tax companies and investors who come from countries with 'unfair' foreign taxes.
On Monday, the focus was back on tariffs. It seemed that President Donald Trump would push for levies in some way despite last week's legal opposition.
After the weekend, Trump's plan of doubling duties on import steel and aluminum from Wednesday to 50% hit the greenback as Beijing retaliated against allegations that it had violated an agreement regarding critical minerals shipments.
The weekend was marked by geopolitical tensions of great importance and bellicose threats. Gold rose.
Pete Hegseth, the U.S. Secretary of Defense, warned his Indo-Pacific allies on Saturday to increase their spending on defence. Ukraine-Russian war continues to rage. Ukrainian drones continue to strike dozens of Russian aircraft deep within Russian territory. Gaza's conflict is not ending.
The major countries are building weapons at a rapid pace. Britain is expanding its fleet of nuclear-powered attack subs as part a review of defence, aimed at preparing the country for modern warfare and countering the Russian threat.
The oil price rose by about 3% Monday, after the producer group OPEC+ maintained its output increase in July at the level of the previous two month.
There was some good news on the interest rates front in a week that saw a lot of data from the U.S. Labor Market.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated on Monday that further rate cuts are possible in the second part of the year. Waller said that since the rise in inflation pressures linked to Trump's increased import taxes is unlikely to persist, he supports looking past any tariff effects to near-term-inflation in setting policy rates.
As expected, China's manufacturing sector shrank in May for the second consecutive month.
After Karol Nawrocki, the nationalist candidate of the opposition won the second round in the presidential elections, stocks in Poland fell by 1.4%.
Before Monday's bell rang, U.S. stocks futures were down by about half a percentage, and so too were stocks in Europe, Japan, and other parts of the world. The yields on U.S. Treasury bonds have risen again.
The column today looks at this week's major monetary decision made in Europe. It is widely expected that the European Central Bank will lower rates for an eighth time during the cycle, but the euro has risen regardless.
EURO CONUNDRUM: ECB FACES SURGING EURO DISCONNORDRUM
The euro continues to rise while the European Central Bank is cutting rates. This is because a capital reversal in the US has thrown off the relative rate shifts, and could force the ECB to further ease.
It is expected that the ECB will lower its main lending rate to 2% on Thursday, which would be half of what it was a year ago at its highest point and less than half of the Federal Reserve's equivalent. The central bank has also returned to a level it considers to be 'neutral,' meaning that the rate does not either stimulate or rein in the economy.
For the first time since almost two years, real, or inflation adjusted, ECB interest rates will return to zero.
It's amazing that the euro, after eight consecutive ECB rate cuts and the prospect of zero real rates or even negative ones in the future, has risen more than 10% against a dollar basket and 5% against a currency basket based on the major trading partners of the Euro Zone.
The nominal effective euro index has reached record levels, while the "real" version is at its highest level in over 10 years.
The euro/dollar rate has risen despite no change in the difference between the yields of two-year government bonds on either side. This is usually a reliable indicator for changes in the exchange rate. This trend is largely due to Donald Trump's trade wars, the fear of capital flight out of dollar assets because of a variety of concerns regarding U.S. institutions and policies, and Germany's historical fiscal boost.
The ECB is in a quandary if, as many believe, even a fraction (or fractions) of the trillions dollars of European capital invested in the United States are indeed returning home. How can it manage both the deflationary and domestic demand effects of a currency increase that is so rapid? The euro is not affected by the possibility of future rate cuts. The majority of ECB observers expect one or even two more rate cuts after Thursday, while money markets are predicting a 'terminal' rate of around 1.75%. This is the low end in the ECB range estimated as 'neutral. If the majority of capital repatriation is from equity investments in the U.S., lower ECB interest rates could even increase the outflows by boosting growth prospects for cheaper European stocks. Higher borrowing in Germany and across Europe should also sustain fixed income returns over the long term, increasing the pool of "safe" investments.
'GLOBAL EUROMOMENT'
The ECB may protest about 'excessive gains' in the euro, but the impact could be limited unless they are prepared to back up their words with actions. There is also a chance that it could backfire because of the reasons mentioned above.
The ECB is encouraging investment and the euro as a currency of reserve, in part, to meet the massive capital requirements for retooling the military, digital, and energy sectors.
Christine Lagarde, ECB head, said in a speech last week in Berlin that there is an opportunity for a global euro moment, where the single currency can be a viable alternative to dollars, bringing immense benefits to the region if the governments are able strengthen the financial and security infrastructure of the bloc.
A soaring currency rate during a trade conflict may seem like a good thing, but it will cause some concern among the major exporting countries in the region.
ECB hawks, doves, and others will have to decide whether the continued easing of monetary policy to counter disinflationary risks is only stoking domestic inflation in the long run. Not to mention the fiscal boost that's coming next year.
It is clear that the ECB will take into account in its new economic projections, due to be released on Thursday, the 7% increase in the euro/dollar rate and the near 10% decline in the global oil price since the last set of forecasts made in early March.
Morgan Stanley economists believe that even if central bank raises core inflation forecasts, headline inflation could still fall short of the 2% target between mid-2025 and early 2027. This is even though the GDP growth outlook for 2025 has been revised upwards.
At this point, it is impossible to make any predictions. Few central banks or major traders have any idea where the U.S. trade war or tariffs will lead.
The ECB is unlikely to be able to cap the Euro, as global trade and investments are a source of anxiety. The ECB is faced with a big dilemma: whether to maintain the status quo or ease up even further.
The chart of the day shows how tariff-related import distortions have distorted U.S. Gross Domestic Product readings this year. Last week, models that track GDP inputs were again jarred when a sharp contraction of the goods trade deficit in April occurred as the front-running imports to beat the tariffs in the 1st quarter faded. According to the Census Bureau of the Commerce Department, with many tariffs in effect, imports plummeted, helping to reduce the goods trade surplus by 46%, to $88 billion. Imports dropped $68 billion, to $276 billion. Exports rose $6.3 to $188.5. If the goods deficit shrinks, the net trade component in GDP calculations could spur significant growth in this quarter. It is similar to how it reduced Q1 GDP by a record-breaking 4.9 percentage points. The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s ‘GDPNow’ tracker is now boosted by the trade figures. It sees an impressive 3.8% real GDP increase in Q2. There is still caution. There is caution. Businesses don't appear to be restocking. Wholesale inventories were unchanged last month, and retail stocks fell by 0.1%. Stockpiles are expected to drop dramatically over the rest of the quarter.
Watch today's events
* US manufacturing surveys for May from S&P Global and ISM (0930EDT), as well as April construction spending (1000EDT).
* Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell opens Fed event in Washington. Fed Board Governor Christopher Waller and Dallas Fed President Lorie Log speak. Chicago Fed President Austan Gollisbee also speaks. Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann also speaks.
* US corporate earnings: Campbell's
The opinions expressed are solely those of the authors. These opinions do not represent the views of News. News is committed to the Trust Principles and therefore, integrity, independence and freedom from bias.
(source: Reuters)