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Miner Fresnillo acquires Canada's Probe Gold at a cost of $556 million
The companies announced on Friday that Mexican precious metals mining firm Fresnillo had agreed to purchase Canada's Probe Gold, for C$780,000,000 ($556,000,000) in cash. This marks the expansion of the London-listed company into North American markets. The deal follows a dramatic rise in gold prices in this year as investors seek safe haven assets like bullion due to geopolitical tensions. The deal will see Fresnillo pay C$3.65 for each share, a 39% premium over Probe Gold's closing price. It also gives Fresnillo access to Probe Gold’s 10 million ounces gold reserves, including its Novador project, located in Quebec. David Palmer, CEO of Probe Gold, said that after nine years of steady advancement, it was time to transfer the Novador Project to a more experienced operator. Fresnillo has the experience to move the Novador Project through the permitting and construction process. Fresnillo said that it would continue to develop Novador once the deal was completed. The company operates eight mines and has exploration projects both in Peru and Chile. The Novador Project, located in Quebec's Val d'Or Mining Camp, is Probe Gold's largest project. It can produce over 200,000 ounces of gold annually for more that a decade. Octavio Alvidrez, CEO of Fresnillo, said that Mexico would be a central part of its strategy and Probe Gold assets would "meaningfully" complement its project pipeline. Eldorado Gold and its largest shareholder, Probe Gold, which collectively holds 12% of the shares, signed agreements with Fresnillo committing to vote for the deal.
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Acerinox's profits for the third quarter of 2018 are below expectations due to low demand
Acerinox, the Spanish steelmaker, reported earnings slightly lower than expected for its third quarter on Friday. The company cited a low demand in Europe and America for stainless steel. LSEG data shows that the adjusted earnings before taxes, depreciation, and amortization came to 108 million euro ($125.95) - less than analysts' estimated average of 112 millions euros. Steelmaker says that sales in the U.S. are "undoubtedly" going to fall in the fourth-quarter due to seasonality at the end of the year, and therefore core-profits in the quarter will be lower than the third-quarter. The company pointed out that the uncertainty surrounding trade has negative effects on its business, despite the fact that the tariffs of 50% on imports of steel from the U.S. are helping it. Acerinox released a statement saying that "the prevailing mood has been one of caution and reserve, with major distributors only replenishing what they had sold in anticipation of greater clarity about the future economic outlook." Acerinox's performance has been affected by a combination of increased uncertainty, disruptions in the supply chain and companies delaying purchases and investments. Prices in Europe have fallen due to global overcapacity, which European steelmakers blame on cheap imports and imports from Asia.
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Gold falls as the dollar strengthens on Fed rate caution
Gold prices fell on Friday as the dollar strengthened on the uncertainty about further Federal Reserve rate reductions, but the bullion is still on track for its third consecutive month gain. As of 0700 GMT, spot gold was down 0.3%, at $4,011.60 an ounce. Bullion is up 4% this month. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 0.1%, to $4.021.20 an ounce. Tim Waterer, Chief Market Analyst at KCM Trade, said that the Fed Chairman's hawkish stance this week did not do gold any favors. The prospect of a December rate cut is now much less certain than previously believed, which has helped boost the dollar and made things more difficult for gold in terms of yield. Dollar index nears its highest level for three months against rival currencies, making gold more expensive to other currency holders. The Fed cut rates on Wednesday by 25 basis points, for the second consecutive time in this year. This brings the overnight benchmark rate down to a range of 3.75% - 4.00%. After Jerome Powell’s comments, traders reduced their bets on another rate reduction at the next policy meeting scheduled for December. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, markets now price in a probability of 74.8% for a 25-bp reduction compared with 91.1% a week earlier. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, announced on Thursday that he has agreed to reduce tariffs against China in exchange for Beijing crackingdown on illicit fentanyl, resumed U.S. soya bean purchases, and kept rare earths exports flowing. Gold was discounted in India this week for the first seven-week period, and a drop in prices boosted activity in other Asian hubs. Silver spot was up 0.4% to $49.1, platinum 0.6% to 1,621.60, and palladium 1.2% to $1462.43. (Reporting by Brijesh Patel in Bengaluru; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu, Mrigank Dhaniwala, Harikrishnan nair)
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Swiss National Bank profits shine with gold price surge
The Swiss National Bank announced a profit of 27,93 billion Swiss Francs ($35.22billion) for the third quarter, the central bank reported on Friday. This was boosted by the rising value of the gold reserves. Between June and September the central bank reported a gain in gold valuation of 14.33 billion Swiss francs, compared to the gain of 4.41 billion francs last year. According to UBS calculations, the SNB's average quarterly profit from gold over the past 10 years was less than two billion francs. GOLD GAINS FROM SAFEHAVEN DEMAND Gold prices have increased by 53% in the past year, as investors sought to hedge against political and geopolitical uncertainty. Gold has become more appealing due to the weakening of the U.S. Dollar. Rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve also reduced the yield on other assets that are less risky, such as U.S. Treasuries. The SNB reported that it had also made a profit of 13,63 billion francs during the third quarter from the foreign currency positions it held, as well as the bonds and shares it purchased with the foreign currencies it bought. The central bank increased its profit for the third quarter to 27,93 billion francs from 5,67 million francs a year ago. Florian Germanier, economist at UBS, said: "It is very unusual that the SNB makes so much profit on gold but it reflects the huge price increases gold has seen this year." The profit is simply a side effect from holding an asset that is considered to be the ultimate safe-haven, and which the SNB must hold in order to diversify their holdings and carry out monetary policies.
