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Euro buoyed after Ukraine ceasefire proposal; tariffs squeeze stock

Euro buoyed after Ukraine ceasefire proposal; tariffs squeeze stock

The euro rose to near 5-month highs Wednesday, as Ukraine was ready to accept a ceasefire lasting a full month. Meanwhile, stocks were thrown into turmoil by the back and forth of U.S. tariffs plans after levies against steel and aluminum imports began.

European equity futures jumped by 1.1%, and FTSE Futures rose by 0.5% after news that the U.S. will restore military assistance and intelligence sharing with Ukraine following Kyiv's acceptance of a U.S. proposed ceasefire.

In an interview published Wednesday, Sergei Lavrov, Russian Foreign Minister, said that Moscow would avoid compromises which could jeopardize the lives of people, Russian agencies reported.

In Asia, the euro was unchanged at $1.0913 and hit its highest level since October at $1.0947 on Tuesday. The Russian rouble reached a seven-month peak on Tuesday.

The U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum of 25% went into effect on Wednesday. They had a relatively muted impact on share prices in Asian steel mills, and they drew countertariffs from Europe.

MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan was flat, but fragile. Australia's benchmark closed down 9.6% from February's record high.

Hong Kong, China and Taiwan markets were largely steady. South Korea and Taiwan rebounded. Japan's Nikkei remained stable after falling to a six-month low the day before.

Wall Street's S&P 500 flirted with a 10% drop from the record-breaking closing high of February, but ended a volatile session around 0.8% lower.

After Ontario halted plans to impose a surcharge for exported electricity, President Donald Trump threatened and then backtracked from a 50% increase in steel and aluminum tariffs against Canada.

Dollar has fallen, Treasuries are up and stocks have been selling at their highest level in months. Traders worry that tariffs and policy uncertainties will harm U.S. economic growth.

Bruce Kasman, J.P. Morgan's chief global economist, told reporters in Singapore that the U.S. economic outlook was heightened. Although we haven't yet changed our model forecast, the risk of a recession is now about 40%.

"If the U.S. enters a recession, we will have a more complex story because you'll need to understand that the financial spillovers from the U.S. to the rest the world are often very large."

Investors worried about the economy punished retailers with disappointing financial results. Dick's Sporting Goods shares plunged 5.7% after a gloomy outlook, and Kohl's Corp's shares fell 24% following a decline in sales.

Travel stocks were also hit after Delta Air Lines slashed its profit forecast by half, and rivals United Airlines and American Airlines warned about deteriorating results and falling government bookings.

The U.S. Inflation data for February will be released later in the day, but it's likely too early to see any impact of tariffs.

The central bank meeting of Canada will be closely monitored to find out what the monetary policymakers at the forefront of Trump's Trade War are thinking. The market has priced in a seventh consecutive rate reduction, which was only a slight possibility two weeks ago.

Overnight, the Canadian dollar fell to a low of C$1.445 before recovering. U.S. stock futures moved up 0.2%.

The yen slipped from its five-month high, trading at around 148 dollars. The Australian dollar, which is sensitive to risk, was held at just under 63 U.S. Cents. Brent crude futures traded just below $70 per barrel. (Editing by Shri Navaratnam).

(source: Reuters)