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Morning Bid America- Magnificent Cash Burn

Mike Dolan, Editor at Large, Finance and Markets, explains what matters today in U.S. markets.

Alphabet's capital expenditure increase and earnings beat triggered a familiar response - the stock of Alphabet fell, while chip stocks rose. The hyperscaler beat the Street by posting more than 80% in its cloud business. However, it raised its capex expectations yet again, with AI-related investments now expected to exceed $200 billion this year.

Below, I'll delve deeper into that and much more. Check out my most recent column about how the U.S. economy's K-shaped scale explains its resilience. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast where we talk about Alphabet’s soaring AI costs and the new inflation problem facing the ECB. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear our journalists discuss all of the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks.

Magnificent Cash Burn

Alphabet stock fell 3% before today's opening bell, partly due to some unease about delays with its latest Gemini AI models, and also because of the increasing cash burn. Chip-heavy South Korean shares soared more than 4% Thursday, despite the increased spending. STMicroelectronics, a chip company in Europe, dropped 14% on the first day of trading after reporting a slightly lower than expected earnings. Tesla's stock in the US also lost 4% after reporting its first negative cash flow for over two years. Intel's earnings will be released later today. This is a big test for the U.S. Chipmaking Giant, as its shares have risen nearly three times this year despite a fall from a record-high in late June. Wall Street futures fell before the bell rang on Thursday. European shares also dipped as tech stocks slid, led by STMicro, after it reported results below expectations. Oil prices rose to $98 per barrel over night amid the conflict in the Gulf, and a new shipping pause in the Red Sea. Yemen's Iran aligned Houthis attacked Saudi oil tankers, and data from shipping showed that tankers had changed course. Oil and gas futures are being affected by the resurgent price of oil, along with interest rates and bond markets. On Thursday, the yields on short-term U.S. Treasury bonds reached their highest level in 17 months. The European Central Bank will likely be more hawkish today because of the impact of spiraling natural gas costs as winter storage begins to get rebuilt.

Futures markets are now pricing in two ECB increases by the end of the year and two Federal Reserve increases within nine months.

Chart of the Day Brent crude oil rose above $98 per barrel for the first time in six weeks on Thursday as the raging Iran war escalated into the Red Sea, and its shipping. This put the psychological $100 mark back in the crosshairs.

There was little sign of any talks or mediation, and U.S. State Secretary Marco Rubio said that U.S. Military policy towards Iran will now be "head for an ear".

The rise in crude oil futures and the move in the oil price underscores the wild fluctuations in energy prices that have occurred since the Iran War began nearly five months ago. It also compounds inflation fears in the interest rate markets and among central bankers.

As the winter season of restocking begins, natural gas prices are surging alarmingly. The European Central Bank will decide its policy today.

Watch today's events

* ECB interest rate decision (8:15 a.m. EDT)

* U.S. Weekly?Jobless Claims (8:30 am EDT), TIPS 10-year auction (1 pm EDT)

* U.S. corporate ?earnings: Intel, Blackstone, T-Mobile

Want to receive Morning Bid every morning in your email? Subscribe to the newsletter by clicking here. Follow us on LinkedIn, X and ROI. The opinions expressed by the author are their own. These opinions do not represent those of News. News is bound by the Trust Principles to maintain integrity, independence and freedom from bias. (By Mike Dolan).

(source: Reuters)