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Oil prices fuel inflation fears, which in turn intensifies the bond selloff and stock drop.

Oil prices fuel inflation fears, which in turn intensifies the bond selloff and stock drop.
Oil prices fuel inflation fears, which in turn intensifies the bond selloff and stock drop.

The global bond yields reached new highs as the renewed fighting in the Middle East pushed up oil prices. Traders were preparing for an interest rate increase, which put pressure on stock markets around the world.

Investors were also worried about the ever-increasing public debt.

The yield on Britain's 10-year bond hit its highest level since 2008, above 5.25%. Meanwhile, the German equivalent yield reached a 15-year record at 3.36%.

Ryutaro kimura, senior strategist at BNPParibas Asset Management, Tokyo, said: "I think that there is now a sense -- tinged by helplessness -- of resignation about rising interest rates." The march upward in Japanese borrowing costs has been a reliable anchor on world markets for years.

The rise in oil prices, and the renewed U.S. - Iran fighting, are causing investors to worry about inflation. Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh's speech last week has also led traders to increase their bets that U.S. interest rates will rise this year.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, which are used as a benchmark to compare prices of different asset classes, have risen to 4,8%, their highest level since early 2025.

Andrew Lilley is the chief rates strategist for Barrenjoey in Sydney.

"I believe the Fed will hike in September and that it is the beginning of a?three rate hike cycle, at least."

Data released on Tuesday showed that euro zone inflation increased above 3% again in August, due to rising energy costs. This supports the argument for an increase in the rate of the European Central Bank's September rate.

Stocks fall as borrowing costs rise

The S&P 500 futures contract fell 0.6% as bond yields rose and oil prices increased. The STOXX 600, Europe's continental index, fell by 0.5%.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 1% on Monday, as the disappointing debut of Shein Global, a clothing retailer, set the tone. Shein Global's shares dropped as much as 10% before ending the day flat.

Aneeka Gupta is a senior analyst at WisdomTree. She said that higher?yields may put pressure on tech firms who are borrowing heavily in the bond market to fund AI investment.

She said that the higher the yields, the more strain they put on this sector which is one of the biggest growth drivers in equity markets. "I believe that's resulting in the spillover that's taking place today?in equity market."

As renewed conflict in the Middle East dampened prospects for a reopening of Strait of Hormuz, rising oil prices drove global bond yields up on Tuesday.

Brent crude rose by 2% to $92.10 while Europe's benchmark natural gas price increased towards its highest level since early 2023.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, has warned of further strikes against Iran following the "first exchange in fire for a month." In the meantime, increased fighting between Russia Ukraine has driven wheat prices to near three-year-highs.

As bonds and stocks dropped, the U.S. Dollar gained on Tuesday.

The dollar grew 0.3% against yen and fell 0.2% against the euro.

According to CME’s FedWatch tool traders?priced in a 65% probability of a Fed interest rate hike in September. This is up from 40% one week earlier.

The money markets also priced in a second rate hike by the ECB for this month.

(source: Reuters)