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MORNING BID AMERICAS-G7 disinflation cheer as Fed chooses

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and worldwide markets from Mike Dolan The Federal Reserve spins it later on, there's some relief in other G7 economies at least that the disinflation process hasn't entirely stalled yet - providing some motivation to severely bruised bond markets.

As the Fed readies to reveal its newest policy decision and quarterly economic and rate forecasts on Wednesday, markets appear relatively comfy with the state of play.

After weeks of backward and forward, futures are now priced for a. initially cut by July and 75 basis points of relieving through the full. year - with eyes on chair Jerome Powell's press briefing for any. conversation on the Fed's balance sheet runoff and likewise on. policymakers' dot plot on predicted future rates.

With the S&P 500 eking out another record closing high. on Tuesday, that's clearly not an awful vista for stock. financiers at least.

But ailing bond markets got a shot in the arm over the past. 24 hours too - regardless of the Bank of Japan ending unfavorable. interest rates for the very first time in 8 years and news of a. punchy 11% rise in U.S. real estate starts last month.

The cheer originated from the inflation updates from Britain and. Canada, both of which came in listed below projection for February and. suggested the stickiness seen in equivalent in U.S. price. readings so far this year may not be as pervasive as feared.

Canada's inflation cooled to its slowest speed because June at. 2.8% and closely-watched core inflation procedures eased to more. than two-year lows, prompting markets to up bets on a June rate. cut there. Canada's dollar eased back afterwards.

And there was great news too heading into Thursday's Bank of. England policy conference as information revealed British inflation easing. by more than economic experts and the BoE itself had actually expected, falling. to a more than 2-year low at 3.4%.

While a very first BoE rate cut is fully priced in by its August. 1 conference, markets now see a 50% possibility of a move as quickly as. June. Gilt yields and sterling fell after the. news.

There were other motivating signs too. A downward revision. to the Swiss federal government's 2024 inflation forecast to simply 1.5%. has stimulated talk the Swiss National Bank might be the very first to. ease policy as quickly as Thursday - knocking back the Swiss franc. to its weakest level of the year up until now.

On the flipside of all the rate cut speculation was the. BOJ's relocate to finally tighten its super-loose position on Tuesday. However despite the fact that Tokyo markets were closed for a holiday,. signs of continued BOJ bond buying pushed the yen. through 151 per dollar to its weakest of the year.

The result of all those relocations is the dollar's index. is at its highest in nearly 3 weeks entering into the Fed. decision.

And aided by good need at Tuesday's 20-year Treasury bond. auction, the worldwide photo has actually allowed Treasury yields. to fall back a bit too.

Wall St stock futures held constant over night near the new. highs.

China's stocks edged higher after the People's Bank of China. Benchmark loaning rates unchanged at a regular monthly fixing, in. line with market expectations.

In company news, Nvidia's shares nudged greater. after the chipmaker said its new flagship AI processor is. anticipated to deliver later on this year and CEO Jensen Huang said he is. chasing a data center market possibly greater than $250. billion.

AI server maker Super Micro Computer shares tumbled. almost 9% on Tuesday, nevertheless, after it announced it will offer 2. million shares that could fetch about $2 billion.

Micron Technology reports incomes later on Wednesday.

In Europe, stocks edged lower on a blow to the luxury sector. there as Kering shares toppled 14.8% - and on course. for its biggest one-day loss on record - after the French luxury. products group alerted its first-quarter sales at its star label. Gucci could drop by around 20% due to weakness in Chinese. need. Key journal products that might supply instructions to U.S. markets later. on Wednesday:. * U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision, quarterly projections. and press conference. * European Reserve Bank President Christine Lagarde, ECB chief. economist Philip Lane and ECB board member Isabel Schnabel all. speak in Frankfurt. * U.S. business earnings: Micron Innovation, General Mills

(source: Reuters)