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China's steel production will fall below 1 billion tonnes in 2025, but the industry imbalance persists
China's steel production will drop below 1 billion tons by 2025. This is on track to meet government pledges to reduce production. However, a mismatch between supply and demand still exists. The world's biggest producer of crude steel has seen its output fall since 2020. However, it was still over 1 billion tons by 2024. Beijing promised in March that it would continue to cut steel production this year, to restructure a sector plagued by excessive capacity. A prolonged downturn on the steel-intensive real estate market has led to a shortage of steel. The steel consumption in 2025 fell by 5.7%, while the crude steel production declined by 2.9%. At a briefing for reporters, Jiang Wei (Vice Chairman of China Iron and Steel Association) said that consumption this year will fall by a fifth consecutive year. China's steel sector will have its best year since the 2022, with many listed companies reporting significant increases in their third-quarter net profits. Steel prices have been halted by a surge in exports, which has partially offset a faltering domestic demand. However, the influx of cheap Chinese steel threatens to trigger broader protectionist reactions worldwide. Steel billet, or lower-value blocks of semi-finished steel, has been exported three times more than in the same period of 2024. This trend, the steel association warned earlier this year, could deter the industry from upgrading and is already increasing the price of steelmaking materials, especially iron ore. Beijing has committed to carbon neutrality in 2060. To achieve this target, the steel industry will need to invest approximately 20 trillion yuan. (Reporting and editing by Christian Schmollinger, Kate Mayberry and Amy Lv)
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Adani Power is the lowest bidder in India's Assam State for a 3.2 GW coal auction
Adani Power, an Indian company, has been selected as the lowest-bidder in a tender for the supply of coal power to the northeastern Assam state. The announcement was made during the post-earnings conference call. Adani Power said that the bid had been approved by the state's electricity commission and it expects to receive formal notification of the award soon. The tender is a part of an overall pipeline of more than 22 GW in thermal power bids from states such as Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh Gujarat and West Bengal. They are seeking to secure long-term capacity due to rising demand and intermittent renewable production. Adani Power announced in August that it would invest $5 billion into two coal-powered power plants. The company plans to increase capacity from 18 GW to 42 GW by 2032. 8.5 GW of that is already locked in under long-term contracts. Adani Power has said that it will invest approximately 2 trillion rupees over a long period of time in the expansion plan, with the 12 GW expected to be commissioned before the fiscal year 2030. A company executive revealed that the power firm had pre-ordered the boilers, generators, and turbines needed for the expansion. Deliveries will be staggered over the next 38 to 75 months. Separately Adani Power reported that its power dues to Bangladesh had narrowed down to 15 days' supply. This compares to $900 million last May and almost $2 billion at the beginning of this year. Sethuraman N.R., Sonia Cheema (Reporting)
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Japan's Kansai Electric shares rise 5% after forecasting higher profit, dividend
Kansai electric power Co shares rose 5% on Friday in Tokyo, outperforming other markets, after the company's largest nuclear power utility raised its profit forecasts and promised generous returns to shareholders. Kansai, in which U.S. activist investor Elliott became a large minority shareholder last month, lifted its annual profit forecast by 22% to 360 billion yen ($2.4 billion) on Thursday, on higher electricity demand and stronger-than-expected earnings at its fuel trading unit. It also raised its full-year forecast dividend to 75 yen from 60 yen, and promised that the payout ratio would be 25-35% starting in the next fiscal. Kansai shares rose 5.2% to 0512 GMT. This was higher than the Nikkei Index, which had risen 1.9%. Elliott announced its ownership of the stock on September 10. The share price has increased by around 7%. Elliott has been a shareholder in Tokyo Gas since November 19, last year. Shares are 42% higher today. Elliott wants both companies to maximize shareholder value through the sale of non-core assets. This includes their massive real estate portfolios. Sources familiar with the situation said that Elliott had earlier asked Kansai for a 100-yen dividend increase. Tokyo Gas has raised its full-year profit estimate to 194 billion Japanese yen from 131 billion, due to the fact that it expects to earn 30.7 billion yen from property sales. Kansai sees real estate as an essential business that it wants to expand, according to a Kansai executive.
