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Asia stock markets fall as Fed cuts, BOJ meeting and Trump-Xi in view

Asian stocks were up and down early on Thursday, as investors watched to see if U.S. leaders and Chinese leaders would reach a deal.

MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan traded flat last, while U.S. S&P500 e-minis futures edged up 0.1% after Wall Street stocks posted a small loss to end a four-day streak of gains.

As the Trump administration in the United States imposes tariffs on imports from abroad, global markets are undergoing a series of central bank decisions. These will provide clues as to the future path of interest rates.

Trump will meet with Chinese leader Xi Jinping later today in South Korea. U.S. negotiators are signaling that they want to return to the fragile truce in the trade war, but tensions still remain high. Long-term economic irritations will continue between geopolitical competitors.

Sally Auld is the chief economist of the National Australia Bank, Sydney, in a podcast. She said that after a lot of activity in the first two days of the week, the central banking story will probably end with a whimper over the next 24 to 48 hours.

The Nikkei opened down 0.1%, in anticipation of the Bank of Japan's decision later today. It is widely expected that the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged.

The U.S. Dollar was unchanged against the yen at 152.70 yen last after comments by U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent, who called for faster rate increases to avoid a currency that is too weak. Analysts said this may have an impact on the BOJ communication about the pace of future rate hikes.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that policymakers will likely become more cautious in the absence of additional job and inflation data.

The traders have reduced their predictions of a rate cut of 25 basis points next month. This was viewed earlier as near certainty. Fed funds futures imply that the Fed is likely to hold rates during its next meeting, on December 10. This compares with the 9.1% chance it had yesterday.

The yield on a 10-year Treasury bond in the United States was trading at a high of 4.0757% last week, an increase of 1.77 basis points from the previous close of 4,058%.

The dollar index (which measures the strength of the greenback against a basket six currencies) reached a new two-week high at 99.131. Gold rose 0.4% to $3,944.25 an ounce.

The euro last remained unchanged at $1.16035, ahead of the policy decision made by the European Central Bank in the afternoon. It is expected that the bank will leave rates at the same level for the third time in a line.

Investors are also becoming more anxious about the costs of AI development, despite the fact that the U.S. appears to be in good health. This is putting pressure on the tech megacap stocks, which account for the largest weighting in S&P 500 Index.

Meta forecast on Wednesday "significantly larger" capital expenditures next year, as its revenues exceeded market expectations. Microsoft's spending for artificial intelligence infrastructure reached a record high of almost $35 billion during the third quarter. Both companies' shares fell.

Alphabet, the parent company of Google, a rival tech giant, bucked this trend. Its shares rose in after-hours trade after exceeding revenue expectations.

Brent crude oil was unchanged on the energy markets at $64.92 a barrel.

(source: Reuters)