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Japan's Seven & i is looking for M&A and partnership deals to fuel growth
Yoshimichi M. Maruyama, chief financial officer of Japan's Seven & i, said that the company is working on a number of initiatives including potential M&A and partnership deals aimed at achieving substantial growth. 7-Eleven, the Japanese retailer that owns convenience stores in Japan, wants to show investors how it can grow after Canada's Couche-Tard pulled out of a $46 billion bid offer last July. Seven & i said that it would pursue a listing for its North American convenience-store subsidiary in the second half 2026 and buy back shares worth about 2 trillion yen (13 billion dollars) through fiscal year 2020. Maruyama told investors at a recent investor briefing that "we are not planning to sell a large number of shares". He said that the company would still buy back shares even if there was no offering. Seven & i shares have fallen by about a fifth in the last year. TAG EUROPEAN EXPANSION The retailer said that it also aims to make Europe a "fourth main pillar of growth", alongside Japan, North America, and Asia-Pacific. Currently, it has 365 shops in Scandinavia. Ken Wakabayashi is the CEO of 7-Eleven International. He said that Europe, outside Scandinavia, was a blank space for 7-Eleven. The retailer also plans to enter markets with high growth potential in Africa, the Middle East and Latin America.
Dollar remains durable, Asia shares get joyful lift
Asia shares rose slightly in holidaythinned trade on Thursday, extending gains from earlier in the week with little news or information in the way to change their direction of travel, while the dollar was perched near a. twoyear high.
As the year-end methods, trading volumes have actually begun. weakening and the primary focus for financiers remains that of. the Federal Reserve's rate outlook. Markets in Hong Kong,. Australia and New Zealand were closed for a vacation on Thursday.
Given That Fed Chair Jerome Powell primed markets for less rate. cuts next year at the reserve bank's last policy meeting of the. year, traders are now pricing in almost 35 basis points. worth of alleviating for 2025.
That has in turn raised U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar,. with the greenback's renewed strength a concern for products. and gold.
The benchmark 10-year yield was last stable at. 4.5967%, having actually risen above 4.6% for the first time considering that May 30. previously in the week. It is up approximately 40 basis points for the. month so far. The two-year yield likewise firmed. at 4.3407%.
Provided December's hawkish cut, our company believe the Fed will skip. at the January FOMC conference and wait on more information before. certainly resuming, or possibly ending, this cutting cycle,. stated Tom Porcelli, chief U.S. financial expert at PGIM Fixed Income.
Provided the Fed's shift to less lodging paired with. continued focus on both sides of the double required, we believe. the marketplace will have more intense emphasis on financial occasions in. the new year.
In currencies, the dollar was perched near a two-year high. versus a basket of currencies at 108.15, and was on. track for a monthly gain of more than 2%.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars were on the other hand among. the biggest losers versus a dominant greenback on Thursday,. with the Aussie falling 0.45% to $0.6241. The kiwi. slid 0.51% to $0.5650.
The euro eased 0.18% to $1.0398, while the yen. languished near a five-month low and last stood at. 157.45 per dollar.
Japan's government is set to put together a record $735 billion. spending plan for the starting in April due to bigger. social security and debt-servicing costs, contributing to the. industrial world's heaviest financial obligation, a draft seen . showed.
ENDING ON A HIGH
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan. ticked up 0.04% and was headed for a weekly increase. of almost 2%, taking a cue from its equivalents on Wall Street. earlier in the week.
S&P 500 futures edged 0.02% greater, while Nasdaq. futures advanced 0.13%.
EUROSTOXX 50 futures increased 0.04%.
World stocks looked set to end the year on a. high with a second consecutive yearly gain of more than 17%,. unfazed by intensifying geopolitical tensions and different economic. and political headwinds worldwide.
That is mostly thanks to a second year of huge gains for. shares on Wall Street as expert system fever and. robust economic growth drew more international capital into U.S. properties.
In the beginning glimpse, markets appear to recommend exceptional. liveliness that has commanded 2024, said Vishnu Varathan,. head of macro research for Asia ex-Japan at Mizuho Bank.
Notably, U.S. bulls high on American exceptionalism have. not stomped on ebullience in other places.
Japan's Nikkei jumped 0.38% and was on track to end. the year with a more than 17% gain.
China's CSI300 blue-chip index fell 0.26% while. the Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.22%, though both. were headed for annual gains of more than 10% each, helped by a. step-up in assistance from Chinese authorities in recent months to. support an ailing economy.
In other places, bitcoin last traded 0.5% greater at. $ 98,967, having actually fallen from a record high above $100,000 on the. back of the Fed's hawkish repricing.
Russian business have actually started utilizing bitcoin and other digital. currencies in worldwide payments following legislative. modifications that allowed such use in order to counter Western. sanctions, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov stated on Wednesday.
In commodities, Brent crude futures rose 0.18% to. $ 73.71 a barrel, while U.S. crude got 0.21% to $70.25. per barrel.
Spot gold ticked 0.5% greater to $2,626.36 an ounce.
(source: Reuters)